NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: i would take the next 10 days as the euro has it and call it a winter Even if that happened verbatim many of us would still be here tracking the annual April threat. Think we even had a Day 5 threat in May last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 hours ago, frd said: @WinterWxLuvr I believe this is a new threat . Beyond this time period, might be a miller A in the works. This would be an Almanac storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 A GAME CHANGER . Please note todays Euro is even colder and snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: How's this trend looking? been enjoying my 7" today...did something change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: been enjoying my 7" today...did something change? Yes you got 7" of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I know we have period specific threads but this really needs to be repinned. Have to scroll halfway down the page just to get to it Yea, I get rattled posting anything a few days down the road with the split period threads. I keep posting lr stuff in the mr thread. Of course this problem is a sign that A LOT of stuff is going on. A mid range thread having lots of posts day after day is NOT how we roll in the MA lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 9:27 PM, jacindc said: I remember -4 when the Ice Winter of 1994 swung into gear. There were rolling brownouts. Me too I was in school...people were tying towels to their shoes and wearing football cleats to walk on ice. One old man had strapped broom poles that were jagged to the sides of his legs. Crazy stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: been enjoying my 7" today...did something change? I myself am still looking for climo redemption. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 56 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'm having a hard time remembering a similar setup. The 13-15 stretch had some mini versions but sw-ne trajectory and ripping flow. I can't remember any drawn out events with blocking, no sig slp, and mostly W-E trajectory at our latitude. This could be a flag honestly because it might be uncommon unless I'm just old and forgetful. That said, on paper it looks very ominous and it's square in the midrange rn. My guess is the euro prob just captured top end for snowfall and % of snowfall. It's hard not to think that this will be quite impactful overhead or nearby. All snow is pretty sketchy for my yard. My gut says 50% snow is ambitious. My weenie says look tf out, apocalyptic event inbound. My weenie is really dumb though. Kind of has a mind of its own but I hear that's normal. It's similar in some aspects to 1994 but with more blocking on the NAO side...which could suppress the boundary a little further south. So maybe take that and adjust what happened in PA to our area...ok yea that is a bit weenie but its also not totally out of the question, my pattern observation wasn't a joke. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: It's similar in some aspects to 1994 but with more blocking on the NAO side...which could suppress the boundary a little further south. So maybe take that and adjust what happened in PA to our area...ok yea that is a bit weenie but its also not totally out of the question, my pattern observation wasn't a joke. Do we have any snow maps from 94 in PA? They got blitzed pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Yes you got 7" of snow So far this year, northern tier folks should leave all the worrying to those that normally have to worry. PSU worried himself into half his climo totals in less than 10 days. Doesnt really compute in hindsight 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Do we have any snow maps from 94 in PA? They got blitzed pretty good looks like the euro snow map basically Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Do we have any snow maps from 94 in PA? They got blitzed pretty good http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: So far this year, northern tier folks should leave all the worrying to those that normally have to worry. PSU worried himself into half his climo totals in less than 10 days. Doesnt really compute in hindsight Honestly I was a little surprised to hear 30" so far. I'm sitting around 14.5" which in reality is right about where we both should be. Interesting winter so far and by the looks of it unless something goes horribly wrong quite a few will reach normal. Before anyone moans yes I know there have been some real screw zones...hopefully that changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 49 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Just suckering us in before the inevitable shift north. We did see ta pretty similar setup on 1/26 and the day 5 models didn't work out too well. Use with caution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cigrgd Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, DCTeacherman said: This should probably go in banter....but does anyone know if there are weenies in Europe? I wonder if there is an EU equivalent of this site. I wonder which country has the biggest snow weenies. So many questions. Is Russia their equivalent of New England? I’ve seen some UK weenie sites and the amount of whining and complaining they do puts us to shame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Honestly I was a little surprised to hear 30" so far. I'm sitting around 14.5" which in reality is right about where we both should be. Interesting winter so far and by the looks of it unless something goes horribly wrong quite a few will reach normal. Before anyone moans yes I know there have been some real screw zones...hopefully that changes. Hopefully some of the folks who had bad luck today and last weekend will see redemption by mid February. Potential is certainly there for a sustained period of cold and snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 @Bob Chill so this is where all 3 majors leave us going into late February AFTER our run the next 2 weeks. Lol 5 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1958 and 1960 kept showing to in analogs. Maybe that wasn’t crazy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 We have a potentially epic two week period coming up starting in just a few days 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I’ll be cheering for you guys. This has N VA/DC on north type of setup. At the minimum mid levels will be cooking down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 11 minutes ago, jayyy said: Hopefully some of the folks who had bad luck today and last weekend will see redemption by mid February. Potential is certainly there for a sustained period of cold and snow I will be really upset if we end this epic blocking period without an Epic snowstorm in our region. It's been -NAO all of January and likely most of FEB too. If we just get nickel dimed and fringed, then this winter is huge disappointment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, jayyy said: Hopefully some of the folks who had bad luck today and last weekend will see redemption by mid February. Potential is certainly there for a sustained period of cold and snow By sustained period, you mean 'til lunchtime, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Any flip to a +NAM state keeps getting delayed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, Amped said: I will be really upset if we end this epic blocking period without an Epic snowstorm in our region. It's been -NAO all of January and likely most of FEB too. If we just get nickel dimed and fringed, then this winter is huge disappointment. It's feels like it's been weeks and weeks of "potential, 8 days away, real cold finally" ect since Christmas with nothing but a 3 day pixie dust slop job out of it. Today was ridiculous smh. Anyway.. back to the shadows. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 WB 12Z EPS control shows the potential over the next 2 weeks...storm after storm.... 7 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 14 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Any flip to a +NAM state keeps getting delayed. Scale almost off the chart . Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 17 minutes ago, Amped said: I will be really upset if we end this epic blocking period without an Epic snowstorm in our region. It's been -NAO all of January and likely most of FEB too. If we just get nickel dimed and fringed, then this winter is huge disappointment. Yea, it's crunch time. Hemispheric pattern is exactly what we talk about ad nauseam every winter while the pattern typically sucks. It's a nina and I get that but it's also absolute prime climo for a big coastal. I'm at like 12 or 13" on the year. If we got a couple 6" storms I would hit climo. But it would not be a memorable winter at all. Better than I was thinking back in Nov. Still run of the mill blah overall tho 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS control shows the potential over the next 2 weeks...storm after storm.... Somewhat surprisingly, a lot of it is from the first storm. Probably can't get more ideal on a pure snow basis than this: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 NAM slowed down the progress of the storm again this run. It is a ton slower than the Euro or GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts