paulythegun Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I remember many many years ago seeing some correlation chart that showed temperature correlations by winter weeks for the major indices. And that I thought oddly the NAO didn’t correlate nearly as much as I expected...UNTIL late January or February then it was like the god of indicators. I’ll have to remind myself of that next time we’re warm during a -NAO early in the season. Ha that makes total sense. What good is blocking if there's no snowpack in Canada yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: What a map. I assume that covers both the weekend and mid-week next week potential events... Yup...as well as whatever falls today. Still a great look, though that Kuchera map that PSU posted is a lot more generous than the 10:1 map from Pivotal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Edit. Wrong thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 EURO has two potential "A" storms coming up. Seems like the storms in the last two or three years seem to want to hug the coast in the mid Atlantic. Is it because the ocean is warmer than it was previously in the winter? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VelociChicken Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 38 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: What a map. I assume that covers both the weekend and mid-week next week potential events... I guarantee that will verify, I'll be travelling by car through the breadth of that thing then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: @WxWatcher007 just tell me who I have to sacrifice to lock this in. Whoever it is I’ll give you a 10 minute head start...then no mercy! I'll gladly take one for the team, not like I contribute much here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Does someone have the EPS teleconnection indices going forward? Thank you in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 This pattern has the potential to produce multiple times. The end-week wave has some explosive potential (pending timing and phasing ofc), but there's plenty of room for a follow up as the big honking vortex starts to pull away too. That's some export-quality Arctic air to work with and generate WAA/upglide on with the Gulf still open. 11 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Over 50" in Deep Creek? Yes please. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, csnavywx said: This pattern has the potential to produce multiple times. The end-week wave has some explosive potential (pending timing and phasing ofc), but there's plenty of room for a follow up as the big honking vortex starts to pull away too. That's some export-quality Arctic air to work with and generate WAA/upglide on with the Gulf still open. That is a salivation inducing post around these parts... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: I remember many many years ago seeing some correlation chart that showed temperature correlations by winter weeks for the major indices. And that I thought oddly the NAO didn’t correlate nearly as much as I expected...UNTIL late January or February then it was like the god of indicators. I’ll have to remind myself of that next time we’re warm during a -NAO early in the season. We do backloaded way better almost always anyway. That's just climo, esp for the coastal plain. A -AO/NAO in Dec may produce, but if it persists, by late Jan into early March it is often money. I can be impatient, but realistic, and I know a pattern like this will usually pay off here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psurulz Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Wow...hopefully this is a good sign seeing that the threat is still a week away. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1356309933629853696?s=20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 LWX is already going with a slight. You know this pattern is gonna produce in some way or anudda 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1356309933629853696?s=20 That hook has been evident on stratobserve for over a week. Incredible dive South of the Arctic jet. Also on a indices only perspective the time period screams severe winter weather potential in the East. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, frd said: That hook has been evident on stratobserve for over a week. Incredible dive South of the Arctic jet. Also on a indices only perspective the time period screams severe winter weather potential in the East. Found this on 33andrain. We all should be very happy by the time March comes around with these looks. Prime climo and we have a strong -AO/-NAO. Couldn't ask for better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, frd said: That hook has been evident on stratobserve for over a week. Incredible dive South of the Arctic jet. Also on a indices only perspective the time period screams severe winter weather potential in the East. Not 100% sure what all the terminology means but it sounds good so sign me up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: LWX is already going with a slight. You know this pattern is gonna produce in some way or anudda I'm ready to get slighted again. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Where is Ji to tell us how HH GFS shit the bed for SB Sunday? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, SnowDreamer said: I'm ready to get slighted again. As 007 would say, I am ready for redemption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Where is Ji to tell us how HH GFS shit the bed for SB Sunday? Meteorogically impossable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Meteorogically impossable? It crapped on Wed the 10th too. That is outside the scope of this thread though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 47 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: That is a salivation inducing post around these parts... I mean... if you're not honking with these LR maps, you're in the wrong business: 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Notable shift in the GEFS mean and members towards the Euro on the 18Z run. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Notable shift in the GEFS mean and members towards the Euro on the 18Z run. These notes are cures for the continued dry slot blues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: These notes are cures for the continued dry slot blues... Lol...Now the weird part is the dry slots the past 3 hours haven't been without precip...at least no imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Hello signal. 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Para is much closer to a decent outcome next weekend. Late bloomer verbatim...storm signal growing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, csnavywx said: This pattern has the potential to produce multiple times. The end-week wave has some explosive potential (pending timing and phasing ofc), but there's plenty of room for a follow up as the big honking vortex starts to pull away too. That's some export-quality Arctic air to work with and generate WAA/upglide on with the Gulf still open. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Damn this thread's poppin. Feb about to be fun. let's start out this amazing month with some snow tonight and snow TV almost all day t'morr 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts