Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 11 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Nice to see Icon still on the snow train for the weekend. Looks like a 2 to 4" deal with higher amounts close to the M/D line we need a south shift lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Ji said: we need a south shift lol We need a north shift then south shift then another south shift for Tuesday. Make it happen! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 12 minutes ago, Chris78 said: We need a north shift then south shift then another south shift for Tuesday. Make it happen! do we know why these keeps happening lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS is lost with all the waves of energy and the sprawling Highs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 Is this model drunk? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun? Heavy, heavy snow 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Heavy, heavy snow So heavy it shows up white on the modeling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 20 minutes ago, Ji said: ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter looks like the best setup (on paper) that the gfs is dishing out right now. banana high to the north. plenty of moisture. euro is icy, though, and took a step back from 0z so we'll see what happens with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter With those adjustments...that would come together for the big punch we so desperately have wanted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: ill take the GFS for next tuesday with a few adjustments and call it a winter I’m fine with it just the way it is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Haha there's just a bit going on over the next 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 43 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Heavy, heavy snow Clearly whiteout conditions - congrats! 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 That Tuesday event is quickly becoming a Monday/Tuesday event with precip riding along the boundary. What a crazy week we have coming. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Is this model drunk? Need to change the ink. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 26 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Need to change the ink. I mean seriously. Have you ever seen something like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 18z EURO looked like it was about to hit us all with a decent ice storm on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying Bouncy House Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 hours ago, Ji said: can we just get a normal coastal. what is the white hole in Western Loudoun? Massive CAD signature. Too cold for snow, or anything else. And no you may not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: The hp orientation looks better to me . Maybe extraping it's some snow sleet vs sleet ice at least to begin. A Eps cluster has snow for a portion of the storm. What a great week it's been and week ahead for tracking. Tracking game is fun but you gotta bag one and eat eventually or the result is still starvation. I’m hungry! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just looking at the teleconnection charts, the period 14-16 may be our best shot the rest of February. Others have mentioned this period. The PNA is still neutral, the NAO is going toward neutral, and we haven’t lost the the AO yet...if a storm is not too amped we could score, we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 33 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: The hp orientation looks better to me . Maybe extraping it's some snow sleet vs sleet ice at least to begin. Confluence to the Northeast definitely ticked south lookin at it A Eps cluster has snow for a portion of the storm. What a great week it's been and week ahead for tracking. We have had a pretty good winter up here so far...but you have to realize a LOT of people in this forum have been screwed over time after time after time and are sitting way below climo for this date despite the "great" pattern and "fun tracking" and until they get an actual flush hit with good snow on the ground the fun of this is gone. I totally get it. We need a big hit for the DC/Baltimore area STAT because all these threats without any payoff just gets stressful and old after a while. I really hope one of the next few waves becomes a real genuine thump hit for DC/Baltimore so it doesn't get ugly in here. 6 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I mean seriously. Have you ever seen something like that? No, I have to assume it's a glitch of some sort. Sometimes I would run a model and it would look like it would skip during the run. They certainly have their flaws imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 18z eps had less ridging vs 12z at 144 hours. We have a sprawling 1044hp to work with. Just need the confluence to trend better from the departing ULL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 50 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I don't appreciate this . I personally love tracking. Imo the best part . Why do u feel the need to say this to me I'm not sure? . I grew up in Baltimore. I know there climo . How was my post putting anyone down ? Really ? It wasn't meant as an attack on you...and I apologize if it came off that way. But I guess I was saying I understand the less enthusiastic tone coming from most of this forum compared to your excitement. If I was living in Baltimore, and I think of lot of them feel this way, I wouldn't give a crap about models or tracking or ANYTHING except getting some freaking snow on my lawn right freaking now at this point. They have waited years to get a decent snowfall and have been nothing but teased endlessly this winter. You love the chase and that is awesome...I love the chase also but at some point there has to be a payoff or it gets frustrating imo. We have had a payoff up here. I was just pointing out that I hope they get a hit very soon, hopefully this week, so the mood in here doesn't get depressing. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 48 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: 18z eps had less ridging vs 12z at 144 hours. We have a sprawling 1044hp to work with. Just need the confluence to trend better from the departing ULL yea I noticed the setup is significantly better for next week at the end of the run. Hard to keep up with the details of all the different threats right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 NAM has a slug of precip moving in right around sunrise Saturday morning. Looks sleety w surface temps in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Very interesting, the TPV fujiwara effect. So what does this mean? Well, expect the unexpected. When it moves East eventually, will it shear out ? What will be the effect on confluence be ? More questions than answers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 56 minutes ago, snowfan said: NAM has a slug of precip moving in right around sunrise Saturday morning. Looks sleety w surface temps in the 20s. RGEM has it too, but maybe a bit slower to develop although 850s are substantially colder. Seems like a pretty interesting system for then. Meanwhile ICON is a complete whiff lol Although the ICON is a pretty substantial hit for next week. Looks to be the period of most interest, and lucky for us we have 2 systems to occupy our minds until then 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 GFS w a nice slug of precip for Saturday as well, but later in the day. Arriving around 18z w temps in the mid 20s. Sleety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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