WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, GATECH said: Do you mean east...I don’t care about WV We don’t really care about east so I guess there’s balance 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, mappy said: good. lets see if we can make it 3 weeks of snow cover. Let's go for the entire month of February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, HighStakes said: Let's go for the entire month of February. Sign me up! I think it's been since 13/14 since we've had a whole month of snow on the ground. Maybe 2016, but even then not sure that 30" stuck around for a month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Damn. Some of those areas showing high ice accumulation may not have power on from last storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I'm gonna have to ride this one out in Leesburg this time so I'm all in on that Leesburg bullseye even if it means that Ji gets good snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I’ll take a few more shifts south. It needs to. I’m owed. Euro needs to get its shit together and be right 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 That's a lot of ice on top of areas in Virginia that are still trying to recover and get power back on. Power companies are putting in work this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, Ji said: that max is now over leesburg...it will be in CHO by Wed am North south east or west is my call. You know how this game works! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z v 0Z A lot of wiggle room to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Northern MD never gets above 26-27 degrees. its also kind of fringed. I like the south trend but we need to stop the bleeding a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro just caused me a huge problem. I disrobed at hr78 but that's normal. Then someone knocked on my door and forgot I had no clothes on. Waiting for arraignment. If I need money for bail I'll post a gofundme link later 3 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Ji said: its also kind of fringed. I like the south trend but we need to stop the bleeding a bit? 1:30pm on Monday and we officially have our first "stop the south trend, we're going to get fringed" concern post. I love it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Never gets above freezing during the event, might actually be pretty much all snow verbatim. 12+ up this way? Yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: its also kind of fringed. I like the south trend but we need to stop the bleeding a bit? Juice it up just a touch and keep it right where it is now and we're good. Hopefully no BS last minute drastic changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, EHoffman said: 1:30pm on Monday and we officially have our first "stop the south trend, we're going to get fringed" concern post. I love it. Oh you haven't seen nothing yet. Wait until PSU gets in this mofo. This is how we know we're all gonna get a good storm, including him. When he starts fretting about being fringed, get out the shovels 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, HighStakes said: Juice it up just a touch and keep it right where it is now and we're good. Hopefully no BS last minute drastic changes. Not saying it happens with this one, maybe the confluence will just win out but there has been somewhat of a trend to suppress things (get it to go south) in the 48-84 hour ranges and then the inevitable north shift in the 24 hours to gametime frame...just something to think about is all, I mean most of us would probably still be good for a thump even if that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Singles digit lows sunday morning. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, EHoffman said: 1:30pm on Monday and we officially have our first "stop the south trend, we're going to get fringed" concern post. I love it. But also, this you bruh? 3 hours ago, EHoffman said: Writing on the wall already for this one...has the making of a classic wet snow that doesn't accumulate to brief sleet to rain for DC. I've seen this storm many times before. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ji said: its also kind of fringed. I like the south trend but we need to stop the bleeding a bit? Little more south might be good. Not biased or anything 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Euro just caused me a huge problem. I disrobed at hr78 but that's normal. Then someone knocked on my door and forgot I had no clothes on. Waiting for arraignment. If I need money for bail I'll post a gofundme link later I’ll definitely contribute, BC. I understand that Panic Room complex residents get extra time stay chits for the same behavior. The Reaper is much more progressive..as always ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: But also, this you bruh? Yeah it is me, and I'm 1000000% still expecting that. I have like 40" of day 3 Euro snow this season. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: Not saying it happens with this one, maybe the confluence will just win out but there has been somewhat of a trend to suppress things (get it to go south) in the 48-84 hour ranges and then the inevitable north shift in the 24 hours to gametime frame...just something to think about is all, I mean most of us would probably still be good for a thump even if that happens The positive is there is really good model consensus for a good thump and right now most areas have some wiggle room. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 If we can get a nice 6-8” thump before sleet and a dry slot, that’s the ultimate outcome with a storm tracking over us or to our west. Can’t ask for much better than that in our area in this type of setup. Man… Just imagine we could somehow get the SLP / the 850 low to track to our south. This would be a monster. Afraid we’re too close for that drastic of a trend but damn, it’d be nice. Whoever stays all snow just NW of the fall line is going to get destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 If anyone looks at this h5 panel and thinks suppression is even a remote concern, they need to kick themselves square in the nutz 2 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, jayyy said: If we can get a nice 6-8” thump before sleet and a dry slot, that’s the ultimate outcome with a storm tracking over us or to our west. Can’t ask for much better than that in our area in this type of setup. Man… Just imagine we could somehow get the SLP / the 850 low to track to our south. This would be a monster. Afraid we’re too close for that drastic of a trend but damn, it’d be nice. Whoever stays all snow just NW of the fall line is going to get destroyed. You want a little freezing rain. Or at least I do. That’s gives you the concrete on top. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: If anyone looks at this h5 panel and thinks suppression is even a remote concern, they need to kick themselves square in the nutz How on Earth is that snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 If we can get a nice 6-8” thump before sleet and a dry slot, that’s the ultimate outcome with a storm tracking over us or to our west. Can’t ask for much better than that in our area in this type of setup. Man… Just imagine we could somehow get the SLP / the 850 low to track to our south. This would be a monster. Afraid we’re too close for that drastic of a trend but damn, it’d be nice. Whoever stays all snow just NW of the fall line is going to get destroyed. Plenty of time for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 H5’s change . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, DCAlexandria said: Plenty of time for this . You think? I haven’t been able to do to much in the way of tracking outside of checking in on this thread because of a busy work schedule. How far west does the UKMET/PARA/Euro currently track the SLP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: How on Earth is that snow? See the flat h5 isobars over new england? That's blocking high pressure from running away and the antecedent airmass is plenty cold for a time. 3 days ago it was a ridge highway for cold to run away faster than Usain Bolt. Even with "above normal heights", the starting point with temps prior is below normal and fairly deep cold to our north to boot. The crux of our problem (easily escaping cold high pressure) has morphed into something different. It's still a deep trough too far west and not enough blocking to keep the entire thing south of us. When CPA and NYC are bone dry on models we can worry about suppression. I see no way for that to happen in just 3 days tho 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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