rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looks like this event confluence may of been under modeled. Yeah. To look at the upper levels one would think it would be perfection! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: It’s mostly ice fog. We aren’t getting heavy snow in Pittsford. Flurries. Data at: 1617 UTC 29 Jan 2021 METAR for: KROC (Rochester Intl Arpt, NY, US) Text: KROC 291554Z 29006KT 1/2SM R04/2600V3500FT -SN FZFG VV010 M09/M11 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP273 P0002 T10891111 Temperature: -8.9°C ( 16°F) Dewpoint: -11.1°C ( 12°F) [RH = 84%] Pressure (altimeter): 30.30 inches Hg (1026.2 mb) [Sea level pressure: 1027.3 mb] Winds: from the WNW (290 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 knots; 3.1 m/s) Visibility: 0.50 sm ( 0.80 km) Ceiling: indefinite ceiling with vertical visibility of 1000 feet AGL Clouds: obscured sky Weather: -SN FZFG (light snow, freezing fog) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Another burst of snow coming together along the escarpment from NF to Lockport. NT area already picked up 2” from that first batch. Weird seeing the dark clouds to my north with the bright sun shining from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Not much going on with the gfs over the next 10days like the euro..Cold air hangs back so we can't even get much LES behind the front.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 This would burn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Data at: 1617 UTC 29 Jan 2021 METAR for: KROC (Rochester Intl Arpt, NY, US) Text: KROC 291554Z 29006KT 1/2SM R04/2600V3500FT -SN FZFG VV010 M09/M11 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP273 P0002 T10891111 Temperature: -8.9°C ( 16°F) Dewpoint: -11.1°C ( 12°F) [RH = 84%] Pressure (altimeter): 30.30 inches Hg (1026.2 mb) [Sea level pressure: 1027.3 mb] Winds: from the WNW (290 degrees) at 7 MPH (6 knots; 3.1 m/s) Visibility: 0.50 sm ( 0.80 km) Ceiling: indefinite ceiling with vertical visibility of 1000 feet AGL Clouds: obscured sky Weather: -SN FZFG (light snow, freezing fog) No Dave was snowing hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: This would burn Quite the shift south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Band move east over me now ahead of what appears to be a meso low north or rochester. These satellite images are cool today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, tim123 said: No Dave was snowing hard. It says, right there, that it’s -sn and freezing fog. Isn’t -sn light snow? Whatever. It wasn’t/ isn’t our set up. Sometimes we get a few inches the night after they expect it. Lol. South shore...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 See the enhanced band in East side that was over airport. Moved east over me now ahead of a nice meso low over central lake ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 As you guys know, I haven't been big on this winter at all. My calls for the events have been pretty spot-on. I was "committing weenie suicide" by mentioning this will be suppressed well south, and then a cutter will hit. It's in the cards. It's been the pattern. We can be optimistic...or be realistic, which unfortunately, involves pessimism towards this winter season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 12 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: One of my buddies is from London, Ontario. They can get some pretty amazing lake effect snow bands there! Looks like they're getting hit nicely right now. I'm also from London. We probably got about a foot. It will likely compact to a couple of inches it's so fluffy, but at least it looks like winter. The LES events don't happen like they used to here, so I can relate to the pain expressed on this regional forum. I usually lurk on the Lakes forum and don't post much but come over here fairly regularly to see if you guys are making out better than us. I keep wasting time following synoptic snow threats that fizzle to nothing or give a whopping inch or two, but I can't seem to help myself. Weather addiction at play....... 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Pounding out here in walworth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Beautiful meso low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Huge flakes here in walworth. Cotton balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, tim123 said: Beautiful meso low. It’ll be fun under that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 24 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: As you guys know, I haven't been big on this winter at all. My calls for the events have been pretty spot-on. I was "committing weenie suicide" by mentioning this will be suppressed well south, and then a cutter will hit. It's in the cards. It's been the pattern. We can be optimistic...or be realistic, which unfortunately, involves pessimism towards this winter season. Pessimism wins. Again. Although I’m holding out a little longer. The upper level looks so much better than the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 hours ago, CNY_WX said: There’s nothing showing up on radar over me but it continues to snow lightly. There’s a slight indication of a Mexico Bay band which the Montague radar is overshooting over me. I picked up 0.4 inch overnight, 0.03 inch liquid. We had a little over a half inch here last night. It was sort of the consistency of sugar. 33 minutes ago, London snowsquall said: I'm also from London. We probably got about a foot. It will likely compact to a couple of inches it's so fluffy, but at least it looks like winter. The LES events don't happen like they used to here, so I can relate to the pain expressed on this regional forum. I usually lurk on the Lakes forum and don't post much but come over here fairly regularly to see if you guys are making out better than us. I keep wasting time following synoptic snow threats that fizzle to nothing or give a whopping inch or two, but I can't seem to help myself. Weather addiction at play....... Thanks so much for the comment. Congrats on the LES! Feel free to stop in and share your reports more often. The past couple winters have been a challenge, haven't they? 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Pessimism wins. Again. Although I’m holding out a little longer. The upper level looks so much better than the surface Kudos to you. I would love to be pleasantly surprised! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Snowing moderately all morning in Williamsville big flakes about 2 inches of just fluff, not accumulating on mains or busy secondary routes but is on all other snowy surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Deep convection goin up over ontario. Snowing hard here in walworth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Mesolow just starting to show up on radar - can see the comma shape... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 If the precip enhances enough, may even get a SWS out of it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 hours ago, rochesterdave said: There was way too much wind for a good set up in Monroe county. Never fails. I was going to ask what the hell happened. We were forecast for 4-5". I snowblowed the remnants from earlier this week at 9 pm, it was flurrying. I figured, well, maybe it'll pick up overnight. Wake up 7 am, still flurrying, and had maybe 0.5-1" of fluff on the ground. It never picked up. So that's two events this week that were expected to produce 8-10" combined, instead got about 3". That pretty much sums up this winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Come to walworth. Probally got 3 inches in past 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 29, 2021 Author Share Posted January 29, 2021 snowing good in northtowns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Euro running now. Little effect for most of us but I think this is going to be the biggest run of the season thus far from DCA-Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Hope they get skunked. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 EURO now has the primary Deep South pretty much. It’s ova! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Even skunks east coast. Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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