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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED


WinterWxLuvr
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6 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Ah, I was considering through 18z Friday, but I guess that's out of RGEM range at this point, and it's also not the main overrunning wave. My apologies.

No worries.  I think EPS (and now GFS) show that this will be a long duration event, with precip extending over a couple of days.  

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The TPV is substantially different even out to just hr 90 compared to 6z GFS. More sheared/less consolidated through the Midwest. Doesn't give the chance for heights to increase as much after Friday which might set us up better for the weekend event. The GFS is not handing that feature well at all. Seems to be working out in our favor this time.

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Just now, WinterWxLuvr said:

That’s the exact look I want. A precip bomb into cold air

850s look super iffy, but man that cold air is wedged good. As I said mentioning the GFS' mishandling of how our ridge shapes up, this has been what it's been shifting to for the past two runs. Just need that to continue...

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