Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Look at the loop of rgem on tropical tidbits. You can see energy waves spreading out all over the place in the precip field. Wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Dude the second image is a puppy dog over Binghamton. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Euro considerably north thru 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 RAP gone wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Euro is big improvement esp finger lakes, south shore, southern tier and HRV. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 See something goin on and it can't figure out precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Euro is big improvement esp finger lakes, south shore, southern tier and HRV. It's like I'm on a see-saw...does a 400lb-er get on the other side or someone 80lbs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Euro considerably north thru 30 Euro trash. Ich habe es scheisse gemacht. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It’s been a ride! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Euro trash. Ich habe es scheisse gemacht. Lmao! “I made it shit?” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Bgm update... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Was just going to say precip north is kinda agressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, tim123 said: Was just going to say precip north is kinda agressive Still pressing north too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 No way it’s a bad sign! Hrrr is about 75 miles NW of where Euro was at 23z Monday. Not sure if it means anything but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, tim123 said: Was just going to say precip north is kinda agressive I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 As expected following the Op run, the 0z EPS expanded precip back to the NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Watch 06z go back to where it was at 06z yesterday. One can hope. Kinda wild swings for euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Look at the panels. There all the same look. Its about moisture. All the models are struggling with moisture not so much position. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Hrrr has low making landfall on eastern long Island then goes sw along Island. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2.2" here so far and snow growth has improved significantly. Id estimate around 0.5"/hr rate right now. We are definitely overperforming against the modeling thus far in the early going just as BGM pointed out with their update a few hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6z NAM appears to be taking a step back for whatever reason with precip for later today and Tuesday. Not sure can trust the models at all right now. Definitely going to be a nowcasting storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Sref actually just whent up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Has buffalo up to 5 roc to 10 after goin down a couple times to day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Latest 7z HRRR run only has BGM getting another 2.1" by 18z even on the kuchera ratio. At this rate we will get that by 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Snowing lightly in Cazenovia...1/4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 No model had me even close to qpf att....had my area starting to snow at 06-07 z TOMORROW! Snow SHOULD retract to the SW with my area and points just north...ie a lull...but HRRR 07 has the snow now pivoting back by 00z. I think the key to this forecast now Is a feature that is exiting off the Georgia coast now... Canadian models (and now HRRR) are picking up on it and actually have a LP go into Cape Cod. Fascinating system!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 416 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021 NYZ015>018-023-025-044-020930- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0002.210201T1500Z-210203T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KBGM.WS.W.0004.210201T1500Z-210203T1000Z/ Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Schuyler-Tompkins-Cortland- Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn, Syracuse, Watkins Glen, Ithaca, and Cortland 416 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts. * WHERE...Yates, Seneca, Southern Cayuga, Onondaga, Schuyler, Tompkins and Cortland counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 5 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes today. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration event. Occasional light snow falls today but then snow may become heavy at times late today through Tuesday with areas of blowing snow. Snow showers and Lake Effect continue through Tuesday night with additional snow accumulations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 This is clearly an Easterly flow at the surface and just off the deck up to about 850mb then they start to veer to tyhe NE then, well you all know how winds flow during an event but this is what the models kept catching on in the MV with perhaps a bit of a downsloping effect off the Southern Dacks so it will be interesting to see if has any credence. At the onset of the event, there doesn't appear to be any downsloping signature but that can all change as the event starts unfolding and exactly how long the winds stay at this direction so ill be keeping an eye on this because there have been quite a few events now that the SREF's and several other meso's keep catching this does it ever come to fruition? we'll see........ So far, light to mod sn with as temp of 18F and the radar looks promising for once during an event, lol, enjoy! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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