SnowGoose69 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 4:27 PM, MN Transplant said: Yeah, not necessarily favoring the GFS here. Expand The GFS sometimes in La Niñas can win on these ideas like Sunday where northern stream dominance prevents a storm. I would normally toss this but in a La Niña winter I am wary of this sort of solution when the GFS is on its own 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:18 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The GFS sometimes in La Niñas can win on these ideas like Sunday where northern stream dominance prevents a storm. I would normally toss this but in a La Niña winter I am wary of this sort of solution when the GFS is on its own Expand Wondering whether the GFS is over doing the cold intensity and placement, so possibly this results in too much suppression. However, as you mention, it is a Nina so the GFS can not be discounted at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:18 PM, Vice-Regent said: Sun Angle is getting unreal bad if you are south of 38N. I agree brother. Expand does that affect your rain? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:26 PM, H2O said: does that affect your rain? Expand How is the glaze treating you? Good luck with that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:26 PM, Vice-Regent said: How is the glaze treating you? Good luck with that. Expand I LOVE glazed donuts. Soooooooo yummy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I, for one, am grateful for Wiggum's warning to be careful. Might have hurt myself otherwise. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 The key to the day 8-10 threat is what the tail of the TPV does. We need the tail of the trough to break off a SW and dig into the east...which will in turn create some separation between the 50/50 and pump some ridging along the east coast. If that trailing SW moves more east and misses the connection with the STJ everything will likely be suppressed. If something digs into the MS/TN valley we likely get a storm up the east coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:18 PM, Vice-Regent said: Sun Angle is getting unreal bad if you are south of 38N. I agree brother. Expand something else here is unreal bad 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:42 PM, North Balti Zen said: I, for one, am grateful for Wiggum's warning to be careful. Might have hurt myself otherwise. Expand He's sage and has a flute up his nose 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:47 PM, psuhoffman said: The key to the day 8-10 threat is what the tail of the TPV does. We need the tail of the trough to break off a SW and dig into the east...which will in turn create some separation between the 50/50 and pump some ridging along the east coast. If that trailing SW moves more east and misses the connection with the STJ everything will likely be suppressed. If something digs into the MS/TN valley we likely get a storm up the east coast. Expand Hopefully the tail of the TPV allows for some tuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Here comes the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I don't think the Euro wants to give up the storm ETA: Yup, still there. It's on an island of its own...like a dog with a bone. Less than 5 days and we are at a model war. Everything else vs Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Doesn't look like the Euro will miss south for the weekend like the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:23 PM, LP08 said: Doesn't look like the Euro will miss south for the weekend like the GFS... Expand the euro is one stubborn SOB eh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:23 PM, LP08 said: Doesn't look like the Euro will miss south for the weekend like the GFS... Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:23 PM, JakkelWx said: Congrats NW of I-95 crew Expand Yeah, it's only snow for us too. But yeah, just the NW crew! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 4:12 PM, ovechkin said: GFS was right 4-5 days out last week. The king is dead. Enjoy the quiet and cold. At least 60 doesn’t look likely anytime soon. Expand At this point you HAVE to be just trolling... That's the more generous of the two explanations, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I'd sign on the dotted line for a 6-10 superbowl storm right now. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Rain Again for the Coastal..... shouldn't have expected any different 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 The thing is, there is some semblance of a storm on the other models, it's just suppressed to our south. So technically the Euro isn't alone per se, but it's the only one furthest north. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:27 PM, ryanconway63 said: Rain Again for the Coastal..... shouldn't have expected any different Expand where do you live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:28 PM, DCAlexandria said: where do you live? Expand Northern Neck, Virginia I know I know... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 5:13 PM, psuhoffman said: It’s still cold enough to suppress two storms south of us day 5 and 9 lol. I’ll pass on arctic cold if it means we don’t get any snow. Expand 1. Agree. 2. Caveat: if you start wringing your hands and angsting about suppression again I'm gonna cut you. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:28 PM, DCAlexandria said: where do you live? Expand I think he's in DT land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 6:26 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Expand acceptable 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 That low is booking. I'll take it. 6-10 in 10 hours followed by arctic cold. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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