wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Precip farther west but weak and disorganized.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 46 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM is almost always the most aggressive NW scenario. Just saying. Yeah- I have been tossing every model that doesn’t show us getting much. Think the NAM does not look right whatsoever after 37-48hrs. The guys in PA must be freaking! EURO had them getting 2’ and name showing same areas getting 2”! Lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Actually starts to back it up.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 BGM sounds pretty excited about the upcoming possibility. At this point, they're not talking big impacts for up here yet (of course) but they did say, "Well, this sure escalated quickly." lol Oh, and I didn't realize sunshine came from the Arctic! For Sunday, the sky will vary considerably from Arctic sunshine across the New York Thruway corridor, to thickening clouds from Twin Tiers southward ahead of the next system. Highs will be generally lower to mid 20s, but some hilltops not getting out of the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gets snow to roc. Still think it having feed back issues jumping low around instead of being tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I'll take that RGEM solution, I'd argue QPF should of been higher but excellent evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Here ya go Matt, a frame we both like! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Local mets aren’t touching this thing yet. Can’t say I blame them. 1”-1 foot. Lol. Instead they are talking about how cold it’ll be tonight. Hahaha Penn Yan has a 42.5” member. Oh boy. Crazy town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Another meh front end on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gfs tucked too. Close to RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Another crappy run here lol Looks decent south of here with some enhancement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gfs litterly dances around me haha.. Primary to far south, coastal to far south, wrap around to far north, enhancement to far south lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Cutter is back bigtime on 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 European has that same wave giving snow to nj lol Canadian and icon develop it OTS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Baby steps. 18z GEFS better across the board incrementally 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Baby steps. 18z GEFS better across the board incrementally Missing a lot of the decaying CCB here. total a bit further out... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Gfs still giving out the goods after that system moves out, still going verbatim, I'll be following day by day as usual until it shits the bed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Last event went 100 miles further North, than first anticipated, now watch this one stay just to our South, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 18z Icon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I may just avoid this board for the next 2 days. Too much excitement then disappointment from run to run. Used to be nice just knowing a storm was coming then letting the anticipation build. Sometimes you were rewarded sometimes you were disappointed but at least it was only one time not every 6 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: 18z Icon... Ridiculous local gradient here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, CNY_WX said: I may just avoid this board for the next 2 days. Too much excitement then disappointment from run to run. Used to be nice just knowing a storm was coming then letting the anticipation build. Sometimes you were rewarded sometimes you were disappointed but at least it was only one time not every 6 hours. Agreed! I remember when there was just 2 models that they ran twice a day and that was it. Now we have like 12 between the globals and the meso's and its starting to get confusing if ya ask me, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Ridiculous local gradient here. Yeah alot of the models have been showing that gradient along the entire Mohawk Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 You can literally find a model that suits the weenie in all of us, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Yeah alot of the models have been showing that gradient along the entire Mohawk Valley. Gonna be a hair puller. I'd take my chances being just NW of guidance. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Agreed! I remember when there was just 2 models that they ran twice a day and that was it. Now we have like 12 between the globals and the meso's and its starting to get confusing if ya ask me, lol! Exactly, more data and we know less at the same time! Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Gonna be a hair puller. I'd take my chances being just NW of guidance. That Icon map looks suspiciously similar to "consensus" prior to the December storm that rocked BGM. That ended up well NW with max snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: That Icon map looks suspiciously similar to "consensus" prior to the December storm that rocked BGM. That ended up well NW with max snowfall. Yeah I'll take my 30-36" all over again lol. That's why I'm not too down yet, could definitely be in a worse spot considering seasonal tendencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: That Icon map looks suspiciously similar to "consensus" prior to the December storm that rocked BGM. That ended up well NW with max snowfall. Actually it’s a lot further NW than any of the guidance prior to the Binghamton special. Which is why I’m staying hopeful something gives. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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