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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED


WinterWxLuvr
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Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

I know people down south hate em for good reason, but I wouldn’t mind a legit ice storm. We never get them in Philly anymore. Unless it’s sleet, we’re really good at that. 
 

 

yea Sleet is BS....if we get an ice storm.....i want rain and 19 lol

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2 minutes ago, yoda said:

Looking at the 00z UKIE and 00z GEFS mean taking away my snow

you need to take long range guidance holistically.  Yes this one GEFS run was (oddly) further north with the waves next week and so cut back the snow mean in DC a bit.  But the last several runs of the GEFS were all further south then the op and were snowy next week.  The op this run was south.  The GGEM is south.  The UK is so south is squashes the wave.  The last run the euro trended south.  The seasonal trend from that range is south.  If you take the full scope and preponderance of evidence its good.  If you just laser in on the one thing that is not good you will just agitate yourself for no reason.  The GEFS could, and probably will, shift back south next run.  

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10 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ugly for us...barely ice and probably gonna change over really quickly.  Was hoping for some secondary on the coast or something

And yet, like psu said...storms have not been cutting in this pattern. I mean seriously....how do you cut into a dang 1040 HP? Lol And also...how often has such a heavy ice-rain scenario actually happened?

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