LeesburgWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 4". I'll take it. Maybe I should re-word that On Love Day too, wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Para is now available on WB. About time! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 4". I'll take it. Maybe I should re-word that You’re not very picky. Color me shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 LOL Mount Holly talkin' lots of rain and possible flooding with melting snowpack for the late week deal in their latest AFD. They ain't buying these somewhat colder solutions, at least not yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 A piece of the TPV hanging around longer again on the GFS over SE Canada. Seems to help initially suppress the flow a bit over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4". I'll take it. Maybe I should re-word thatWere bleeding. I think it was 7 before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awilson Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Thursday is looking tastyyyyyyy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 GFS positioning looks the same re: snow/sleet line, but precip looks heavier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 26 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 4". I'll take it. Maybe I should re-word that Were bleeding. I think it was 7 before But we're not tho. Don't the GFS ever had me at 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 About that same as 12z, maybe a hair colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 GFS positioning looks the same re: snow/sleet line, but precip looks heavierHeavy snow and 23 for a few hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 RGEM has snow into my area at 6z Thursday. Seems to be a little faster than the other models? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: About that same as 12z, maybe a hair colder. Yeah pretty much identical so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: 28 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 4". I'll take it. Maybe I should re-word that Were bleeding. I think it was 7 before What the hell are you talking about?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Gfs still way too north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 hours ago, CAPE said: Looks like a weak NS wave on the means. Maybe a couple inches for NE? I suppose it could trend better. If the 50/50 is a little slower to move out, and with the NAO going negative again it could be, that could trend south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 What the hell are you talking about?. The icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Ji said: Just now, ravensrule said: What the hell are you talking about?. The icon Lol, you have officially lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Quite the nasty ZR stomr at 96...but might be mitigated by heavy rates? Anyway, GFS may even be too warm if we are using @high risk rule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: What the hell are you talking about?. The icon lol, wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Quite the nasty ZR stomr at 96...but might be mitigated by heavy rates? Anyway, GFS may even be too warm if we are using @high risk rule What does it have for temps around that time at least compared to 12Z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 RGEM has snow into my area at 6z Thursday. Seems to be a little faster than the other models?Beatdown incoming 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Ji said: Beatdown incoming hopefully for all of us. Just give me one panel with that dark blue. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Quite the nasty ZR stomr at 96...but might be mitigated by heavy rates? Anyway, GFS may even be too warm if we are using @high risk rule I don't think it would be mitigated by rates for at least the first 6-12 hours of the storm. It's a little chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: What does it have for temps around that time at least compared to 12Z? Almost exactly the same to a degree. 26 12z and 25 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I don't think it would be mitigated by rates for at least the first 6-12 hours of the storm. It's a little chilly. I mean, its plenty cold, just going by the old rule that heavier rates aren't as "good" for accretion. Lot of that could just run off if it's super heavy. I dunno. We might wanna ask one of those guys with the red tags to be sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I don't think it would be mitigated by rates for at least the first 6-12 hours of the storm. It's a little chilly. And that's the "warm bias " op gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I know we brought up ICON but this is a snow/ice disaster. that's all frozen anywhere where temps are 32 or lower here. historically bad ice storm for VA/NC/SC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Almost exactly the same to a degree. 26 12z and 25 18z That's about a 1 degree difference right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Para GFS is a bit more of a thump for the general area. 850s holding on stronger than it's op brother FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts