aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: You prefer it over the dissertations? Both give me joy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 A meet in the middle with the Jack right over my house is most likely IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Meh euro is south everything else is flush or north. I ain't mad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Bet the national blend of models looks pretty, pretty good right now for central MD. Pretty much right in the middle of all the big models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just ****ing stop, Ji. You set the tone of the board for reasons I don’t comprehend. Just this once, grow up. 12 3 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 18 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Meh euro is south everything else is flush or north. I ain't mad FWIW, it seems the seasonal trend is for Euro to be south of the majority of the guidance in the mid-range this winter with our events. Then there's been a bit of a meeting in the middle by gametime. We'll see what happens this time, but I'd personally much rather see a EZF jackpot at this point than a Harrisburg jackpot. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 Euro has tended to have a south bias at this range pretty much all winter. Not saying it’s wrong or anything but it’s something to consider Lol ninja’d 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Meh euro is south everything else is flush or north. I ain't mad I'm about 5 miles from the PA border and I like where the Euro is at the moment. The GFS is about 2 north ticks away from screwing most of The DMV. The euro gives everyone wiggle room with thermals. Sunday's storm was a big north shift at 72 hours out. We just didint get the shift we were looking for 24 hours out. The north shift is real and I like having that wiggle room the Euro gives us. In past experience these overrunning events can bleed north closing in on game time. We've got a nice mix on guidance with slightly south, flush hits , and slightly north. Puts us directly in the cross hairs. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 28 minutes ago, Ji said: 30 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I can't wait to see the animated gif showing the troubling trends of this going south. We're one tick from being in the gray We're one tick from darker blue. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 9 hours ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Really? Pretty sure it was way farther southeast and weaker. It showed (at best) a 1-3 inch event. That was the consensus for everyone except maybe a few people in western I-66 corridor and the folks out along I-81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Why is everyone worried about suppression? Every storm this year has had a north trend which causes us to get less snow or ice. Just take the Sunday's storm last week it just kept north shifting and before it did everyone was worried about suppression. The December storm also north shifted and got us shafted which is why I don't know why there are lots of concerns about it. Maybe if it keep going south through today you could. This is not even mentioning that the guidance still looks good, I mean the 00z Euro gives 10 inches of all snow in DC. If anything we need the guidance to shift a bit south today to give us some breathing room when it all north shifts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 EPS good. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 30 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: FWIW, it seems the seasonal trend is for Euro to be south of the majority of the guidance in the mid-range this winter with our events. Then there's been a bit of a meeting in the middle by gametime. We'll see what happens this time, but I'd personally much rather see a EZF jackpot at this point than a Harrisburg jackpot. were not really in the mid range are we? the storm is suppose to start the day after tomorrow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Sorry Will. 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: were not really in the mid range are we? the storm is suppose to start the day after tomorrow lol What's your call for Leesburg then...1" or less with peaks of sunshine while Richmond gets 6-10" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Are we going to start a storm thread for this instead of just posting in the 3-7 day thread? Also the UKMET looks good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Are we going to start a storm thread for this instead of just posting in the 3-7 day thread? Also the UKMET looks good. Not yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 6z EPS has everyone from EZF north below freezing from Wednesday night through Sunday morning. Its a great run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: why? There seems to be a belief that starting a storm thread is a jinx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Can we start a Ji-only thread? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 My biggest worry at the moment isn't south/north but rather lackluster rates and dry slotting like we saw in the thump two weeks ago. If that happens, then we need to hope the Friday shot some of the models like works out, and we've seemed to do poorly in the back half of our storms lately. Would much rather just have a stronger thump than rely on a departing hit. But we're well out of the range where we'll be able to pick out specific regions of lackluster precip so while it's my biggest worry, it's still a small worry. Only really based on how prior storms have gone this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: why? C’mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 12 minutes ago, Derecho! said: There seems to be a belief that starting a storm thread is a jinx. It’s not a belief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 7 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: still going at this point, most of us back to snow. Maybe the 12th time is the charm 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 EPS looks awesome. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Incredible, further consolidation on a move towards - 6 SD. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: EPS looks awesome. the 00z yes... unless you have seen the 06z one lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Stole this idea from HM, who posted it elsewhere focused on Philly, but you can see from this GFS cross-section that we should have better snowflake and dendrite formation then the sand we had a week ago from WAA snows. 7 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, yoda said: the 00z yes... unless you have seen the 06z one lol 36 minutes ago, jaydreb said: EPS good. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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