BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 The models and that map I posted were right though. Boston hills/Eden are at 15-20" so far for this storm. I'm at 6.4" for both events before todays event. Some places will have received 2' by tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 Looks like new band forming over the lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Looks like a close call here.. That band may set up just to my north, not sure yet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 I blasted down to holiday valley today so I got to punch that band. It was pretty juicy just north of springville, there is definitely a lot of snow on the ground. Eyeballing over 18” in that area. Less snow in ellicotville but hopeful we get clipped by that band for awhile later this morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Is the HRRR consistently wrong? Definitely a possibility lol The model does like to be to far south with band placement.. It will be pretty stationary until this evening when the band starts to drop south, so where it sets up makes or breaks this event Imby.. The initial band looks a touch north of here but the stuff on the western end looks farther south, so we'll see lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 After the major snowfall of the last couple of days, I’ve made it to 31.0 inches for the season. 0.7 inch overnight on 0.3 liquid. Edit: I just reread this and it should obviously be 0.03 inch of liquid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 40 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Did the drunk guy go home? Exactly Dave. From 7" to 2" or less...model hugging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 37 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like new band forming over the lake Does that look a bit further north to you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Went from a dusting yesterday to a coating today. Arrow is pointing in the right direction! Maybe tomorrow we'll even have the grass completely covered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Riding a very fine line here, flurry spitting out every once in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: The models and that map I posted were right though. Boston hills/Eden are at 15-20" so far for this storm. I'm at 6.4" for both events before todays event. Some places will have received 2' by tomorrow morning. They were right in a tiny location. The ridge. They made it seem like BUF and N Erie was gonna get hit. I’ll bet you can see grass there. And for the rest of it? Rochester with 6”? We got .5” It was a pipe dream. A crack pipe dream. You can’t tell me you think it was a reasonable forecast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Could be some widespread light snow tomorrow morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: They were right in a tiny location. The ridge. They made it seem like BUF and N Erie was gonna get hit. I’ll bet you can see grass there. And for the rest of it? Rochester with 6”? We got .5” It was a pipe dream. A crack pipe dream. You can’t tell me you think it was a reasonable forecast. Most models showed KBUF getting hit until the last 24 hours of runs. It was a close call and as thinksnow mentioned the models do have a southern bias with LES. It wasn't just the ridge lines that got hit. Eden has 15" of snow and thats a few miles south of my spot. Erie PA got a foot of snow yesterday too. Seems like a spread the wealth event from NE Ohio to the southtowns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Some guidance shows a little interaction with a weak coastal system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 12z GFS is back to the Euro for a southern route and the CWA bring in the cold side, although not much snow this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Snowing pretty good at the moment, big fluffy flakes..Kind of a weird looking band but I'll take it lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Looks like tonight we could have a better flow for my back yard.. Lake snows have become organized east of Lake Ontario this morning with the arrival of a mesolow that tracked eastward across Lake Ontario overnight into this morning. Eventually this more widespread lake effect will consolidate into a well defined plume that will be focused between Watertown and the Tug Hill on a 260 flow during the afternoon and the first half of tonight. A cap rising to more than 10k ft will encourage rates of one to two inches an hour for that area between 21 and 06z with snowfall of 5 to 10 inches. Like the activity off Lake Erie...a veering steering flow late tonight will push the band south across the southern half of the Tug to Oswego county. Similar snowfall rates of 1-2 inches an hour will be expected for the second half of tonight with several more inches of accumulation anticipated. For Wednesday...the 300-310 flow will promote multi-band lake snows south-southeast of Lk Ontario with 1-3 inches of accumulation expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 20 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Snowing pretty good at the moment, big fluffy flakes..Kind of a weird looking band but I'll take it lol It looks like it’s going to move back north of you, probably southern Jefferson County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 I wonder if we'll be able to actually get a somewhat northerly component to the flow tomorrow. Seems very rare lately. There were several chances for this week, but they seem to disappearing opportunities. Perhaps that little disturbance off of New England can help turn the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: I wonder if we'll be able to actually get a somewhat northerly component to the flow tomorrow. Seems very rare lately. There were several chances for this week, but they seem to disappearing opportunities. Perhaps that little disturbance off of New England can help turn the winds. A friend of mine in Springville says 2' of new snow last 2 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: A friend of mine in Springville says 2' of new snow last 2 days. Ha! I have been keeping quiet about that....don't rub salt in the wound! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 19, 2021 Author Share Posted January 19, 2021 My in laws in southern eden have 18" last 2 days, so close to a big event here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Looks like some convective snow showers over the Finger Lakes region. Could be some brief squalls this afternoon...especially with a few peeks of sun we're seeing here right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Hrrr still delivering the goods this evening starting around 6-7pm...Picked up slightly more than an inch this morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Looks like everything is suppressed med-long range on the european.. Looks like it's been coming down pretty good in sandy creek.. https://www.windy.com/-Webcams/United-States/New-York/Sandy-Creek/NY-at-County-Route/webcams/1572576964 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Snow Ridge getting hit hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Basically 2 days of mood flakes here. Couple of coatings but not much to speak of. Glacier remains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Pretty good snow shower heading towards I81. Looks like it went over Matt’s house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Really snowing hard, too bad it won’t last long. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 19, 2021 Share Posted January 19, 2021 Been in and out of moderate-heavy snow all day..Band is disorganized at the moment, I think it will get better organized later this evening.. Flakes are a thing of beauty.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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