aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, frd said: OMG Is that good? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Heh, Euro brings back barney around day 8. Lows nearing 0 for most of the subforum. That's gotta be due to snowpack, but then again any substantial cold we've had as of late has been met by bare grounds, so a solid glacier keeping cold nearby would be a long-awaited sight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Is that good? Sykesville it is. I couldn't resist. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Is that good? Acceptable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: This sounds like a nightmare scenario and actually a bit specific. You okay over there? lol This is exactly what it is and the guidance is getting full support on ensembles too. In fact, it may even trend colder if the synoptic setup stays the way it is. Good for winter weather, but someone in this sub, the warm nose will lurk and ice will be pure hell. I love your hood for a prolonged winter event. Going to look like deep winter by Friday Lol I got lucky. Was driving through Raleigh once and they really got hit the night before. Gas stations were closed and I was on E but found one open. Close call, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Is that good? It shows a high total in our area of 19.8 on mt PSU, so it must be correct. Whether it’s good is up for debate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Also watch day 5-7 on future Euro runs. There is a PV north of the great lakes, but the jet is configured so that there is a right entrance region over the eastern half of the US ,and a surface high. This will enhance any disturbance that tries to dig in the plains or MS valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, frd said: OMG Oh have we learned nothing about these snow maps? They do more harm than good, I'm telling ya...at least until maybe 48 hours away. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, 87storms said: Lol I got lucky. Was driving through Raleigh once and they really got hit the night before. Gas stations were closed and I was on E but found one open. Close call, though. Yikes. That is a nightmare for sure. Glad you found one. Nothing worse than being stuck with no way to find relief, whether it be gas or....yeah lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Oh have we learned nothing about these snow maps? They do more harm than good, I'm telling ya...at least until maybe 48 hours away. Probably true, but the signals keep popping up over and over the last month or so. Seems like only a matter of time before one clicks for MOST of the sub. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Not to the extent of the GFS but Euro now on board for a frigid day or two by our standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: This sounds like a nightmare scenario and actually a bit specific. You okay over there? lol This is exactly what it is and the guidance is getting full support on ensembles too. In fact, it may even trend colder if the synoptic setup stays the way it is. Good for winter weather, but someone in this sub, the warm nose will lurk and ice will be pure hell. I love your hood for a prolonged winter event. Going to look like deep winter by Friday How far south could the ice extend? Central Virginia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I'm having a hard time remembering a similar setup. The 13-15 stretch had some mini versions but sw-ne trajectory and ripping flow. I can't remember any drawn out events with blocking, no sig slp, and mostly W-E trajectory at our latitude. This could be a flag honestly because it might be uncommon unless I'm just old and forgetful. That said, on paper it looks very ominous and it's square in the midrange rn. My guess is the euro prob just captured top end for snowfall and % of snowfall. It's hard not to think that this will be quite impactful overhead or nearby. All snow is pretty sketchy for my yard. My gut says 50% snow is ambitious. My weenie says look tf out, apocalyptic event inbound. My weenie is really dumb though. Kind of has a mind of its own but I hear that's normal. 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Yikes. That is a nightmare for sure. Glad you found one. Nothing worse than being stuck with no way to find relief, whether it be gas or....yeah lol Yea it was a stretch actually past Raleigh and I think near or after Durham. It was several years ago. Had to drive through that one section to find something open, but it’s another thing to pay attention to if you’re planning a trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, Anyweather said: How far south could the ice extend? Central Virginia? Jury is still out for specifics, but it certainly has a shot. The west-central portion of VA has that look to it. Not sure at the Richmond area/metro. Didn't take too close a look out that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oh have we learned nothing about these snow maps? They do more harm than good, I'm telling ya...at least until maybe 48 hours away. Actually I feel based on the HL blocking and the pattern it supports the map. Do I expect it to verify, probably not. Do I expect a snowstorm in the coming pattern, yes I do. Can we get snow on snow, I think so. I mean really if you can't get a snowstorm with the look on top, arctic air mass, boundary, baroclinic zone, multiple disturbances then forget this hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Is that good? Damn good ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, snowfan said: Probably true, but the signals keep popping up over and over the last month or so. Seems like only a matter of time before one clicks for MOST of the sub. I'm inclined to agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 EPS improved for Thursday as well. Colder. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Jury is still out for specifics, but it certainly has a shot. The west-central portion of VA has that look to it. Not sure at the Richmond area/metro. Didn't take too close a look out that way. I'll get the bread and milk ready! Guidance has looked seriously slick out here. As long as we don't lose power I'll survive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5” two day mean centered on Thursday ain’t nothing to sneeze at either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I'll get the bread and milk ready! Guidance has looked seriously slick out here. As long as we don't lose power I'll survive. It's never a bad idea to be prepared. Stick the bread in the freezer after you get it, then take it out if you lose power to thaw it and have fresh bread last a little longer. Can't say the same for milk lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: 5” two day mean centered on Thursday ain’t nothing to sneeze at either. Jeez, really looks nice. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Jury is still out for specifics, but it certainly has a shot. The west-central portion of VA has that look to it. Not sure at the Richmond area/metro. Didn't take too close a look out that way. Thanks! I’m about 25 miles wnw of ric. In the past we are close enough to the blue ridge to get locked in with CAD. When we moved here in 1988 folks used to tell me we are in the ice storm capital of the US. Lots of ice in the 90’s. Not so much lately (thankfully). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Jeez, really looks nice. Just suckering us in before the inevitable shift north. 3 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 18 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I'm inclined to agree Your yard is in a better spot than mine later this week so far. Latitude with W-E oriented overunning matters. I'll remain skeptical of the 12z euro verbatim but all 3 globals only have minor differences with the large scale features that make or break our yards. I'm very intrigued with this. Moreso than last weekend's hybrid coastal. You guys have heard me say many times over the years but we really do suck at complicated. This potential is actually fairly uncomplicated. Rug pull needs to happen within 24 hours or it's not getting pulled imo. Ptype on the other hand... those worries will be front and center up until game time unless the boundary clearly parks just south of us. Be careful expecting a big pretty clean powdery event. For our yards that's prob the least likely outcome but not impossible 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Any hitters on the EPS from the coastal day7 arctic front as the ULL finally heads east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 13 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Just suckering us in before the inevitable shift north. Well, its got the purple out here, so there is the giant red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 That cold on the Euro is no joke. 5 below on Monday morning out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 i would take the next 10 days as the euro has it and call it a winter 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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