BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2021 Author Share Posted January 13, 2021 Roads extremely slippery this morning. Almost fell down my driveway. All side roads are completely encased in ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 8 hours ago, wolfie09 said: The winter of 20/21.. Disgusting. If true. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Some times seasonal trends are hard to break, been missing everything to the east all winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 It's not always just about track.. Para and european similar track and strength, different results.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 A second one too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: It's not always just about track.. Para and european similar track and strength, different results.. You can see it’s their orientation. EURO is vertical while PARA is horizontal. In my head, too progress for anything like PARA. But she sure is persistent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Well para has been fairly consistent and did well with the bgm snowstorm so hopefully it comes through again lol Can't really count on the Nam/Rgem yet, Nam as usual has mostly snow and the rgem has the low in eastern NY.. Ukmet runs through interior new England which is similar to the Canadian, Gfs is farthest east and off the coast.. About sums it up.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Nam with a quick shot of snow..If it backs enough I would expect some wrap around..Still way out there for this model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nam with a quick shot of snow..If it backs enough I would expect some wrap around..Still way out there for this model. Classic Adirondack hit. Great weekend to up there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 LR Rgem FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Wrap around with an assist from the lake is our only shot, maybe we get 1"-3" from the synoptic portion..You can see enhancement starting at the end of the rgem run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: GFS had a change of heart lol With the way this weekend storm is looking I'm going have to turn to this one... That's better haha. I was a bit confused about the first map that was all rain when things should be below freezing by this point. But again this is winter of 2020/2021 so anything is possible when it is hitched to 2020 lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: A second one too. This is where we get into trouble. I think it would honestly be better for all our mental health if we didnt look beyond 5-7 days. it's just such a fools game with the way the GFS and some of these models seem to runaway and overamplify patterns out past 10 days. It's just not based in reality. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 25 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That placement aligns with the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Gfs is stinky for all..Para not much better unless you live in catskills/Dacks.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2021 Author Share Posted January 13, 2021 Does our region really need a visit from the polar vortex to get snow during on average the coldest week of the year? It seems that way, the airmass is just so marginal for anything good for next 10 days. The closer we get the warmer its getting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Does our region really need a visit from the polar vortex to get snow during the coldest week of the year? It seems that way, the airmass is just so marginal for anything good for next 10 days. The closer we get the warmer its getting. I'll just take a cross-polar flow and -EPO... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Had a feeling the PARA would give up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 RGEM is so nice because it develops that so far south and then moves it due north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 The Canadian has a Hudson Valley runner.. Nice band Of heavy snow right where you would expect it to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: The Canadian has a Hudson Valley runner.. Nice band Of heavy snow right where you would expect it to be. Hoping the CMC & RGEM work out! Interested in seeing what the 12z Euro has... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 40 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Geeziz...when Kuchera only gives you an inch or so...#YouAreF@cked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 10-1 maps actually look better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 31 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: RGEM is so nice because it develops that so far south and then moves it due north. I esp like the slug of RAIN shown from BGM-SYR-ROC. Makes it even more special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Global Canadian following the regional, no surprise there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Ukmet on par with the Canadians, maybe even a touch west.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2021 Share Posted January 13, 2021 I post the bad with the GFS models, I post the good with the foreign models lol See what the European has in an hour.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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