SnowGolfBro Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, frd said: GEFS A hair North compared to 12z Not a bad look 5 days out. A couple ticks more over the next couple days and we will be sweating too far North lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Hey guys don't look at the snow or precipitation maps until at least Thursday because it is just not worth it. Just look at the low and precip maps and the trends. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Hey guys don't look at the snow or precipitation maps until at least Thursday because it is just not worth it. Just look at the low and precip maps and the trends. This is a bad example of kind of collective will it north attitude this board needs to have to make it a repeat of the 1/30/10 success. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Not a bad look 5 days out. A couple ticks more over the next couple days and we will be sweating too far North lol Accu Weather with this these 2 possible outcomes 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, frd said: Accu Weather with this these 2 possible outcomes Seems legit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: This is a bad example of kind of collective will it north attitude this board needs to have to make it a repeat of the 1/30/10 success. That wishful thinking but I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Seems legit I prefer scenario 2 but maybe that’s just me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, frd said: Accu Weather with this these 2 possible outcomes Scenario 2 would give many of us more snow in 6 hours than we had during the 72 hour marathon of light snow and snow showers. Would certainly be cool to have a nice snow pack before the arctic blast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: I prefer scenario 2 but maybe that’s just me Yeah I agree with you put the seems legit because this is one of accuweather's forecast that makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: That wishful thinking but I agree Don't make me re-convene the council. 2 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: Don't make me re-convene the council. Some people just don’t understand weather 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Scenario 2 would give many of us more snow in 6 hours than we had during the 72 hour marathon of light snow and snow showers. Would certainly be cool to have a nice snow pack before the arctic blast Very much agree. Would love to have a fresh pack get a few deep winter days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Could anyone post the 18z Euro model? It would be appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 No surprise there is plenty of uncertainty for late in the weekend, but this is how to make a forecast and keep all possible outcomes in play. Saturday Night A chance of snow showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday A chance of snow showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 10am, then a chance of rain showers after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 40%. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Could anyone post the 18z Euro model? It would be appreciated. It just started running. We're all here for the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Could anyone post the 18z Euro model? It would be appreciated. It’ll get posted pretty much every time when there is an event in play. You don’t even have to ask. The next event wouldn’t start until around 120 hours though and the 18z Euro only goes out to 90, so you can maybe get some clues about it but you’ll have to wait for the 18z EPS to see how it trended. That comes out around 8pm or a little after I believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: No surprise there is plenty of uncertainty for late in the weekend, but this is how to keep all possible outcomes in play. Saturday Night A chance of snow showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday A chance of snow showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 10am, then a chance of rain showers after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Nobody does it better than the Alaska forecasters. Only there will you see a forecast that reads “a chance of snow. Highs -5 to 25, lows -20 to 10, chance of snow 50%” ... and see the same forecast for days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: It’ll get posted pretty much every time when there is an event in play. You don’t even have to ask. The next event wouldn’t start until around 120 hours though and the 18z Euro only goes out to 90, so you can maybe get some clues about it but you’ll have to wait for the 18z EPS to see how it trended. That comes out around 8pm or a little after I believe. Oh thanks for clearing up the confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, DCTeacherman said: It’ll get posted pretty much every time when there is an event in play. You don’t even have to ask. The next event wouldn’t start until around 120 hours though and the 18z Euro only goes out to 90, so you can maybe get some clues about it but you’ll have to wait for the 18z EPS to see how it trended. That comes out around 8pm or a little after I believe. And if it doesn't get posted you know it sucks lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, Chris78 said: And if it doesn't get posted you know it sucks lol. Hahaha exactly. Those are the saddest periods of time on the forum. When you wake up and the euro wasn’t even discussed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 What happened to TropicalTidbits' para? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Time to go full weenie mode. Right around the Feb. 12th-14th period all the indicies are lining up and pointing to a very nice window of opportunity. AO remains severely negative and NAO is on the rise from severely negative. EPO is negative as is the WPO. PNA tries to get to neutral or slightly positive. Coincides with our prime climo. MJO may try for 8. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: What happened to TropicalTidbits' para? Seems that after the Para went down earlier last week, TT kinda gave up on it, lol (at least for now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 12 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: What happened to TropicalTidbits' para? It's been off and on for weeks, but slow to come out even when on. Pivotal has had it pretty consistently but seems to have lost it as of 06z. Not sure where else to look at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Sorry if this is a repost but I rarely see HM writing so literal on twitter. Usually his posts are uh... complex. https://mobile.twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1356599737097605120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 55 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro jumping onboard for Friday am frozen . Maybe sneak in an inch . Just saw Nam . Drops coating to a couple inches verbatim northern areas Friday EPS hour 120 and then 126. If there is going to be a storm to effect us, it looks to be a fast mover with the arctic air mass on its heels. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Just now, frd said: EPS hour 120 and then 126. If there is going to be a storm to effect us, it looks to be a fast mover with the arctic air mass on its heels. Looks like a 6 to 12 hour storm tops if it materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 Almost feels like we're one non-suppresed STJ wave away from something (if the weekend reinforced anything to me...it's how we pretty much have to have something from the south to have the best chance!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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