snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Gotta flirt w the line to get the goods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 WB 12Z EURO 4 am Th (se of 6Z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I was kinda joking earlier about suppression but if we keep going at this rate..... Imo only attm but the best case scenario in my mind is the proverbial thump to dryslot with 75%+ snowfall for all (or 100% in psu's yard). Ccb/deform/backside aint happenin (nude jumping jacks if i bust on this). Love the 12z global suite tho. I guess getting it backwards is helping. Meaning we went from despair/rain towards potentially real snow this time. Opposite of everything I've tracked since coming back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, snowfan said: Gotta flirt w the line to get the goods. this is the first model run that has shown heavy snow at 18z lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I don't have access to soundings but jeez we might even be frozen still at hr 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Even at 0Z, dc still holding in the 20s w the warm intrusion aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: Imo only attm but the best case scenario in my mind is the proverbial thump to dryslot with 75%+ snowfall for all (or 100% in psu's yard). Ccb/deform/backside aint happenin. Love the 12z global suite tho. I guess getting it backwards is helping. Meaning we went from despair/rain towards potentially real snow this time. Opposite of everything I've tracked since coming back this might be the first time since Feb 2015 ive seen a cutter trend into a monster snow for us lol 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Its a crushjob for all of us. All snow west of the Blue ridge like the UK. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I see it now. Yeah, good snow at 78...almost look like a classic type snow if it weren't gonna flip. Definitely colder tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 euro still has me at light snow at 00z lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Very good run for most of us. Damn. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I see it now. Yeah, good snow at 78...almost look like a classic type snow if it weren't gonna flip. Definitely colder tho things looked so grim a few days. Just to review what we have gone through Wave 1--was north for alot of people. Congrats Baltimore and Cape Wave 2--went way too far south Wave 3--came out of nowhere to be an overproducer but again now snow Then the Tuesday severe winter storm that was modeled for days became rain and 33. No frozen at all And thursday storm was looking like a mixy/rainy cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 {Insert Godfather 2 3 meme} Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 WB 700 mb is colder throughout Th 6Z v 12Z 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Its a crushjob for all of us. All snow west of the Blue ridge like the UK. Short pump, too? 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Given the setup and seasonal trends, you really couldn’t ask for a better run. 4-8” thump of snow to sleet and then precip is outta here. 1”+ QPF for many. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I see it now. Yeah, good snow at 78...almost look like a classic type snow if it weren't gonna flip. Definitely colder tho Legitimately the first model run that has struck me as a really nice DC snow maker. We don't even approach freezing at the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Northern MD never gets above 26-27 degrees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Too bad it is the euro and it has been dreadful all season! 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Its a crushjob for all of us. All snow west of the Blue ridge like the UK. Do you mean east...I don’t care about WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: this might be the first time since Feb 2015 ive seen a cutter trend into a monster snow for us lol The things happening in the right direction are at like 48 hours now. Trend is real. Psu's biggest fear is mine too tho. I razz and joke with him but I 100% agree midlevel warmth racing north quicker than the globals show is basically a lock. But how far south with the race start line be? Man, para/ukie/euro all say far enough to get hit flush. Just dont freak out when the trend reverses because it will in the closing 24-36 hours imo 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Imgoinhungry said: Too bad it is the euro and it has been dreadful all season! Was on a terrible streak but nailed the ice storm from impressive range and consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 NSFW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Northern MD never gets above 26-27 degrees. good. lets see if we can make it 3 weeks of snow cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 WB 12Z v 0Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, GATECH said: Do you mean east...I don’t care about WV No west. My area to be specific. East of the Blue Ridge does flip. But DC gets .6 QPF as snow from hours 72 to 78. It is a pummeling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, jacindc said: {Insert Godfather 2 meme} 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Too bad it is the euro and it has been dreadful all season! It's been a gut puncher this year but if you believe the euro from hrs 48-60 in the mid&upper levels (I do), a disastrous outcome could be further away than we want to let ourselves believe. Disastrous is subjective tho 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro verbatim is nasty down here around EZF. About 3” of snow then some sleet and like a half inch of Ice..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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