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Upstate/Eastern New York


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23 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

I’ve had the year of my life. USO, VUZI and NDRA. Went in big on Carnival and Boeing at the drop in March. I’d short GameStop if I had balls. 

I mean I’m up on everything in this weird wild banner of a year. But definitely not as high as it could have been. I sold early and took profits only to watch things soar. I can’t really complain, but patience would have paid off big time. 

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8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

I'm up over 150% in my 401k last 5 years. But some of these stocks are going up 200-500% in a day. I'll hop on with some play money.

Patience wins the long game. 

My strategy was eliminate all debt first. Best decision I ever made. There is no value you can place on peace of mind! (At least for me)

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25 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

I mean I’m up on everything in this weird wild banner of a year. But definitely not as high as it could have been. I sold early and took profits only to watch things soar. I can’t really complain, but patience would have paid off big time. 

Swing trading is harder than it seems because of just that reason...when to sell.  It's a Mix of patience and knowing when to GTFO.  Have to have a defined strategy... is this more if a LT play or do I want a hit a single or double over days/weeks with a target in mind? Day trading is gambling and a different mindset.

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It`s still anticipated that as the weakening area of low pressure
pushes toward WV/western PA on Monday, it will give way to a
developing coastal low somewhere off the VA/Delmarva coast. Model
discrepancies continue as to just if/how this system may impact our
area. As of the 27/12Z guidance package, all models are in good
agreement that a rapidly intensifying nor`easter will develop just
off the coast at the start of the work week, then move in a
northeasterly direction. The question is...does it hug the New
England coast or stay further east into the Atlantic. The same area
of high pressure mentioned just above will have say in this as well.
Separating things out, the 27/12Z Canadian and GFS keep more
influence from the large area of Canadian high pressure locked in
across our area, keeping the bulk of the precip to our east and
southeast as the low stays further off the coast, with just some
weak northerly flow snow showers south of Lake Ontario through mid
week. Meanwhile, the 12Z ECMWF weakens the Canadian high and allows
it to retreat a bit further north. This would allow for slower
tracking storm system that hugs the New England coast, throwing
Atlantic moisture back across our region Tuesday and possibly
lingering into Wednesday in the form of snow. Putting it all
together, still a high degree of uncertainty as to how exactly this
scenario will evolve. Will elect to go with SChc/Chc PoPs due to a
low confidence forecast with this system at this time, with the best
chance of snow east of Lake Ontario closer to the storm. This one
will need to be watched closely as there seems to be a more
northerly/northwesterly track to many of the systems depicted in the
long range so far this winter season. Stay tuned.

I thought the Euro was the Southern outlier, so now that has switched? I must be confused, lol!

KBUF definitely doesn't sound too enthused about the Thurs-Sat time frame as they call the Lake Snows a nuisance, lol!

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Look at how deep the snow growth region is this evening, lol, thats why there are parachutes coming down, Nice!! Its close to 3.5 miles thick, nuts!

gfs_2021012718_006_43.25--76.25.png

but its also super dry as well and theres a cap ( inversion) at 850mb so I wouldn't expect anything significant the next couple days.

in fact 00Z Friday it looks even worse, lol, so IDK whats going on, lol!

gfs_2021012718_030_43.25--76.25.png

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I don't think I've seen a decent NW wind "event" since moving here? I know they're almost never as potent as the Westerly or SW events...but I have yet to be impressed by one. There were a couple times last winter where we had some nice Northerly flow lake enhancement off the backside of systems. Those were nice surprises, as they dropped several inches of fluff after the synoptic. But, NW flow? Yaaaawn.

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2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

You can add stop losses to any stock to save profits. You don't necessarily need buy/hold strategy. There are many ways to protect a risky investment.

That’s a great safety maneuver especially when not wanting to incur all the risk. Profits aren’t as great but neither are the losses.

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45 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

Look at how deep the snow growth region is this evening, lol, thats why there are parachutes coming down, Nice!! Its close to 3.5 miles thick, nuts!

gfs_2021012718_006_43.25--76.25.png

That entire snow growth region on the skew T is in bone dry air so I don't think snow is forming in that layer.  Its happening in that thin saturated layer below 850, right? 

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Stop losses are great but stocks don’t always move in a linear fashion. A stock’s value can go directly from $10 to $2 with no in between if bad news breaks. So if your stop loss is $8, it’ll sell at $2. Which might be a mistake as they can sometimes recover from bad news. But this is probably better for banter page. Plus, like weather, never take my advice- I’m usually wrong. 

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