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Just now, rochesterdave said:

It’s the pre 0z party. All laughs just before our irrational hopes get smashed to smithereens. Or not

Right? I have a fire going, Margaritas and watching the Night Stalker limited series on NFLX.  I have to make my forecast in 1 hour. I hope the 0Z NAM doesn't lead me astray. Because I know it will.

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All models have shown the secondary stalling or doing, maybe, a bit of a cyclonic loop south of LI. Either that or they are struggling with where exactly place the slp for several periods.  The NAM is the solution that bothers me most in that it doesn't throw precip back NW that much.  Not saying it's right but that would be our biggest concern with this one.

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Just now, Syrmax said:

All models have shown the secondary stalling or doing, maybe, a bit if a cyclonic loop south of LI. Either that or they are struggling with where exactly place the slp for several periods.  The NAM is the solution that bothers me most in that it doesn't throw precip back NW that much.  Not saying it's right but that would be our biggest concern with this one.

It would screw us Royal. It’s a viable scenario. IDK. Thought it would change by now. Not really in it’s wheel house yet

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Just now, Syrmax said:

All models have shown the secondary stalling or doing, maybe, a bit if a cyclonic loop south of LI. Either that or they are struggling with where exactly place the slp for several periods.  The NAM is the solution that bothers me most in that it doesn't throw precip back NW that much.  Not saying it's right but that would be our biggest concern with this one.

Perhaps it is the true outlier as the other models are showing the expansion west and banding.  Def tick nw a bit- perhaps it comes around tomorrow or perhaps it gets tossed.

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