Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 46 minutes ago, Ji said: maybe last night was the rockbottom of the vally. Now comes the slow ascend @stormtracker The arc of every model suite is long, but it trends toward snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 WB GEFS thru Day 10 days says we keep waiting.... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 26 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB GEFS thru Day 10 days says we keep waiting.... That’s a kick in the nads after the improvements on the ops 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Gefs not on board with the 2 wave idea. Favors one dominant wave to our north. Then it favors a miller b screw job solution for the next threat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Geps fwiw supports a further south solution for both threats next week like the cmc op. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 ECM looks south and doctor maybe this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Well Euro snows on us. Not a heavy event so far...but blue! Look at that mighty 1015 Low. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 I think this might be incoming on the Euro after that initial wave. There's a strengthening High in Quebec and a Low coming from the SW. This can't possibly go wrong. lol, yes it can 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: Well Euro snows on us. Not a heavy event so far...but blue! Look at that mighty 1015 Low. It doesn’t have enough separation between waves to really amp. But the good news is without much separation to allow the cold to press south behind the NS wave we need less amped. If we can get some separation between the multiple waves next week after the lead NS wave clears that would be our chance at a bigger event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: I think this might be incoming on the Euro after that initial wave. Is this the other one that I think @psuhoffman said potentially might be a better setup just afterward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I think this might be incoming on the Euro after that initial wave. Lol I typed that up and then looked as the next panels loaded... details aside the whole euro progression is closer to my “vision” a week ago. Much less ridging and more of a mid latitude handoff between the western and eastern trough under the block v blasting a ridge between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: It doesn’t have enough separation between waves to really amp. But the good news is without much separation to allow the cold to press south behind the NS wave we need less amped. If we can get some separation between the multiple waves next week after the lead NS wave clears that would be our chance at a bigger event. Keep watching the Euro...I have that feeling. I'm talking about the trailing wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 We're about to get destroyed 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: We're about to get destroyed With? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Euro looks big dogish 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Good Looking Euro.....what could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: With? Shit...it looks like it's falling apart just as it gets to us. Blue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1040 mb high over the southern end of James Bay is beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1040 high...and wave is getting crushed right when it gets to us. 999 low, but pressure is rising . Wave getting flattened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Central VA gets crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Yup. Completely falls apart just when it gets to us. This winter man... ETA: There's somebody behind it, but F that noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, stormtracker said: 1040 high...and wave is getting crushed right when it gets to us. 999 low, but pressure is rising . Wave getting flattened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2021 Author Share Posted January 18, 2021 It’s a start. Baby steps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 You gotta be f*ckin kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: Good Looking Euro.....what could go wrong? Narrator: Everything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Is this the other one that I think @psuhoffman said potentially might be a better setup just afterward? 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Keep watching the Euro...I have that feeling. I'm talking about the trailing wave Yes that’s always been the most likely time period based on pattern progression. As everything retrogrades that’s the point where something is most likely to amplify in the east yet have a boundary far enough south to keep us on the frozen side. Doesn’t mean we don’t get something before or after...the pattern isn’t crap on either side of that but that’s when it all seems right wrt the longwave features to see an amplified wave along the east coast south of us. That’s all I saw. The details have to fill in as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 2" at DCA and 10" in RIC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 Damn it turns into a chihuahua and runs away 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yup. Completely falls apart just when it gets to us. This winter man... ETA: There's somebody behind it, but F that noise. It's like that corollary to Murphy's Law: you can't win, you can't break even, you can't even quit the game! Kinda how it feels. But...let's see how things go over the next few days I guess. Seems overall to be a better evolution than a near-full latitude ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2021 Share Posted January 18, 2021 That stormtracker fella seems a bit unstable can someone check on him? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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