SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, H2O said: This is every storm in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 phew. Was worried about suppression 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 @WxUSAF that Feb 2 thing didn’t get much attention because it wasn’t even on the radar until like 36 hours out. It was a weak wave buried between the two big storms that guidance didn’t see. Then even when it popped up it was a 3-6” snow 2 days before 2-3 feet was showing on guidance so it was an afterthought to everyone. No tracking and by the time it was snowing we were already under a watch for a HECS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, mappy said: Thread be started unpinning this thread for now. move your discussions to the new one please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: There was another one where a storm was underforcasted and dropped 2'' of snow and it was in the 20s during rush hour. Because everyone was focused on the 2016 blizzard in two days no one knew about this one and it caused huge traffic jams. Yep, and ironically they (VA, MD, and DC) didn’t pre treat the roads. I mean usually they treat the roads for cold rain in January... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Important note: The Euro run total maps include some snow tomorrow morning, including some for the northern part of this sub-forum. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Honestly I think that’s quite possible. Good news here is that it’s only 72hrs away and there’s definitely fast flow, so hopefully not TOO far NW. @psuhoffman should be pretty stoked. I’d wager more on a typical fall line type of boundary here in snow amounts than a jackpot in southern MD. Its been that way all season. The snowfall gradient on the seasonal map is very telling. I know a lot of the forum is feeling pretty good right now but it has been very painful E of 95 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 For the record I NEVER said suppression was a problem for these boundary waves coming up lol. The flow to our north is not suppressive at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 NEW THREAD GUYS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, high risk said: Important note: The Euro run total maps include some snow tomorrow morning, including some for the northern part of this sub-forum. Can you post the map that shows just the snow for the northern tier in the morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, DDweatherman said: Can you post the map that shows just the snow for the northern tier in the morning? New thread, DD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Its been that way all season. The snowfall gradient on the seasonal map is very telling. I know a lot of the forum is feeling pretty good right now but it has been very painful E of 95 this year. Looks pretty accurate. Has me at 10-11. I think I got 3ish from the mid December event and then 6-7ish from the recent storm. Also had 2 or 3 light dustings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: New thread, DD! No no, for tonight into tomorrow. Which belongs in the disc obs thread I guess, but no one is talking about it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @WxUSAF that Feb 2 thing didn’t get much attention because it wasn’t even on the radar until like 36 hours out. It was a weak wave buried between the two big storms that guidance didn’t see. Then even when it popped up it was a 3-6” snow 2 days before 2-3 feet was showing on guidance so it was an afterthought to everyone. No tracking and by the time it was snowing we were already under a watch for a HECS. I was just discussing this with a buddy of mine since we are in the same week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, GATECH said: Yep, and ironically they (VA, MD, and DC) didn’t pre treat the roads. I mean usually they treat the roads for cold rain in January... Yeah I remember driving only a mile home from visiting a pediatrician's office with a very pregnant wife that night. I think it was around Jan 12 of 2016? The roads were impassable after only MAYBE an inch of snow and the various DOTs got hammered for it. I think that's still part of the reason they overtreat now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 12z Euro is close... to something for the next weekend threat. Definitely something to keep an eye on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 12z EURO bringing in the arctic hounds at 192 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Global models all suggesting overrunning chances second half of next week. Fun times with arctic air around. Just keep that boundary a bit south of us and don’t push it down to GA/SC. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, yoda said: 12z EURO bringing in the arctic hounds at 192 To say the least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 38 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Thought commutagedon was in Jan. 2011? yeah it was 2011.. one of my top five snowstorms. Just a heavy wet paste job that happened in like 6 hours.. I think I got 9 inches or something.. really neat storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 26 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Its been that way all season. The snowfall gradient on the seasonal map is very telling. I know a lot of the forum is feeling pretty good right now but it has been very painful E of 95 this year. Its rare for my location to see more than double the snowfall that IAD receives. So I expect that difference to narrow as we go forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 12z EURO says hope you like highs of mid 20s on Friday and then 15-20 next Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, yoda said: 12z EURO says hope you like highs of mid 20s on Friday and then 15-20 next Saturday Then below zero sunday morning lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 240 hour Euro has most of the area below zero. I hope something close to that happens. I would like some nice icebox stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just a tad chilly Sunday morning on V-DAY 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, HighStakes said: To say the least! While it would be fun to see the deep cold at the end of the run, I think I'd rather see a Para-type scenario where the PV doesn't shear out into a huge positively tilted mess and instead rolls up into a nice storm on the way out -- as the pattern concludes. The deep scouring into the Gulf on the Euro kinda puts the damper on moisture return for a while after that scenario. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Its rare for my location to see more than double the snowfall that IAD receives. So I expect that difference to narrow as we go forward. A 6.6 inch difference between JYO and IAD is pretty nuts. That's about 2 miles per inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Then below zero sunday morning lol. I’ll take the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, csnavywx said: While it would be fun to see the deep cold at the end of the run, I think I'd rather see a Para-type scenario where the PV doesn't shear out into a huge positively tilted mess and instead rolls up into a nice storm on the way out -- as the pattern concludes. The deep scouring into the Gulf on the Euro kinda puts the damper on moisture return for a while after that scenario. This...the Arctic cold scenario greatly reduces our chances of a big snowstorm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 Keep coming baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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