CAPE Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 On 1/18/2021 at 11:44 PM, clskinsfan said: Expand Pretty unusual for PSU and I to both get fringed. I am gonna guess this wont be awfully close to the actual outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Friendly reminder should be watching the ensembles outside a week....everyone in here knows this, it keeps you from getting whiplash or false hopes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 On 1/18/2021 at 11:53 PM, Weather Will said: Friendly reminder should be watching the ensembles outside a week....everyone in here knows this, it keeps you from getting whiplash or false hopes... Expand lol Yeah i think we all know this, well, other than Ji. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 NAEFS time series for the next few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/18/2021 at 11:55 PM, CAPE said: lol Yeah i think we all know this, well, other than Ji. Expand Yah, doing an experiment with the GEFS... will keep looking at it subtracting 6 hours for each run through the weekend. We will see how it looks as we progress... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Euro weeklies think we get plenty of opportunity in February. Snowiest run of the year as I’d expect given that mean @CAPE posted. 9 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:18 AM, Prestige Worldwide said: Expand Pretty certain nobody that I am aware of bet on sustained deep winter cold for any point during this Nina season. A shot here and there. And for the umpteenth time, we don't want nor need deep vodka cold for weeks on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:22 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: Pretty certain nobody that I am aware of bet on sustained deep winter cold for any point during this Nina season. A shot here and there. And for the umpteenth time, we don't want nor need deep vodka cold for weeks on end. Expand That seems like basically what we've had this January so far lol. And at the very least there's some cold on the continent when compared to this month. Like CAPE said, it can certainly bleed east back and forth as long as our NAO wants to play ball and hinder any SE ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:18 AM, Prestige Worldwide said: Dude is the biggest downer if you want cold. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:18 AM, Prestige Worldwide said: Expand It’s not a cold look. But it could offer opportunities to get some snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 That -NAO is really persistent.. I might see a Wendigo in the woods near my house before the NAO turns positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:30 AM, psuhoffman said: It’s not a cold look. But it could offer opportunities to get some snow. It’s also the weeklies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Euro hinting at a 3rd weakening of the PV and possible wind reversal early February. If so we can probably discount a NAM state flip this season. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:40 AM, losetoa6 said: It was plenty cold last Sunday . The storm just got suppressed. Plain bad luck . Not that long range 2m temps is something to hang your hat on but Eps has mby BN 11/15 days next 2 weeks . Just need a storm with a half decent track. Its January right . It's almost always "cold enough" air nearby unless it's a total shut out pattern . Expand Yes but the air masses have not had enough depth to the cold. It’s one thing to be chilly with a north wind during suppressive flow. It’s another for the cold to have enough depth to remain cold enough during the ridging and southerly flow you get ahead of any amplifying system. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:59 AM, psuhoffman said: Euro hinting at a 3rd weakening of the PV and possible wind reversal early February. If so we can probably discount a NAM state flip this season. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 yay.. Im excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 1:59 AM, psuhoffman said: Euro hinting at a 3rd weakening of the PV and possible wind reversal early February. If so we can probably discount a NAM state flip this season. Expand Interesting...wonder if that offers some opportunity in Feb? Would be nice to have a larger window! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:25 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Interesting...wonder if that offers some opportunity in Feb? Would be nice to have a larger window! Expand A larger window of opportunity or a larger window in the event you decide to leap out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Icon gets off to a awful start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:54 AM, Ji said: Icon gets off to a awful start Expand Very early but gfs is pumping more ridge already at 120. That doesn’t help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:09 AM, psuhoffman said: Very early but gfs is pumping more ridge already at 120. That doesn’t help. God forbid we ever get 2 good runs in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:11 AM, Ji said: On 1/19/2021 at 4:09 AM, psuhoffman said: Very early but gfs is pumping more ridge already at 120. That doesn’t help. Expand God forbid we ever get 2 good runs in a row Expand The gfs (and icon) hasn’t looked good ever. So long as other guidance doesn’t move towards that solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Gfs doubled down on being NS dominant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:16 AM, psuhoffman said: Gfs doubled down on being NS dominant. Expand Only good thing about the run is that it gives us snow for the NFC championship game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 This war between the cmc/euro v gfs can’t go on too much longer because the major differences wrt to how they handle the the ridge which leads to the different solutions is evident by only about 100 hours. One side has to cave soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 4:22 AM, psuhoffman said: This war between the cmc/euro v gfs can’t go on too much longer because the major differences wrt to how they handle the the ridge which leads to the different solutions is evident by only about 100 hours. One side has to cave soon. Expand I know who I have my money on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/19/2021 at 3:53 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: A larger window of opportunity or a larger window in the event you decide to leap out? Expand Ah come now...you know I don't leap out I refuse to go to the macabre panic room, no matter what happens, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 we lost the para 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 ive lost 10 inches of snow and its not even 11:30 yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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