WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s pretty temporary And we’ve seen that look not come to fruition before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 37 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s pretty temporary 27 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And we’ve seen that look not come to fruition before Agreed. You can't take a one-frame snip of a multi-week model run and make some sort of definitive comment about where the pattern will be going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, frd said: This wasn't the look I thought we were going to. Thats kind of picking the worst panel... and doesn't really give a good overview of the general pattern evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 ICON is something like a 2-3" deal for this weekend, at least for the general DC area. Hard to tell fully because it's obscured by the last event, but will be easier to see when surface panels come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Cobalt said: ICON is something like a 2-3" deal for this weekend, at least for the general DC area. Hard to tell fully because it's obscured by the last event, but will be easier to see when surface panels come out. Nice to see Icon still on the snow train for the weekend. Looks like a 2 to 4" deal with higher amounts close to the M/D line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Nice to see Icon still on the snow train for the weekend. Looks like a 2 to 4" deal with higher amounts close to the M/D line we need a south shift lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Ji said: we need a south shift lol We need a north shift then south shift then another south shift for Tuesday. Make it happen! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 12 minutes ago, Chris78 said: We need a north shift then south shift then another south shift for Tuesday. Make it happen! do we know why these keeps happening lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS is lost with all the waves of energy and the sprawling Highs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 Is this model drunk? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun? Heavy, heavy snow 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Heavy, heavy snow So heavy it shows up white on the modeling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 20 minutes ago, Ji said: ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter looks like the best setup (on paper) that the gfs is dishing out right now. banana high to the north. plenty of moisture. euro is icy, though, and took a step back from 0z so we'll see what happens with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter With those adjustments...that would come together for the big punch we so desperately have wanted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter I’m fine with it just the way it is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Haha there's just a bit going on over the next 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 43 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Heavy, heavy snow Clearly whiteout conditions - congrats! 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 That Tuesday event is quickly becoming a Monday/Tuesday event with precip riding along the boundary. What a crazy week we have coming. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Is this model drunk? Need to change the ink. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 26 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Need to change the ink. I mean seriously. Have you ever seen something like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 18z EURO looked like it was about to hit us all with a decent ice storm on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Bouncy House Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 hours ago, Ji said: can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun? Massive CAD signature. Too cold for snow, or anything else. And no you may not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: The hp orientation looks better to me . Maybe extraping it's some snow sleet vs sleet ice at least to begin. A Eps cluster has snow for a portion of the storm. What a great week it's been and week ahead for tracking. Tracking game is fun but you gotta bag one and eat eventually or the result is still starvation. I’m hungry! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just looking at the teleconnection charts, the period 14-16 may be our best shot the rest of February. Others have mentioned this period. The PNA is still neutral, the NAO is going toward neutral, and we haven’t lost the the AO yet...if a storm is not too amped we could score, we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 33 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: The hp orientation looks better to me . Maybe extraping it's some snow sleet vs sleet ice at least to begin. Confluence to the Northeast definitely ticked south lookin at it A Eps cluster has snow for a portion of the storm. What a great week it's been and week ahead for tracking. We have had a pretty good winter up here so far...but you have to realize a LOT of people in this forum have been screwed over time after time after time and are sitting way below climo for this date despite the "great" pattern and "fun tracking" and until they get an actual flush hit with good snow on the ground the fun of this is gone. I totally get it. We need a big hit for the DC/Baltimore area STAT because all these threats without any payoff just gets stressful and old after a while. I really hope one of the next few waves becomes a real genuine thump hit for DC/Baltimore so it doesn't get ugly in here. 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I mean seriously. Have you ever seen something like that? No, I have to assume it's a glitch of some sort. Sometimes I would run a model and it would look like it would skip during the run. They certainly have their flaws imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 18z eps had less ridging vs 12z at 144 hours. We have a sprawling 1044hp to work with. Just need the confluence to trend better from the departing ULL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 50 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I don't appreciate this . I personally love tracking. Imo the best part . Why do u feel the need to say this to me I'm not sure? . I grew up in Baltimore. I know there climo . How was my post putting anyone down ? Really ? It wasn't meant as an attack on you...and I apologize if it came off that way. But I guess I was saying I understand the less enthusiastic tone coming from most of this forum compared to your excitement. If I was living in Baltimore, and I think of lot of them feel this way, I wouldn't give a crap about models or tracking or ANYTHING except getting some freaking snow on my lawn right freaking now at this point. They have waited years to get a decent snowfall and have been nothing but teased endlessly this winter. You love the chase and that is awesome...I love the chase also but at some point there has to be a payoff or it gets frustrating imo. We have had a payoff up here. I was just pointing out that I hope they get a hit very soon, hopefully this week, so the mood in here doesn't get depressing. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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