snowfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 QPF for saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 44 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: GEFS look tasty for late next week. They ALWAYS look tasty for 4 days or more. Same with the GFS...Same with the Euro. F them all. I'm about to go full fukushima /three mile island 5 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: They ALWAYS look tasty for 4 days or more. Same with the GFS...Same with the Euro. F them all. I'm about to go full fukushima /three mile island Don't forget Chernobyl... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 6 minutes ago, snowfan said: QPF for saturday Is this for what is supposed to be the sleet bomb? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: They ALWAYS look tasty for 4 days or more. Same with the GFS...Same with the Euro. F them all. I'm about to go full fukushima /three mile island Brb I'm making some popcorn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 There is no way the storm on the gfs around 132 misses us. No way lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 How is DT's forecast looking now??? Asking for a friend...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: They ALWAYS look tasty for 4 days or more. Same with the GFS...Same with the Euro. F them all. I'm about to go full fukushima /three mile island Don’t let anybody start a storm thread until 24 hours out. Problem solved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 26 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Lunch break. Loving the long range look. IDGAF about ptype problems. The "gauntlet" is very narrow between all ptypes. That will work itself out in due time. Just keep running stuff at us from the southwest with the arctic eyeball wobbling all over the upper midwest. Can't ask for much more really. Well, I mean you can if you want to. I'll wait until something sets the hooks but for now winter wx is upon us for several weeks off and on. That is never bad. Never ever ever bad. Thanks for the optimism and trying to mitigate the meltdowns. The other thread is a total disaster and some of us are trying to find comfort in the next week threats... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Euro starts off as a NASTY ice storm for Tuesday. Temps in the low 20s with a bunch of rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t let anybody start a storm thread until 24 hours out. Problem solved Just don't start the thread period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Euro took a very positive step for the storm next week. A couple more shifts like that is all we need. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just want to let you guys know that 2mT verification on the Euro is not good right now for areas south of I-80. It's got a significant warm bias as it struggles with the shallow cold airmasses. Just a reminder when looking at model temps verbatim as it could be too warm within the boundary layer. This will be significant for the weekend potential. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Euro took a very positive step for the storm next week. A couple more shifts like that is all we need. indeed....how do we get that transfer from KY to the coast. 5050low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: indeed....how do we get that transfer from KY to the coast. 5050low? A 1007 low just kicked a 1040 high in the balls and said get out of my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Just want to let you guys know that 2mT verification on the Euro is not good right now for areas south of I-80. It's got a significant warm bias as it struggles with the shallow cold airmasses. Just a reminder when looking at model temps verbatim as it could be too warm within the boundary layer. This will be significant for the weekend potential. It also has a significant WRONG bias! Ohhh... 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: A 1007 low just kicked a 1040 high in the balls and said get out of my way. Not saying it’s right, so don’t kill me, but this trough axis is positive way too fast. Kind of like the December event. This one would have a much better lower level cold airmass so I think euro is scouring out the cold too fast, but we need to work on this look. It took a step though as psu noted so that’s good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 The Euro gives over 2 inches of ice total from the Weekend into next week with two different storms the whole area would be in shambles, no power for weeks any chance it can turn into a snow storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: The Euro gives over 2 inches of ice total from the Weekend into next week with two different storms the whole area would be in shambles, no power for weeks any chance it can turn into a snow storm? Only if the Euro is wrong, which hasn't happened for a long, long time.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hypothetical 240 hour snow Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I agree with the consensus here, the Euro is not modeling the CAD setup very well for early next week's system, yeah I could see a non-snow event for sure, but the 00z run had like a true warm sector airmass with 50-60 temps over the Mid-Atlantic... ain't happening with that High in place to start the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: The Euro gives over 2 inches of ice total from the Weekend into next week with two different storms the whole area would be in shambles, no power for weeks any chance it can turn into a snow storm? , 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 35 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: There is no way the storm on the gfs around 132 misses us. No way lol Hi, you must be new here. My name is Randy. Humble brag here, I was one of the founders of this place. But that's not my claim to fame. I coined the term Dr. No and have done nothing of note since. I'm the administrator here. I'd like to welcome you to the Mid Atlantic forum. What day this week did you move here? 3 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Here’s a model run I saved from December. I’m sure the final result was somewhat like this, but either way, Canada was def a bit different but both had similar ridging issues on EC and trough axis with main vort 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 We love to shit on the GFS and coronate the Euro, but the GFS has been handling it's own and going toe to toe with the Euro as of late. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Hi, you must be new here. My name is Randy. Humble brag here, I was one of the founders of this place. But that's not my claim to fame. I coined the term Dr. No and have done nothing of note since. I'm the administrator here. I'd like to welcome you to the Mid Atlantic forum. What day this week did you move here? I’m trying a new tactic. I’m gonna try telling the models what to do and see how that works out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Here’s a model run I saved from December. I’m sure the final result was somewhat like this, but either way, Canada was def a bit different but both had similar ridging issues on EC and trough axis with main vort Then it’s gonna snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Some improvement on the 12z EPS. Stronger/souther NA vortex...better confluence...stronger surface high pressure compared to 0z. Still work to do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 42 minutes ago, Ji said: indeed....how do we get that transfer from KY to the coast. 5050low? some combo of a little slower with the departing TPV to our northeast...a little less phasing of the NS/SS to our west, the trough out west to shift east slightly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: some combo of a little slower with the departing TPV to our northeast...a little less phasing of the NS/SS to our west, the trough out west to shift east slightly that's it? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 17 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Here’s a model run I saved from December. I’m sure the final result was somewhat like this, but either way, Canada was def a bit different but both had similar ridging issues on EC and trough axis with main vort Yea but the main problem with December IMO was it was December. The surface low took a perfect track but there was a ton of mid level warmth that blasted well NW. I would take my chances on a similar setup in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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