CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, frd said: Near this date there could be a big one, maybe, possibly. Seriously, at this time frame that is so beautiful. That is literally the antithesis of a WAR. Pretty damn good look. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, frd said: Near this date there could be a big one, maybe, possibly. Seriously, at this time frame that is so beautiful. That goes out past where I can see on TT. What does the temp profile look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 It's about time to crack open a crispy boy and watch the GFS flip completely to rain for the D9 threat dump feet of snow over the metro corridor . Happy happy hour everyone. On a serious note, there is a sliiightly stronger high over the north central plains at D7 on the 18z GFS run. Compared to 12z. Fingers crossed for some digital ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 holding that s/w back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, cbmclean said: That goes out past where I can see on TT. What does the temp profile look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Hey I'm the epicenter. I'm all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 will it turn the corner? that weak LP north of hte lakes was not there on 12z GFS. primary is much further south this run too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Snow-ish at 228. LP north of the lakes trying its best to screw it up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Yeah, GFS about to screw us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Good thing we are 200+ hour out. Looks like we have something to track at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 I'm good with where the GFS is (weenie dictionary)...pretty juiced up system. We all know it's gonna be different in 6 hours 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 yeah *bit* of a difference with the interaction with the NS 500mb low...they stay separate on 18z 12z... gobbles up the NS shortly thereafter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Looks like a perfect track juicy system in late January and GFS still struggles to get a cold column 200mi north of the low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm good with where the GFS is (weenie dictionary)...pretty juiced up system. We all know it's gonna be different in 6 hours I think the big takeaway from this range has been that there's pretty good agreement that we're getting a decent qpf system near or at our latitude. Haven't had something like that for nearly over a month now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 With a -3 nao..and ao....anything less than hecs/mecs will be a disaster Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like a perfect track juicy system in late January and GFS still struggles to get a cold column 200mi north of the low. I like this run better than the 12z even though it took 6 inches of blue away from me lol. Even with that pesky great lakes low with that kind of track I would of thought the outcome would of been better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Pretty good consistency...get rid of that minor low north of the lakes and it’s a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Then it becomes an absolute monster blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 29 minutes ago, cbmclean said: What does the temp profile look like? Cold enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 This time the axis is more West to East . Just happy this this period has some hits. Long way to go, but still a positive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: Then it becomes an absolute monster blizzard We need a Canadian Maritimes subforum on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 minute ago, frd said: This time the axis is more West to East . Just happy this this period has some hits. Long way to go, but still a positive. Doesn't matter given that it's 9 + days out, but that axis of snow looks strikingly similar to the Jan 26 2011 PSU storm. Also the storm that got me into meteorology at the ripe age of 7 :p 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 OMG this deepens to a beast, I would speculate and imagine unreal wave breaking event would be possible in the North Atlantic . Things getting more interesting for late month and the first week of February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like a perfect track juicy system in late January and GFS still struggles to get a cold column 200mi north of the low. It can’t decide what to do with the NS. Yesterday it was diving in front and squashing. 12z it phased and cut. This run it slides across on top. That runs some interference but it’s still a pathetic thermal presentation for late January and no pac puke excuse this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Doesn't matter given that it's 9 + days out, but that axis of snow looks strikingly similar to the Jan 26 2011 PSU storm. Also the storm that got me into meteorology at the ripe age of 7 :p Thanks for making me feel REALLY old 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 26 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Looks like a perfect track juicy system in late January and GFS still struggles to get a cold column 200mi north of the low. Meteorological impossibility 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Seems like the models are hinting at another opportunity around the end of the month. Gfs has Snow to ice to rain/dry slot even with the primary out by Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Let’s just simplify this... I’ll take this 7 day precip with these 7 day temps please and thank you. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Let’s just simplify this... I’ll take this 7 day precip with these 7 day temps please and thank you. Warm/wet , cold/dry? Joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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