aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 But up north gets more than us...toss 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 This run the NS wave (1) came in behind the southern wave (2) and phased. Want this to become a monster for us just need that NS to dig a bit more. Once they phase the upper feature tracks east under the block but that happens just north of our latitude. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 CMC with a similar solution....not the phased bomb but front end type deal. 0z was suppressed to Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 WB 12Z inside 10 What the heck is WB? Warner Brothers?Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 The block retrogrades a bit too far west this run which allows the 50/50 to escape and too much ridging. That’s part of why the storm gains so much latitude before the jump. Ggem looks similar at the surface but for a completely different reason. The blocking stays further east but links up with the mid latitude ridge which causes a cutter. Both still get us some frozen despite a west track. The big takeaway is the American globals finally picked up on a healthy wave ejecting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Winter 20-21 lol I'd say this means we're on track on the evolutionary cycle though. (At a far away point there is a break-I believe.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: What the heck is WB? Warner Brothers? Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Weather Bell...lawyer in me giving them credit for their maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: Winter 20-21 lol I'd say this means we're on track on the evolutionary cycle though. (At a far away point there is a break-I believe.) Something is definitely broken 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Channeling my inner ji...... Great storm for about 10 posters on this subforum. Sucks for everyone else. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 I’d rather see the CAPE storm or the stormtracker storn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 19 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Something is definitely broken I was saying Arctic ice melt was behind what was really happening for a few years now, since 2017-2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I’d rather see the CAPE storm or the stormtracker storn Not sure what the criteria is. I guess you have to claim you spotted the potential first. I probably identified one of these periods pretty early on, but idgaf about storm naming, as long as it snows in my yard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 WB 12Z GEFS through Day 9...interesting that several of the members take the heavy snow south of DMV... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 37 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This run the NS wave (1) came in behind the southern wave (2) and phased. Want this to become a monster for us just need that NS to dig a bit more. Once they phase the upper feature tracks east under the block but that happens just north of our latitude. That primary making it that far north kills us...but I 10000% happier to be in THIS position now than to keep seeing shit fly south of us and straight off the coast. Let's see if this look holds or is it a blip. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Not sure what the criteria is. I guess you have to claim you spotted the potential first. I probably identified one of these periods pretty early on, but idgaf about storm naming, as long as it snows in my yard. My point was a psu or Wiggum storm is probably no bueno for us. Referring to location not name. Wiggum is in PA. That won’t help me or you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not sure what the criteria is. I guess you have to claim you spotted the potential first. I probably identified one of these periods pretty early on, but idgaf about storm naming, as long as it snows in my yard. Same. Just give me the SNOW storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 For reference, this looks a little better than 0z for that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS through Day 9...interesting that several of the members take the heavy snow south of DMV... The mean to our north is skewed high by a camp of members that really bomb the storm and crush just to our northeast. Kind of a miller b evolution but a hybrid not a total screw job here. But there is a camp that’s still somewhat suppressed and targets just to our south. That’s not a bad spot to be at this range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: I was saying Arctic ice melt was behind what was really happening for a few years now, since 2017-2018. Makes total sense now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: My point was a psu or Wiggum storm is probably no bueno for us. Referring to location not name. Wiggum is in PA. That won’t help me or you Gotcha. I think the naming is usually based on who supposedly first saw the threat window for the region, not specific location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not sure what the criteria is. I guess you have to claim you spotted the potential first. I probably identified one of these periods pretty early on, but idgaf about storm naming, as long as it snows in my yard. 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Same. Just give me the SNOW storm. I thought we stopped with the storm name thing. Besides I’m sure some high school kid from Delaware on Twitter called it back in June. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The mean to our north is skewed high by a camp of members that really bomb the storm and crush just to our northeast. Kind of a miller b evolution but a hybrid not a total screw job here. But there is a camp that’s still somewhat suppressed and targets just to our south. That’s not a bad spot to be at this range. Nina, so miller b is a definite thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: I thought we stopped with the storm name thing. Besides I’m sure some high school kid from Delaware on Twitter called it back in June. Who knows, but there should never be one named Ralph Wiggum storm. Sorry Ralph. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Could be nice early Feb. even beyond as well 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Could be nice early Feb. even beyond as well Looks like we are getting those rare wall to wall winters where we are constantly tracking Just just the winter actually included things like cold and snow Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Cmc ensembles target central VA for the day 9 threat. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Cmc ensembles target central VA for the day 9 threat. Congrats Greenville scSent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Looks like 12z Euro took away our light snow showers on Thursday/Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 But its ejecting the ssw energy sooner Early ejection is good in this case!Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 The GFS has been showing wave after wave of vodka cold air coming out of Canada for about a week now. Now instead of it being 14 days out it's only 7 days out and its still showing up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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