Deer Whisperer Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm still trying to see where it;s a bad run The clownmap is worse, duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm still trying to see where it;s a bad run Drier out his way...he's a precip queen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 RGEM has some really strong lift along I95 and south from 60-66hrs. It would be a at least 1"/hr rates if it's snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 @WinterWxLuvr Look at the left hand side of the sounding. The bar graph shows omega/lift at various altitudes. The denritic growth zone (DGZ) is marked in red. Super short answer is you want the biggest bars between the red lines. On this sounding car alarms are going off and visibility is -.5 miles. Yes, it's a minus sign. You can only see what happened half a mile ago cuz it's atomic puking 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm still trying to see where it;s a bad run I think what happened on TT was I must have had a couple of panels missing. It jumped to that dry slot look quickly. Just ran through it again and it looked fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: @WinterWxLuvr Look at the left hand side of the sounding. The bar graph shows omega/lift at various altitudes. The denritic growth zone (DGZ) is marked in red. Super short answer is you want the biggest bars between the red lines. On this sounding car alarms are going off and visibility is -.5 miles. Yes, it's a minus sign. You can only see what happened half a mile ago cuz it's atomic puking Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 49 minutes ago, Derecho! said: 1993 Storm of the Century I was in New Jersey. I could JUMP UP AND DOWN on the ice without breaking through to the snow. I was living in South Jersey near Philly. Neighbor went into labor. We were out in pouring thunder sleet trying to dig her out to the main road. We had about a foot of snow in just a few hours then several hours of driving sleet. Then in the dry slot it warmed up to like 40 and everything packed down and froze into 6” of solid ice you couldn’t do anything with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Nice catch ...Looks good . I really think Rgem is a bit too weak with its depiction. Nam a bit too amped. Somewhere in the middle probably correct. We just need the strong lift at the start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 30 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Back in 1994 during the sleet storm I really didn't realize the historic nature of that moment ( almost 6 inches of pure unadulterated sleet accumulation). Just incredible!!. Wish I took pics but I was a dumb ass . Which storm was that? The January or the February one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: I was living in South Jersey near Philly. Neighbor went unto labor. We were out in pouring thunder sleet trying to dig him out to the main road. We had about a foot of snow in just a few hours then several hours of driving sleet. Then in the dry slot it warmed up to like 40 and everything packed down and froze into 6” of solid ice you couldn’t do anything with. Exactly how it was in eastern Loudoun. I could not walk up my yard to get to my house. I just kept sliding down the 5 inches of solid ice. I had to crawl up the hill to get into my house. Was absolutely nuts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 GFS looks about the same as 18z through 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 30 minutes ago, notvirga! said: I would not be at all disappointed with a feb 14, 07 sleet/snow storm repeat; it’s one of my favorite storms of all time. Nearly 7 inches of sleet in Winchester and a glacier for the next month. I remember this storm. I think I went to bed in DC expecting to wake up to a lot of snow. I woke, and thought, "Yes, there is a lot of snow on the roads.' But as I left for work or wherever, I realized I was driving though inches and inches of unplowed sleet on DC city streets. It was nasty. I think I went of out of town, but recall then hearing stories of how it all froze solid that night -- before DC could plow the sleet away -- and everything turned into an inches-thick coat of solid ice on DC streets, for days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I was living in South Jersey near Philly. Neighbor went unto labor. We were out in pouring thunder sleet trying to dig him out to the main road. We had about a foot of snow in just a few hours then several hours of driving sleet. Then in the dry slot it warmed up to like 40 and everything packed down and froze into 6” of solid ice you couldn’t do anything with. You forgot the light rain at the end sun coming out and a rainbow true at least in Delaware County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 GFS holds serve. Snowing at 57 throughout the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 GFS looks another tick colder in the mid-levels. Still barely snow in DC at 66...it was sleet already at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Wow. What a great GFS run...especially for Baltimore lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 GFS colder again. 57-66 hour snow in DC, but 60-66 is the heaviest 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Oh my god GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I was living in South Jersey near Philly. Neighbor went unto labor. We were out in pouring thunder sleet trying to dig him out to the main road. We had about a foot of snow in just a few hours then several hours of driving sleet. Then in the dry slot it warmed up to like 40 and everything packed down and froze into 6” of solid ice you couldn’t do anything with. <banter> Trying to figure out how 'he' went into labor, but I digress ... </banter> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Holy beatdown. All snow through 69 Then DC flips. Winchester pummeled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I think my yard gets sleet deform banded on the gfs. Lol. Waiting for sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 We stay snow longer on this GFS run but I never take the GFS snow sleet line seriously. Central MD changes back to snow at 84hrs. Typical GFS antics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: @WinterWxLuvr Look at the left hand side of the sounding. The bar graph shows omega/lift at various altitudes. The denritic growth zone (DGZ) is marked in red. Super short answer is you want the biggest bars between the red lines. On this sounding car alarms are going off and visibility is -.5 miles. Yes, it's a minus sign. You can only see what happened half a mile ago cuz it's atomic puking Thats exactly what i was going to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toolsheds Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'm pretty sure January. The one where 30 miles north it was 18" snow amounts Had to be January. I had two of my first three weeks of a new semester at college cancelled. I also remember the snow, sleet ice.....so thick that I couldn't break through either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Has the RGEM look of lingering sleet going 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Gfs really cut back on the primary to our west again. Almost coastalish now. Crazy 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 panels of blue, 1 panel pink. Sold! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'm pretty sure January. The one where 30 miles north it was 18" snow amounts Yea that was the January one. Was the February storm snow/sleet mix up here? Was all sleet in northern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Para like 8" of snow on the front end in 6 hours, pukage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 That was one helluva gfs run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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