EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Anybody else think it is suspicious that this EHoffman guy shows up magically to take all the heat off of PSUHoffman just when he was defending himself from his NAM related concerns? In all seriousness, the trends have been good for the last 24 hours or so on the models wrt both track and thermals, even for down here in Augusta County. Let's weather will this thing home! 4 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 28 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I posted the wrong euro h5 panel in my OP (0z instead of 12z) but it doesnt change the point I was trying to make. Compare today's 12z @ hr60 to a string of previous runs. It's pretty sweet to look at and literally a small miracle we're possibly backing into an ok event here. Is it too simplistic to say that on future runs, the strength of that little bubble up there is what we need to focus on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast. i havent seen anything toss us back precip from the coastal yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Oh you haven't seen nothing yet. Wait until PSU gets in this mofo. This is how we know we're all gonna get a good storm, including him. When he starts fretting about being fringed, get out the shovels Nope not my concern with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Anyweather said: Short pump, too? They are used to getting the short end 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: i havent seen anything toss us back precip from the coastal yet Tongue in cheek comment. It seemed like we spent 2 years talking about that last storm tucking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, HighStakes said: Singles digit lows sunday morning. Arctic air fail fail 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Arctic air fail fail Only took two months. Progress 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast. Never, this is a front end thump. I don't even see a SE jog happening over Maine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 How does the snow mean look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I feel like we've been through this song and dance a few times already this year. What makes this one different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Quasievil said: I feel like we've been through this song and dance a few times already this year. What makes this one different? Hopefully what makes it different is it won't start trending away from us in the next 24-48 hours! The last disaster was supposed to be a Wed-Fri event and the Euro/EPS was showing 8-12 inches for us as late as Monday before the event before it started trending to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Quasievil said: I feel like we've been through this song and dance a few times already this year. What makes this one different? We're backing into something decent this time as the short range takes over where the starting point was an epic disaster. All the other ones worked the exact opposite. I mean sure, who doesnt think it can easily epically fail but even if it does it was very different than our other fails 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, Amped said: Never, this is a front end thump. I don't even see a SE jog happening over Maine. Yes, it was a joke. Apologies for banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Lower heights through 36 on the NAM. ULL over SE Canada pressing a bit more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Lower heights through 36 on the NAM. ULL over SE Canada pressing a bit more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Jma loves us so much it's sending us a heart shaped front end dump. Looks good honestly. Like the other globals except the heavies during the good column are NW of the euro/para/ukie. Not that it matters yet. It's a good run that looks right in the pocket of the other good runs at 12z http://img.meteocentre.com/models/jma_amer_06/GZ_D5_PN_084_0000.gif 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Yeah, flow is def flatter on NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Whether it gets all the way there or not, psu's most important model (NAM) is trying to join the party now. Weak shortwave over ne/sne carves a little better as it departs setting the stage for at least slighty colder outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 700 mb is colder throughout Th 6Z v 12Z I realize this is a little late, but I thought this was a pretty impressive (and potentially quite significant) run-over-run change. Would LOVE to see this continue at 18z. Liking what seems to be a little better confluence on the NAM early on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, mattie g said: I realize this is a little late, but I thought this was a pretty impressive (and potentially quite significant) run-over-run change. would LOVE to see this continue at 18z. Liking what seems to be a little better confluence on the NAM early on. Yup, it's colder at 850 across the entire area even back through Erie (-10 now versus -7 previous run) and up through Philly. Good to see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 ULL hanging out a little further west through 48. Nice 850 line push south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 47 minutes ago, Ji said: i havent seen anything toss us back precip from the coastal yet The upper level energy is actually washing out as the system runs into the cold. It’s all WAA and fgen forcing driven. There isn’t much in the way of classic coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 700mb temps are much colder wed AM on the nam. For just 40 hours out, it was a big jump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 42 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Only took two months. Progress More like 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 700mb temps are much colder wed AM on the nam. For just 40 hours out, it was a big jump. 850s too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 700mb temps are much colder wed AM on the nam. For just 40 hours out, it was a big jump. Yup. People can say what they want but everyone should feel better if the NAM gets on board. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: If we can push that DCA total to 10" on the next clown map update we will surpass the 250" threshold of digital snow for the year 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 EPS trend 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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