BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: Check out this national snow depth map. Only FL and SC have no snow on the ground somewhere in their state. I dont know if I have ever seen that before. Crazy. GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 38 minutes ago, stormtracker said: All time classic. Top 5 fave for me. We had a small fire last night but we caught it in the nick of time... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: GA Sight snow on the ground in GA in the NE part of the state. But yeah. I could have thrown it in I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: GA Uh, the little grey part in NE GA baby! That map is cool though, I bet it's not TOO unusual for there to be some snow in like OK, TX, TN most of the winter. But definitely cool seeing decent snow cover in MS, AL, LA. What an incredible pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: GA Itty bitty bit of gray on that map far NE part of GA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Very nice 700MB advection/frontogenesis in the right quad exit region of the jet on the 12z GFS. Explains the heavy burst graphically. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Round Hill WX said: Very nice 700MB advection/frontogenesis in the right quad exit region of the jet on the 12z GFS. Explains the heavy burst graphically. Great post. The beauty of getting just a little help from compressed flow to our north is it creates a heavy lifting zone as deep moisture streams in. Won't be 10:1 or greater ratios (imo only) but it could literally snow it's eyeballs out for a time like we havent seen yet this year. I'm going to be skeptical af until it's happening. Nice to see legit mid level fronto as deep moisture is already overhead. Not bad. Not bad at all 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 The Euro is even colder this run at 850 at hour 36. 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Vort north of New England slightly west, compressing the flow better in the east coast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: The Euro is even colder this run at 850 at hour 36. Flow is also a little flatter in front 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Flow is also a little flatter in front It's a pretty substantial run to run shift comparing 12z to 00z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Flow is also a little flatter in front Yea, euro is likely going to add a few miles to the wiggle room cache. Me likey fo sho 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Damn DC getting pounded at 78. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: It's a pretty substantial run to run shift comparing 12z to 00z. Just now, Bob Chill said: Yea, euro is likely going to add a few miles to the wiggle room cache. Me likey fo sho I was kinda joking earlier about suppression but if we keep going at this rate..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, EHoffman said: Damn DC getting pounded at 78. you're out that far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: you're out that far? Yeah I have modellab dont' tell no one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 1 hour ago, LP08 said: 12z GEFS mean is another tick south compared to 6z. These are contaminated with sleet but the max stripe shifted south. Supports a 3-6” thump to sleet. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: that max is now over leesburg...it will be in CHO by Wed am 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 7 inches at 18z and still snowing in DC.... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Ji said: that max is now over leesburg...it will be in CHO by Wed am Score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Gotta flirt w the line to get the goods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 WB 12Z EURO 4 am Th (se of 6Z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I was kinda joking earlier about suppression but if we keep going at this rate..... Imo only attm but the best case scenario in my mind is the proverbial thump to dryslot with 75%+ snowfall for all (or 100% in psu's yard). Ccb/deform/backside aint happenin (nude jumping jacks if i bust on this). Love the 12z global suite tho. I guess getting it backwards is helping. Meaning we went from despair/rain towards potentially real snow this time. Opposite of everything I've tracked since coming back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, snowfan said: Gotta flirt w the line to get the goods. this is the first model run that has shown heavy snow at 18z lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I don't have access to soundings but jeez we might even be frozen still at hr 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Even at 0Z, dc still holding in the 20s w the warm intrusion aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Just now, Bob Chill said: Imo only attm but the best case scenario in my mind is the proverbial thump to dryslot with 75%+ snowfall for all (or 100% in psu's yard). Ccb/deform/backside aint happenin. Love the 12z global suite tho. I guess getting it backwards is helping. Meaning we went from despair/rain towards potentially real snow this time. Opposite of everything I've tracked since coming back this might be the first time since Feb 2015 ive seen a cutter trend into a monster snow for us lol 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 Its a crushjob for all of us. All snow west of the Blue ridge like the UK. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I see it now. Yeah, good snow at 78...almost look like a classic type snow if it weren't gonna flip. Definitely colder tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 euro still has me at light snow at 00z lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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