BristowWx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: If anyone looks at this h5 panel and thinks suppression is even a remote concern, they need to kick themselves square in the nutz Done and done. Ooph! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Here's the 0z euro from the 13th. Just a few days ago. Not a damn thing in the way to hold the cold from hightailing it to the arctic circle. That "sneaky" little closed ULL to our north is practically 100% responsible for the shift towards good fortunes. We often get fooked by sneaky features. This time we needed one desperately and we got tossed a bone. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: Itty bitty bit of gray on that map far NE part of GA. SC fringed. People down there are raging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I posted the wrong euro h5 panel in my OP (0z instead of 12z) but it doesnt change the point I was trying to make. Compare today's 12z @ hr60 to a string of previous runs. It's pretty sweet to look at and literally a small miracle we're possibly backing into an ok event here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I posted the wrong euro h5 panel in my OP (0z instead of 12z) but it doesnt change the point I was trying to make. Compare today's 12z @ hr60 to a string of previous runs. It's pretty sweet to look at and literally a small miracle we're possibly backing into an ok event here. Noob. Old Bob Chill would never make that mistake 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I posted the wrong euro h5 panel in my OP (0z instead of 12z) but it doesnt change the point I was trying to make. Compare today's 12z @ hr60 to a string of previous runs. It's pretty sweet to look at and literally a small miracle we're possibly backing into an ok event here. So post the right one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Anybody else think it is suspicious that this EHoffman guy shows up magically to take all the heat off of PSUHoffman just when he was defending himself from his NAM related concerns? In all seriousness, the trends have been good for the last 24 hours or so on the models wrt both track and thermals, even for down here in Augusta County. Let's weather will this thing home! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 PSU is going to have another nice GIF trend for the EPS snowfall mean from 0z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Okay I've been pulled back in. The threat can start deteriorating now. 1 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: So post the right one. “Could you post the one you were talking about please?” I feel like this would have worked. Idk maybe it’s just me. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Anybody else think it is suspicious that this EHoffman guy shows up magically to take all the heat off of PSUHoffman just when he was defending himself from his NAM related concerns? In all seriousness, the trends have been good for the last 24 hours or so on the models wrt both track and thermals, even for down here in Augusta County. Let's weather will this thing home! 4 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 28 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I posted the wrong euro h5 panel in my OP (0z instead of 12z) but it doesnt change the point I was trying to make. Compare today's 12z @ hr60 to a string of previous runs. It's pretty sweet to look at and literally a small miracle we're possibly backing into an ok event here. Is it too simplistic to say that on future runs, the strength of that little bubble up there is what we need to focus on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast. i havent seen anything toss us back precip from the coastal yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Oh you haven't seen nothing yet. Wait until PSU gets in this mofo. This is how we know we're all gonna get a good storm, including him. When he starts fretting about being fringed, get out the shovels Nope not my concern with this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, Anyweather said: Short pump, too? They are used to getting the short end 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: i havent seen anything toss us back precip from the coastal yet Tongue in cheek comment. It seemed like we spent 2 years talking about that last storm tucking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, HighStakes said: Singles digit lows sunday morning. Arctic air fail fail 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Arctic air fail fail Only took two months. Progress 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: When is it appropriate to start talking about tucking? Lol Another nice move with a quicker primary transfer to the coast. Never, this is a front end thump. I don't even see a SE jog happening over Maine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 How does the snow mean look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I feel like we've been through this song and dance a few times already this year. What makes this one different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Quasievil said: I feel like we've been through this song and dance a few times already this year. What makes this one different? Hopefully what makes it different is it won't start trending away from us in the next 24-48 hours! The last disaster was supposed to be a Wed-Fri event and the Euro/EPS was showing 8-12 inches for us as late as Monday before the event before it started trending to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Quasievil said: I feel like we've been through this song and dance a few times already this year. What makes this one different? We're backing into something decent this time as the short range takes over where the starting point was an epic disaster. All the other ones worked the exact opposite. I mean sure, who doesnt think it can easily epically fail but even if it does it was very different than our other fails 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 13 minutes ago, Amped said: Never, this is a front end thump. I don't even see a SE jog happening over Maine. Yes, it was a joke. Apologies for banter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Lower heights through 36 on the NAM. ULL over SE Canada pressing a bit more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Lower heights through 36 on the NAM. ULL over SE Canada pressing a bit more. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Jma loves us so much it's sending us a heart shaped front end dump. Looks good honestly. Like the other globals except the heavies during the good column are NW of the euro/para/ukie. Not that it matters yet. It's a good run that looks right in the pocket of the other good runs at 12z http://img.meteocentre.com/models/jma_amer_06/GZ_D5_PN_084_0000.gif 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Yeah, flow is def flatter on NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Whether it gets all the way there or not, psu's most important model (NAM) is trying to join the party now. Weak shortwave over ne/sne carves a little better as it departs setting the stage for at least slighty colder outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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