Ruin Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 41 minutes ago, dailylurker said: CMC called that a week ago. I'm ready to end this dumpster fire anyway. when you still hear online weather and local weather forecasters claiming the cold air is coming or artic blast incoming. even if it was coming 20s for my area is never considered artic highs in the teens or below would be artic not 20s 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0.4"-0.8" ice... nice lol... mainly centered along i95 corridor as wellIcon has a severe ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 06z GFS also has an ice to dryslot event all day Thursday which later turns into "rains to Maine" Friday with 51 at DCA and heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 21 minutes ago, yoda said: lulz 06z GFS says oh you thought you were done? Nice try... come back into my parlor with my major ice storm Monday night into Tuesday morning for all of you Kicks out everything in one full wave instead of two this run so there is no Tue/Wed storm anymore... only the Mon/Tues storm Yeah, in terms of ice, that run was dirty. Mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 18 minutes ago, yoda said: 0.4"-0.8" ice... nice lol... mainly centered along i95 corridor as well I promise you that in 24-36 hours, it will be .01 of ice or plain rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I promise you that in 24-36 hours, it will be .01 of ice or plain rain. i dunno... that para GFS/GFS/ICON combo is pretty mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, yoda said: i dunno... that para GFS/GFS/ICON combo is pretty mean Remember when they had a severe ice storm for tomorrow? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Remember when they had a severe ice storm for tomorrow? well NAM twins brought it back for the most part... not severe... but still couple tenths Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Just now, yoda said: well NAM twins brought it back for the most part... not severe... but still couple tenths One thing that’s almost a lock is snow not being part of the equation. This dusting we had is about all we are going to see. Tragic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: One thing that’s almost a lock is snow not being part of the equation. This dusting we had is about all we are going to see. Tragic. Realistically snow has not been on the table for a while now outside of far NW areas maybe. The late next week threat still holds some promise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 hours ago, Ruin said: so much for the artic air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: I think if Thursday doesn't work...then from a historical standpoint, then we might be able to call it. Not winter has ever produced anything sizeable (that is at least 5") between February 21st-28th, and March is, well...March, lol So next week could be our last shot, I'm afraid February 1986 had three snow events on the 22nd, 24th and 26-7th: 3.6, 3.6 and 1.8 inches respectively at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 6 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Not just but the snow is a significant factor. But I have an amazing view, big property, it’s nice up here in the summer. It’s a great property to raise kids. But the snow was a part of it. I barely can tolerate the typical level of snow here...I couldn’t be happy living in DC or Baltimore. Up here I know I’m guaranteed at least some decent snow every year. But frankly I can’t wait to move somewhere that gets like 150” a year and has snow on the ground from Thanksgiving to Easter. I wonder what housing prices are like on the Tug Hill Plateau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 26 minutes ago, kgottwald said: I wonder what housing prices are like on the Tug Hill Plateau. Yeah, I love the DC area. I have a job I love, so much to do around here, etc. But when I retire I’ll be moving to somewhere snowier. Possible places, Lake Tahoe, Alaska, Maine, Adirondacks. Tug Hill is snowy but not a ton to do there the rest of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 31 minutes ago, kgottwald said: I wonder what housing prices are like on the Tug Hill Plateau. Cheap. Really cheap. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Unless you're going west or just want a ski resort experience I'd go with the Keweenaw peninsula in upper peninsula of Michigan. An average of 200+ inches a year with snow on the ground for several months at a time, pretty scenery. You'd miss out on east coast storms of course. Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 You don't wanna move somewhere just because they have a ton of snow. It's probably not going to workout for you. You will be bored pretty damn fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: You don't wanna move somewhere just because they have a ton of snow. It's probably not going to workout for you. You will be bored pretty damn fast. Some of the best places for snow are also full of various outdoor activities that’ll keep you far from boredom. Denver and parts of NE are great examples of that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Remember a week ago when the advertised h5 look for the upcoming period looked like this? What we are actually seeing is a simple adjustment to what is more typical for a Nina. Shift the phase of the longwave pattern west and amp the SE ridge. Too easy to simply attribute that to Nina though. 1. We haven’t had any SE ridge all winter...2. The Mjo is not in a typical Nina phase right now so ironically we’re getting a Nina response without Nina tropical pac forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Cheap. Really cheap. https://tughillrealestate.com/homes-for-sale-details/7434-CO-RT-17-BOYLSTON-NY-13083/S1314416/99/ I am working on my wife right now.. i think we are gonna buy it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 9 minutes ago, blueberryfaygo said: https://tughillrealestate.com/homes-for-sale-details/7434-CO-RT-17-BOYLSTON-NY-13083/S1314416/99/ I am working on my wife right now.. i think we are gonna buy it. Nice little place. If you bite, you might want to consider putting in a small trap door at the roof peak for egress, in case they get one of their 120"+ single-event snowfalls. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 @psuhoffman What do we need to be on the winning side for next Tuesday? TPV in a better location? Less wave on Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flsch22 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 you may also want to consider the Adirondacks. We have a place in Lake Pleasant and the region is beautiful. Not as much lake effect snow but probably get more from coastals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Too easy to simply attribute that to Nina though. 1. We haven’t had any SE ridge all winter...2. The Mjo is not in a typical Nina phase right now so ironically we’re getting a Nina response without Nina tropical pac forcing. The SE ridge might have been tame but the WAR has caused problems at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 HM posted the revenge/return of the North Atlantic low....assuming that means the end of the -NAO or at least temporary end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 This thread is awesome with all of its discussion about the long-term looks in the last 6 pages. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Watch that northern stream feature starting to show on the RGEM and the icon. Might influence our Tuesday system and it’s just starting to become more prominent 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awilson Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 HM said toss the GFS for storm late next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 21 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The SE ridge might have been tame but the WAR has caused problems at times. Have said over and over that the WAR , and the configuration of warmth is a player. HM even stated the above average NW Atlantic SST anomaly does exist. Bluewave mentioned it had a hand in the wet period last Summer. It seems it is a major factor in keeping the Eastern Untied States warmer than normal. Also, in the summer it may play a role in higher overnight lows and increased dew points as well. National Geographic did a special last year on hurricanes in the Atlantic. In it it was mentioned that the periphery of the WAR when looked at over time seems to be edging more Western and North putting the major cites of the Eastern seaboard at risk for a powerful hurricane in the years ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 GFS looks less icy and warmer for Tuesday... Monday storm offshore did seem stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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