yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, snowfan said: GFS w a nice slug of precip for Saturday as well, but later in the day. Arriving around 18z w temps in the mid 20s. Sleety. Looks like 5 to 10 hours of sleet... great lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Slightly stronger HP and a tad further south at 120 on 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 More ridging out on front at 132 00z GFS compared to 138 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hm... Canadian remains all snow for NW of DC for this weekend's system. Somewhat light on QPF so that might be why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, yoda said: More ridging out on front at 132 00z GFS compared to 138 18z GFS If that can cut anything can cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hmmm... 1010mb SLP extreme SW GA but 1038mb HP in S Quebec at 150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: Hmmm... 1010mb SLP extreme SW GA but 1038mb HP in S Quebec at 150 162 is pretty sweet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: 162 is pretty sweet I see temps of 20 to 25 at 162 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: 162 is pretty sweet Dark bluez! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: I see temps of 20 to 25 at 162 lol It’s better west but ever the cities crash and flip to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 We are gonna be doing a Roberto Duran before this is over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looks great, but books out fast. We need to slow that bad boy down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 WB GFS middle of next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 GFS gets it done. Should fall apart in about 140 hours 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS gets it done. Should fall apart in about 6 hours FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Oh look guidance adjusting south in the day 5-7 period...SHOCKED. You mean storms don't just cut up into 1045 high pressure systems with a -5 stdv AO. BTW earlier today out of curiosity I was cycling back several days on the guidance and at that range they showed this storm upon us now (that might even end up south of some of us) cutting and almost in the exact same way they were showing the system next week...by over emphasizing the northern stream and phasing too much with the TPV in the upper midwest...and you could see them adjust and do less and less and less each run until it ended up a wave going under us. Not shocked to see signs of the same adjustment. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 With that look, I think we got a legit chance to trend toward a snow event 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS gets it done. Should fall apart in about 140 hours I get the feeling that it won't...this would be something that, if the threat is still there by like, Saturday/Sunday, it may actually be happening. That kind of moisture...hard to see it drying up or something, lol But for now, still a lot of model runs to come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 PARA-GFS sends another one our way HR 204 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Look at what the storm for Friday looked like when it was 150 hours away. There is a VERY predictable and repetitive pattern this season of guidance wanting to phase systems with the NS to our west and cut things into the blocking...and it has never actually happened. We have missed a few perfect track systems because of lack of cold, we have missed a couple storms because they phased off the coast too late, and we missed a few storms that got suppressed. They have not been cutting like that despite what guidance shows 150-200 hours away. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: With that look, I think we got a legit chance to trend toward a snow event Feel like we are on a super ski lift today going from the valley to the mountain and back to the valley in record time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 The para is a parade of storms 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Look at what the storm for Friday looked like when it was 150 hours away. There is a VERY predictable and repetitive pattern this season of guidance wanting to phase systems with the NS to our west and cut things into the blocking...and it has never actually happened. We have missed a few perfect track systems because of lack of cold, we have missed a couple storms because they phased off the coast too late, and we missed a few storms that got suppressed. They have not been cutting like that despite what guidance shows 150-200 hours away. GFS has us below 32 for from Hour 54 to 240 and its still going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Seemed like a attack to me . I sure wouldn't have said that to u but I'm moving on. Again why are u saying these 100 words to me after an apology? We don’t want to turn this into a mess but nice to see someone else noticing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Seemed like a attack to me . I sure wouldn't have said that to u but I'm moving on. Again why are u saying these 100 words to me after an apology? I am honestly not sure what you took as an attack...but I am sorry I upset you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: The para is a parade of storms It's like a vinyl LP record that is scratched and keeps repeating the same groove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: We don’t want to turn this into a mess but nice to see someone else noticing. I didn't mean to attack or offend him. Whatever I said to upset him was unintended. I INTEND to attack you and will continue to so long as you continue to make the unsubstantiated and unwarranted SLANDER that you perpetrate against the dedicated scientists (some of whom frequent this board) who work in NWP! It's disgusting and ridiculous and you should be ashamed of yourself! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Models are trending slower to shift the tpv out, as psu noted this years trend is your friend for next week: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Models are trending slower to shift the tpv out, as psu noted this years trend is your friend for next week: look at the GFS 2m temps. From hour 54 to what looks like the end of the run...i dont think we see above freezing. Thats nuts 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 CMC gets it done next week too 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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