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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED


WinterWxLuvr
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  On 2/16/2021 at 12:47 AM, DDweatherman said:

I started a boob arse thread back in the day for one of our storms. 

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I started one for a soaking rain storm just so we had a place to complain and post the flooding that was occurring. It was depressing, but at least it was a place to commiserate 

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  On 2/16/2021 at 1:14 AM, nj2va said:

I never got the superstition about threads...just start it now.

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It's dumb.  Always has been and it used to irritate me with the "see, you started a thread, that's why the storm isn't happening".  Yes, because parcels of air and temperatures are sentient and check this board before deciding what to do.   

I'm zen about it now.  I may just start it anyway.  Not sure why I'm bending to this superstition shit.  I'm going to at least let the GFS come in first.

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  On 2/16/2021 at 1:29 AM, stormtracker said:

It's dumb.  Always has been and it used to irritate me with the "see, you started a thread, that's why the storm isn't happening".  Yes, because parcels of air and temperatures are sentient and check this board before deciding what to do.   

I'm zen about it now.  I may just start it anyway.  Not sure why I'm bending to this superstition shit.  I'm going to at least let the GFS come in first.

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You have a bad track record of thread starts in DC this winter. If we’re being superstitious, you need to stay away from the ‘start new topic’ button. :P

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  On 2/16/2021 at 1:19 AM, umdterps29 said:

I agree that the superstition about starting a thread is silly but at the same time why are people so antsy to start a thread? Doesn’t change anything 

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The problem with starting a storm thread too early has nothing to Do with superstition. The earlier you start a thread the more chances you have of a major adjustment. 4 days out just leaves too much adjustments in forecast. 

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  On 2/16/2021 at 12:30 AM, Chris78 said:

It's a good year. I had 16" 2 weeks ago at 750' In elevation. Cascade/blue ridge summit area maxed out with 22" or so. But those areas are always 4 to 6 degrees cooler than Smithsburg or Thurmont. 

 

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Right now we are at 34 and plain rain and just a couple miles away/600 feet up  its 29 heavy glazing on Blue Ridge Summit Right.  That area is a living jackpot.   

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