IronTy Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Lol 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 5:33 PM, BristowWx said: My point was a psu or Wiggum storm is probably no bueno for us. Referring to location not name. Wiggum is in PA. That won’t help me or you Expand Just a side note, when I post in this subforum regarding threats I am posting for THIS region, not PHL. And vice versa. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:35 PM, losetoa6 said: I'll take it Expand I'll take any M'er F'ing blue if they giv'n it away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 5:39 PM, CAPE said: Gotcha. I think the naming is usually based on who supposedly first saw the threat window for the region, not specific location. Expand I thought it was a TWC thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Well, don't know how it's going to end up, but the Euro is markedly different at H5 vs 0z. Definitely closer to the 12z GFS. Let's hope it transfers quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 It’s holding for sure. Liking this so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Come on Euro....do the damn thing. Incoming looks like. But my guess is now when we need a super block from hell, it fails lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:47 PM, stormtracker said: Well, don't know how it's going to end up, but the Euro is markedly different at H5 vs 0z. Definitely closer to the 12z GFS. Let's hope it transfers quicker Expand There is a lot of dry air that will cool as it saturates to our south (will advect north ahead of the low). We should be ok for at least a thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Thump looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Snowing at 234...and pretty good too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:57 PM, stormtracker said: Snowing at 234...and pretty good too Expand Yeah it is. That’s nice with 1035 locked in up top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Still snowing at 240...looks like a good front end thump...that might never flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 All snow through the end of the run...sweet run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Euro (top) versus GFS (next post) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:58 PM, BristowWx said: Yeah it is. That’s nice with 1035 locked in up top Expand Easily best run we've had during these miserable two weeks. Well....I hate to say it...but say it with me. Only...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Needed hour 246 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Looks like a general 5"-6" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Euro is a thing of beauty. Looked like it was going to cut but the lp just got forced under us. EDIT: Still snowing when the run ends with lp in west va. Would it transfer to coast and keep snowing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:59 PM, RedSky said: Needed hour 246 Expand I agree actually because with the primary in S WV and the block where would the new low form. Still to our north maybe but maybe not. Miller b doesn’t have to suck ass for us if you have a block. Big IF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:59 PM, Paleocene said: Euro (top) versus GFS (next post) Expand The low rides the spine of the apps without a high over New England. How is that snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 The euro puts blue over us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 7:06 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: The low rides the spine of the apps without a high over New England. How is that snow? Expand A good air mass out in front and great blocking. It's been a while since we had real blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 There was a nice back door shortwave that rotated near N NE from the 50/50 that helped hold confluence. Gfs and euro handle the south central Canadian ULL completely differently though, but at this range that’s to be expected. Great run improvements today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 WB EURO at Day 9-10; so all the major models showing a storm for now... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Note the differences here. Euro is actually all southern stream, gfs phases NS in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 5:27 PM, StormchaserChuck! said: I was saying Arctic ice melt was behind what was really happening for a few years now, since 2017-2018. Expand It's just not that the oceans are warming over time. The largest body of water on Earth is the Pacific Ocean and its warmth is overwhelming the North American climate system. While you have blocking like a -EPO, -AO, -NAO you would think it would be very cold and forcing cold out of Canada, but reality is that we instead get the relative warmth off the Pacific Ocean not allowing the normal cooling effects from land and radiational cooling. Like you said though Arctic ice melt is also probably at play as well and that is melting because the lower latitudes are on fire along with the oceans too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 7:09 PM, Chris78 said: A good air mass out in front and great blocking. It's been a while since we had real blocking. Expand Ensembles will be important. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 6:34 PM, IronTy said: Lol Expand Well one thing for sure is from that snowfall map you can see there is a split flow northern branch and southern branch of the jet stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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