tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Looks nice for south shore too. Look at the mix up the hudson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 29 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: No way is this changing. Sold. LOCK IT IN 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 This trough is going to go negative tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Looks nice for south shore too. Look at the mix up the hudson. Looks damn good. Too bad it's the RAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Trough is neutral now exactly the position you would want it to be at now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 That low and vorticity that's over indiana now is going be what slams into maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro looking a little SE thru 0z Tue based on qpf spread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro looks like a turd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Euro looks like a turd. No need to panic, still more time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 It's an as good or better run for Finger Lakes area to SYR based on qpf output, but a step back for everyone else. Yikes. Hopefully just a hiccup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Nam starts to step up, so the Euro starts to back off. Fitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Looks just like cmc and Canadian. Precip is less though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Nam starts to step up, so the Euro starts to back off. Fitting. At least the UK is getting better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Eps is what really matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Gotta take averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro precip and Kuchera... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Not like one area has less its the entire northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Low is just as strong and in same areas. Thats the main thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 11 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Euro precip and Kuchera... Also note - as discussed before - and something I have realized the last few years, is that the Euro does not do as well with lake enhancement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Yo-yo. But it concerns me a little that we’ve lost most of the really nice ensemble members on the GFS. Relying on a little lobe of NW precip. Not saying it won’t happen, it’s a big storm, there will be surprises. But overall, I’m not loving today’s trends. And we haven’t even entered the SE correction time frame. Still liking Syracuse down to the finger lakes a little bit more than kroc. Watch NAM hammer out crazy stuff on 18z and drag me back! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 If eps lowers significantly and rgem does as well then I will be more concerned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just for reference ahead of the 12z run, here was the 6z EPS... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Yo-yo. But it concerns me a little that we’ve lost most of the really nice ensemble members on the GFS. Relying on a little lobe of NW precip. Not saying it won’t happen, it’s a big storm, there will be surprises. But overall, I’m not loving today’s trends. And we haven’t even entered the SE correction time frame. Still liking Syracuse down to the finger lakes a little bit more than kroc. Watch NAM hammer out crazy stuff on 18z and drag me back! Lol Don't get NAM'ed. It always hypes precip around this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12Z Euro says...let's do this again next weekend! LOL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Never gets good precip up this way though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Quick interlude on the upcoming storm discussion...The 12Z Euro at day 6-8 is an atmospheric powder keg for the northeast. Didn’t check if other models have anything at that time, but wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Quick interlude on the upcoming storm discussion...The 12Z Euro at day 6-8 is an atmospheric powder keg for the northeast. Didn’t check if other models have anything at that time, but wow... Miller A? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Yes cmc and gfs have a lot of energy and moisture flying around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: 12Z Euro says...let's do this again next weekend! LOL. Plenty of time to come NW lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I think cmc and gfs have something around same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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