Thinksnow18 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 32 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: no just the clipper Wow. That would be most excellent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 33 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: We went on our honeymoon 11 years ago and my wife got sick going to and from the resort lol. Last year we rented a car and that was much better. This year you cant rent cars becsua of Covid so we'll see this goes. I agree, this is our favorite island. St Kitts is a close second. i've only been car sick once in my entire life and it was on the ride from the Sandals resort on the North end of the island back to the airport. I'm not sure what it is about those roads and tour buses, but damn... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 28 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: i've only been car sick once in my entire life and it was on the ride from the Sandals resort on the North end of the island back to the airport. I'm not sure what it is about those roads and tour buses, but damn... Yep that’s the same ride we were taking. The driver had to pull over for my wife and luckily did so at one of the many roadside bars where we all topped off on pitons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 47 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Yep that’s the same ride we were taking. The driver had to pull over for my wife and luckily did so at one of the many roadside bars where we all topped off on pitons. I always joke that I said the word piton over a hundred times when we were there. Those things go down so easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 20, 2021 Share Posted January 20, 2021 Next event as of now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Looking at the EPS pressure spread it seems the primary is pretty far north, somewhere near L.ERIE before"jumping ship".. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 hour ago, swva said: Next event as of now. Think they may be underestimating this next event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 17 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looking at the EPS pressure spread it seems the primary is pretty far north, somewhere near L.ERIE before"jumping ship".. These tracks can be good for a quick thump but we gotta watch temp profiles in the western zones. Syracuse NE usually is fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Lake enhancement really blossoming upwind over Lake Huron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Starting to like fri eve into Saturday from roc to syr for some decent lake snows. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Winds look to start West-WSW before veering NW..As usual going to be a transition zone somewhere.. Granted I take SR guidance with a grain of salt lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 0z RGEM FWIW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Well...looked at the latest GFS and almost doesn’t make sense. Looks completely suppressed and almost stationary for days in the lower Midwest. Gonna hang the NWS and ignore this model- so odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Cmc took a step backwards as well..Way south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Nice look Friday morning.. Could be it for a little while.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Cmc took a step backwards as well..Way south.. Stronger push of arctic airmass... look at the closed 498 DM feature on the latest run. Pushes everything south, even the system in the southwest. Hopefully that's overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 Wow look at all those 30" totals, really good storm, winner was springville with nearly 3 feet https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just have to accept that the synoptic pattern sucks this winter. We can't get the streams to link up to produce some good times. One or the other dominates, and it's too much of one thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Go Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 11 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. Greatest snowfall amounts on teh Tug Hill Plateau. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Picked up a bit over an inch in the past hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 EPS look pretty good for most of the area with next storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Looking decent for monroe Wayne counties for solid advisory lake snow fri into sat. 20 to 1 ratios could be good for 3 to 6 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: EPS look pretty good for most of the area with next storm. So glad it’s on our side because the patsy kline GFS is living up to her namesake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: So glad it’s on our side because the patsy kline GFS is living up to her namesake The good news is that if we get the usual shift north in track as game day approaches, we may be reasonably well positioned for the system early next week. Model trends the next 2-3 days will be interesting. Hopefully recent trends as to the strength of the blocking up north, turn out to be overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Once again the rgem is more than double any model around here.. Becoming hard to trust it.. Ironically last event it had hardly anything here.. Nws obviously isn't buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Once again the rgem is more than double any model around here.. Becoming hard to trust it.. Ironically last event it had hardly anything here.. Nws obviously isn't buying it. We can still hope it wins one time lol. I always thought it was a pretty good model for LES in the past. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, swva said: We can still hope it wins one time lol. I always thought it was a pretty good model for LES in the past. It is especially with band placement IMO.. Precipitation amount are hard to trust on any model to be honest.. Last event I actually followed the Global models for band placement and it worked out pretty good.. Gfs for example gives us a nice dose of snow overnight into tomorrow afternoon, inch line practically to pulaski.. Here's hoping lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 21, 2021 Author Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFS is close but too far south still 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Canadian looks great for roc area fri sat. Gives .4 to .6 precip. Verbatim would be 8 to 12. With 20 to 1 ratios. Nws did say thats what there ratios would be so potential is there for it to add up quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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