psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 This captures the whole period...the GEGS has multiple waves over a 4 day period...you would think one would hit us lol 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Dark sky is forecasting 4-7” for next Friday. BOOK IT Seriously though... intrigued by the prospects of the next week or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro trying to cook up something D9. 1008 in the gulf. lol ice down to the GA/FL border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro trying to cook up something D9. 1008 in the gulf. lol ice down to the GA/FL border 1008mb SLP near CHS at 240 with 1039mb HP in E Quebec Light snow in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAO tanks again towards day 15 lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The 00z eps is back to progressing the pattern the way I originally mentioned. Where the TPV heads east and the main low is behind that instead of being a front out ahead of it. This is a juicy mean for this time frame. Legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 lulz 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Plenty of spread on the EPS for late next week, both location and timing, but this captures the potential pretty well. Decent moisture available with Arctic air pressing in. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 12 minutes ago, yoda said: lulz See how it works when we have legit cold air available? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 hour ago, CAPE said: See how it works when we have legit cold air available? See how it works when precip actually gets within 200 miles 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 hours ago, jacindc said: I remember -4 when the Ice Winter of 1994 swung into gear. There were rolling brownouts. Yes, woke up to -13F and no power. They said the power demand peaked over 6.5GW for the BGE area and mandatory rolling blackouts were needed to shed the excessive load. All those chilly folks cranking up those 1500W heaters! I still have the Pelonis disc furnace that I bought back in 1985 due to the big chill we had then. I keep it in the shop, it makes a great load bank to test generators because it pulls 25+ amps for a few sec before the ceramic elements warm up. Only thing worse back in the day when builders put in heat pumps everywhere and no TDRs (time delay relays) were used! A quick interruption in power caused the compressors to stall when restarting against high head pressure. Locked rotor amps on a four ton unit ran around 100A at 240V! Multiply that by a few dozen houses fed off a single 7.2k overhead and a fuse pops and the whole neighborhood is out until a truck rolls to replace it. Thank goodness for TDRs on modern systems and reclosers. In today's electronic age folks would go nuts losing power for a few hours every time there was a little lightning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS, what are you smoking ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Even colder across SE Canada then previous runs today. Pretty much all of Southern Canada is well below normal. Very impressive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Interested to see what this produces across our region, and the South as well. Baroclinic zone should hopefully spawn some interesting disturbances at lower latitudes. Also, liking the idea as well for squalls as mentioned by @MillvilleWx as the pattern progresses and during transition phases. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 26 minutes ago, frd said: GFS, what are you smoking ? GEFS is in that camp it seems. For the past 2-3 runs it's wanted to hold onto the PV being a fair bit west and pumping up the ridge to the east. Even then it's not as extreme as the op, and quite frankly a blend between the GEFS and the EPS would look pretty sweet wrt the overrunning event. GEFS is on the wet/warmer end (still some nice hits in there), EPS is on the colder and drier side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 ENDLESS Opportunities with the target zone being the Mid Atlantic IMO , don't focus on the exact placements, or that this is the GFS, simply look at the feed of cold and disturbances. Impossible to say which ones might blossom into a bigger event at this time, but there will be opportunities, and some of those may be cold powder as well, with snow on snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: GEFS is in that camp it seems. For the past 2-3 runs it's wanted to hold onto the PV being a fair bit west and pumping up the ridge to the east. Even then it's not as extreme as the op, and quite frankly a blend between the GEFS and the EPS would look pretty sweet wrt the overrunning event. GEFS is on the wet/warmer end (still some nice hits in there), EPS is on the colder and drier side. True, lets see how things evolve in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceCAPS Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, frd said: ENDLESS Opportunities with the target zone being the Mid Atlantic IMO , don't focus on the exact placements, or that this is the GFS, simply look at the feed of cold and disturbances. Impossible to say which ones might blossom into a bigger event at this time, but there will be opportunities, and some of those may be cold powder as well, with snow on snow. The Vincent van Gogh model view is a dandy! Fun times ahead for sure! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Gfs looks like cutters and garbage. I hope that was an off run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 ICON has another snowstorm brewing Thursday. Temps in the low to mid 20's to start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Huge hit on icon day 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Wow 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Verbatim is Snow/mix/snow for the I-95 crowd. NW is a very big hit. Temps never out of the 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: Verbatim is Snow/mix/snow for the I-95 crowd. NW is a very big hit. Temps never out of the 20's. Yea SV snow maps accum snow for sleet. But surface is plenty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: Yea SV snow maps accum snow for sleet. But surface is plenty cold Best part about it. Even DC is ~26 and below for the duration. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS colder for next Thursday as well. Some light overrunning precip, not as robust as the icon through 129 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The ICON is showing rain with temps in the mid 20s because the melting point of snow is 25 degrees in 2021. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, LP08 said: GFS colder for next Thursday as well. Some light overrunning precip, not as robust as the icon through 129 Nice moisture feed at H144 pointed directly at the area. Busy tracking ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The GFS is the 7th circle of hell if you like light ZR with temps in the mid-20's 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: The GFS is the 7th circle of hell if you like light ZR with temps in the mid-20's looks like a wild week--i really hope its more snow than ice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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