WinterWxLuvr Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:12 PM, clskinsfan said: The GFS is starting to lose the idea of pumping up the SE ridge in the long range as well. Early March could be interesting for sure. Expand And think, two days ago you cancelled winter 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I like how this is still trending run to run in the right direction. Please don't stop!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:14 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: And think, two days ago you cancelled winter Expand I am blaming last weeks flake out from me on my first Covid shot. When all else fails I am a master at blaming my issues on someone else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 After reading most of the posts from this morning, it looks like the main issue is suppression. How does one suppress PSU's concerns over the NAM? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Someone may do a Leroy Jenkins soon and just post one! I do laugh at "Science Minded" people that are all about evidence based truth.. then get all bent out of shape on a Jinx and curse of a storm thread! To quote a famous song! "God is great. Beer is good. But people are crazy!" Weather Weenies are crazier! My banter shall end here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 2:51 PM, snowfan said: Let me explain how the NAM wins. Post 1/20. Expand Crazy how accurate this was. So predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Posts weren't deleted folks, just moved to banter. There are weirdos here who actually like reading about the weather and models on a weather board in a weather thread. Let's get hype for the Euro 6 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:34 PM, stormtracker said: Posts weren't deleted folks, just moved to banter. There are weirdos here who actually like reading about the weather and models on a weather board in a weather thread. Let's get hype for the Euro Expand Non event. NAM says so. So it’s NAM vs Everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Check out this national snow depth map. Only FL and SC have no snow on the ground somewhere in their state. I dont know if I have ever seen that before. Crazy. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Euro prediction: mostly frozen, 3-6" DC-area wide, a big f-you to the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:36 PM, clskinsfan said: Check out this national snow depth map. Only FL and SC have no snow on the ground somewhere in their state. I dont know if I have ever seen that before. Crazy. Expand GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 4:58 PM, stormtracker said: All time classic. Top 5 fave for me. Expand We had a small fire last night but we caught it in the nick of time... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:37 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: GA Expand Sight snow on the ground in GA in the NE part of the state. But yeah. I could have thrown it in I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:37 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: GA Expand Uh, the little grey part in NE GA baby! That map is cool though, I bet it's not TOO unusual for there to be some snow in like OK, TX, TN most of the winter. But definitely cool seeing decent snow cover in MS, AL, LA. What an incredible pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:37 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: GA Expand Itty bitty bit of gray on that map far NE part of GA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Very nice 700MB advection/frontogenesis in the right quad exit region of the jet on the 12z GFS. Explains the heavy burst graphically. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 5:51 PM, Round Hill WX said: Very nice 700MB advection/frontogenesis in the right quad exit region of the jet on the 12z GFS. Explains the heavy burst graphically. Expand Great post. The beauty of getting just a little help from compressed flow to our north is it creates a heavy lifting zone as deep moisture streams in. Won't be 10:1 or greater ratios (imo only) but it could literally snow it's eyeballs out for a time like we havent seen yet this year. I'm going to be skeptical af until it's happening. Nice to see legit mid level fronto as deep moisture is already overhead. Not bad. Not bad at all 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The Euro is even colder this run at 850 at hour 36. 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Vort north of New England slightly west, compressing the flow better in the east coast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:01 PM, clskinsfan said: The Euro is even colder this run at 850 at hour 36. Expand Flow is also a little flatter in front 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:05 PM, stormtracker said: Flow is also a little flatter in front Expand It's a pretty substantial run to run shift comparing 12z to 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:05 PM, stormtracker said: Flow is also a little flatter in front Expand Yea, euro is likely going to add a few miles to the wiggle room cache. Me likey fo sho 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Damn DC getting pounded at 78. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:08 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: It's a pretty substantial run to run shift comparing 12z to 00z. Expand On 2/15/2021 at 6:08 PM, Bob Chill said: Yea, euro is likely going to add a few miles to the wiggle room cache. Me likey fo sho Expand I was kinda joking earlier about suppression but if we keep going at this rate..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:08 PM, EHoffman said: Damn DC getting pounded at 78. Expand you're out that far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:09 PM, stormtracker said: you're out that far? Expand Yeah I have modellab dont' tell no one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 4:44 PM, LP08 said: 12z GEFS mean is another tick south compared to 6z. These are contaminated with sleet but the max stripe shifted south. Supports a 3-6” thump to sleet. Expand 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:10 PM, psuhoffman said: Expand that max is now over leesburg...it will be in CHO by Wed am 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 inches at 18z and still snowing in DC.... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 On 2/15/2021 at 6:11 PM, Ji said: that max is now over leesburg...it will be in CHO by Wed am Expand Score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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