wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Navy is doing a better job lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NYC just gonna get killed. Big one for them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Big run incoming for Syracuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Already 3-4 inches down here and still snowing moderately. Models last night barely had any precipitation reaching my area at this point. Usually do well here when a coastal hooks toward Maine so I’m cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NYC just gonna get killed. Big one for them! It's about to get biblical there. Gotta root for hi-res RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Big run incoming for Syracuse. Anything good for the Tug/ADK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Looking at this, it just looks like it’s ready to be a classic. But you can’t discount the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I think I’m liking the NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Why not? Lol If they can't verify one hour out, toss.. Canadian guidance not doing well either.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Here is the hi rez at 9am.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Why not? Lol If they can't verify one hour out, toss.. Canadian guidance not doing well either.. Fact. The GFS and the King don’t even show snow over upstate this morning on their last runs...and it’s while happening! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Here is the hi rez at 9am.. Toss...snow is all the way up to Lake Ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 850’s colder for sure. Not buying that enhancement won’t be a big player Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaistDeepSnow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 This is overperforming in Buffalo. Already an inch of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Steady light snow here, though I suppose this isn't the main event. Spitballing: seems like the low is developing a bit farther off the coast than we'd want for WNY. These models showing the low near NJ tomorrow -- is it expected to be basically stationary for 24 hours? That would be an absolute monster, long-duration event for NYC, the Poconos, the Hudson Valley, and maybe interior southern New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It’s an improvement for Finger lakes region including SYR and ROC. I guess it’s nowcasting even though our main event doesn’t happen for 24 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3k real stingy on precip. Syracuse and just south does ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Here is the 3k at 9 am.. Radar is the best tool we got not the models.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Snowing actually hard in Irondequoit. Opened my eyes and was like....what? Same here. the early snow may not amount to much but makes me wonder about the rest of the forecast. KBGM upped totals early this a.m. also... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Sitting on 3" here and a lull. Waiting for precip to fill back in from the southeast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Here is the 3k at 9 am.. Radar is the best tool we got not the models.. All models suck. Toss them all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I hate what the NAM shows, but it feels realistic for WNY. We needed NYC to be getting taint and dry-slot for us to get in on any of the synoptic action. We're going to be relying entirely on LES off the northerly flow here on the south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steffen Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 After hours and hours of flurries yesterday it finally started to accumulate close to midnight. Surprised to wake up to about 3 to 4 fresh inches, and it's still snowing lightly now. Getting ready for round 2 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: All models suck. Toss them all. One of our posters showed the low in radar loop an hour or so ago, per that NAM 3k run the low is too far south and east of where the LP is actually at currently. I think this is going to be the “which model was closest “ to what actually occurred type of deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Huge win. Been snowing since 3AM and I expected nothing! Nice appetizer... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: You can clearly see the primary low off the NJ coast is now rapidly deepening (can see a swirl and fresh deep convection) We shall see if that contracts the precip field further west as things tighten up around the new low. This one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 RGEM coming in drier, but still good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, vortmax said: RGEM coming in drier, but still good. Pretty much the same as 6z and actually tick more at least here in Onondaga County 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I thought the NWS went off the deep end 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Initial batch of light snow associated with original primary seems to be decaying over CNY now as the coastal low starts to take over... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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