stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: If that 1.40 of ZR verified in Short Pump it would be an apocalypse No Pump 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: First part is 100%. Second not. I don’t want anyone to feel any sort of way. That’s nun my business. But I do feel the way I do. I’m a big game Hunter. Everyone knows that. I do like snow. I’ll take 2” if that’s all I can get. But I don’t really track for that. And frankly when it’s late in a season like this I become even more so. I’ll root hard for a 2-4” snow around Xmas for example. By mid Feb I’m fully in go big or go home mode. I’m not hunting squirrels. I’m hunting 12 foot grizzly bears and 5 point white elk with antlers that won’t fit through my door! That’s just me. Glad someone got my snark. Of course I don’t expect the big solutions. But every major global is spitting out 6”+ so obviously it’s an option so that’s what I’m rooting for. Dunno why we shouldn’t! It’s like with the Eagles. For most of my 42 years I’ve fully expected them to disappoint me. But I’m still there with my brother and cousin screaming expletives that would make a sailor blush when they F up. Just because I expected the fail doesn’t mean I wasn’t rooting to be pleasantly surprised! Snow is the same. And I don’t need every storm to hit. I know we don’t get that many big events. I’m ok with that. I’m ok when they fail. You don’t see me throwing fits during or after a fail. But when we’re tracking hell yea I want to see guidance trend towards 20”/hr rates with flakes the size of cars that will crush you if they land on you. I’m not a settle kind of guy. But no issue with others who have different opinions on snow. Dude, I'm from Cleveland and have survived The Drive and The Fumble, The Shot, etc. LOL!!! Not to mention 2 extra inning Game 7 World Series losses (don't even mention 2016 or 1997 to me, please!). So I know what you mean hahahaha! At least you got a SB victory against the evil empire...I mean, New England Patriots! But I still savor the Cavs win in 2016... Anyhow, on topic. Yes, we all sure are rooting for the 6"+, don't get me wrong. I'm not expecting it, but I like seeing that. Mostly, I like seeing the colder and less rainy solutions. And given how measured your comments usually are, I could definitely tell you were being mostly snarky in your comment! Oh, and what do nuns have to do with this? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: No Pump No heat pump. Better have a woodstove or a generator. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Para sucks out here. We toss. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: Para sucks out here. We toss. You're all alone. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 26 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup. It'll give us some cushion when it starts moving back north This. This will very likely trend north the last 48 hours. We want to get it as far south as we can now. I wouldn’t mind one more south jump tonight before the likely bleed north on guidance starts once the wave tonight gets out of the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: First part is 100%. Second not. I don’t want anyone to feel any sort of way. That’s nun my business. But I do feel the way I do. I’m a big game Hunter. Everyone knows that. I do like snow. I’ll take 2” if that’s all I can get. But I don’t really track for that. And frankly when it’s late in a season like this I become even more so. I’ll root hard for a 2-4” snow around Xmas for example. By mid Feb I’m fully in go big or go home mode. I’m not hunting squirrels. I’m hunting 12 foot grizzly bears and 5 point white elk with antlers that won’t fit through my door! That’s just me. I think it is cool that you know what you like and make no apologies for it. I grew up in 70" per year climo in Upstate NY, so I hear you. But I also understand many of those here who just want to see snow falling out of the sky and hopefully enough of it to cover everything in white. It reminds me of home and childhood, so that is all I need to see to be happy. So I, like many in here I suspect, will track the sh@# out of 1-3" snowstorms as long as there is tracking to be done! self-weenie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Para sucks out here. We toss. Doesn't it give Winchester over 6" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: First part is 100%. Second not. I don’t want anyone to feel any sort of way. That’s nun my business. But I do feel the way I do. I’m a big game Hunter. Everyone knows that. I do like snow. I’ll take 2” if that’s all I can get. But I don’t really track for that. And frankly when it’s late in a season like this I become even more so. I’ll root hard for a 2-4” snow around Xmas for example. By mid Feb I’m fully in go big or go home mode. I’m not hunting squirrels. I’m hunting 12 foot grizzly bears and 200 point white elk with antlers that won’t fit through my door! That’s just me. Glad someone got my snark. Of course I don’t expect the big solutions. But every major global is spitting out 6”+ so obviously it’s an option so that’s what I’m rooting for. Dunno why we shouldn’t! It’s like with the Eagles. For most of my 42 years I’ve fully expected them to disappoint me. But I’m still there with my brother and cousin screaming expletives that would make a sailor blush when they F up. Just because I expected the fail doesn’t mean I wasn’t rooting to be pleasantly surprised! Snow is the same. And I don’t need every storm to hit. I know we don’t get that many big events. I’m ok with that. I’m ok when they fail. You don’t see me throwing fits during or after a fail. But when we’re tracking hell yea I want to see guidance trend towards 20”/hr rates with flakes the size of cars that will crush you if they land on you. I’m not a settle kind of guy. But no issue with others who have different opinions on snow. Yeah, I know I've had enough 1-3/2-4 and then wintry mix/slop storms in the past five years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hypothetical 240 hour snow Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 This storm has Virginia special written all over it... congrats, to be fair we got our snow last week. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This. This will very likely trend north the last 48 hours. We want to get it as far south as we can now. I wouldn’t mind one more south jump tonight before the likely bleed north on guidance starts once the wave tonight gets out of the way. Of course Ji would say when we need a north trend we get...you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Doesn't it give Winchester over 6" lol Its like 4 then a ton of sleet. I was joking obviously. I would have 3 inches of frozen concrete come Saturday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This. This will very likely trend north the last 48 hours. We want to get it as far south as we can now. I wouldn’t mind one more south jump tonight before the likely bleed north on guidance starts once the wave tonight gets out of the way. Yep, been watching the sleet and mix line push further NW all day into Ohio with the low tracking through now. Model shift NW started last night. Don't want it to happen, but it likely will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, Hypothetical 240 hour snow said: This storm has Virginia special written all over it... congrats, to be fair we got our snow last week. Suppression fail crew has already taken the 00z shift away from the warm fail crew. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 SREFs look just like the NAM. pick your emote. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 SREFs look just like the NAM. pick your emote. They’re not ‘amped and north’? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 18z HRRR was tons colder at 48 than the NAM fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, anotherman said: They’re not ‘amped and north’? lol ofc they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 16 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Yeah, I know I've had enough 1-3/2-4 and then wintry mix/slop storms in the past five years. Yea I didn’t want to throw that part in because I know there are parts of this sub that haven’t had much snow. But I’ve had plenty of ho hum minor snowfalls lately. I want something dynamic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: SREFs look just like the NAM. pick your emote. Hope they start trending toward the globals but have they ever not been amped and north? It’s anecdotal but I feel like anytime there is a southern slider we can at least count on the srefs to throw us .50 of digital qpf when everything else is dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Yea I didn’t want to throw that part in because I know there are parts of this sub that haven’t had much snow. But I’ve had plenty of ho hum minor snowfalls lately. I want something dynamic. Yep. I'd take 6 inches over 6-8 hours opposed to 10 over 36 hours, lol. About time us DC folk see good rates that actually accumulate. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Nice to see a Gulf lp "modeled" to pass to our south and east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Updated* We should see winter storm watches tomorrow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 46 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: LOL Could someone post the sleet and fzr maps? Thanks in advance Gimme a break, I ain't falling for this sh$t again. That snow split is going to move right over us again, take it to the bank. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, IronTy said: Gimme a break, I ain't falling for this sh$t again. That snow split is going to move right over us again, take it to the bank. Yet you feel compelled to visit the thread and post about your clairvoyance. Amazing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Agree with the assessment that the deterministic and short range models will settle down after the shortwave tonight goes through, I will take a blend of the 18Z GEFS , 12Z EPS, and 12Z Control for now... would make most happy! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Winter ain’t dead yet with this look. Lala land but we take that cold air transport setup 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Agree with the assessment that the deterministic and short range models will settle down after the shortwave tonight goes through, I will take a blend of the 18Z GEFS , 12Z EPS, and 12Z Control for now... would make most happy! 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Winter ain’t dead yet with this look. Lala land but we take that cold air transport setup It was only like 2 people canceling winter after this week and one was Ji who should count as -1. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts