96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 12:28 PM, LakeEffectKing said: Do you have the hr. 114 or 120 map? Expand Only goes to 90. EPS goes out to 144 and will post when it’s out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 12:34 PM, 96blizz said: Only goes to 90. EPS goes out to 144 and will post when it’s out. Expand Great. Thanks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 12:39 PM, LakeEffectKing said: Great. Thanks! Expand 6z Euro EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I know it’s not nice, but I am going to take this moment to say, I told ya Nancies! Half of you taking the bridge yesterday. The upper levels always looked intriguing! Not to say it’s golden. The shift back is also real but we should continue to see some shifting NW for a couple more runs before the reality runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 1:12 PM, rochesterdave said: I know it’s not nice, but I am going to take this moment to say, I told ya Nancies! Half of you taking the bridge yesterday. The upper levels always looked intriguing! Not to say it’s golden. The shift back is also real but we should continue to see some shifting NW for a couple more runs before the reality runs. Expand In Dave we trust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 1:11 PM, 96blizz said: 6z Euro EPS. Expand Ehhh. At least we are in the game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 1:12 PM, rochesterdave said: I know it’s not nice, but I am going to take this moment to say, I told ya Nancies! Half of you taking the bridge yesterday. The upper levels always looked intriguing! Not to say it’s golden. The shift back is also real but we should continue to see some shifting NW for a couple more runs before the reality runs. Expand Was kinda with you... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Yeah I'm still looking ahead lol Gfs continues to show different solutions for next week which is obviously expected lol Kinda trended towards the Canadian with a colder frontal passage and another southern stream behind it that kicks off the lake machine.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 1:41 PM, wolfie09 said: Yeah I'm still looking ahead lol Gfs continues to show different solutions for next week which is obviously expected lol Kinda trended towards the Canadian with a colder frontal passage and another southern stream behind it that kicks off the lake machine.. Expand The GFS LES train is back! We made it through this freeze without much ice. Next 5-7 days should prevent anymore ice. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just need another bump or two north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 1:46 PM, wolfie09 said: Just need another bump or two north.. Expand Probably have some more wrap around to get through as well.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 If the winter trend is anything of note this storm will come 100-150 miles further NW than any model predicts. I mean the last 2-3 did that, it is possible this one does too. Seems the models have been really struggling with miller bs this winter for some reason. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 1:46 PM, wolfie09 said: Just need another bump or two north.. Expand I never knew there was a 6z GEM. Ya learn something every day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:06 PM, 96blizz said: I never knew there was a 6z GEM. Ya learn something every day. Expand Me too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 My guess is the NAM will back off some from the 6Z run. Seemed like an overzealous run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 This is getting pretty wild. Realistically have to pull myself down a little lol. My heart wants a full redux of December however unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:11 PM, TugHillMatt said: My guess is the NAM will back off some from the 6Z run. Seemed like an overzealous run. Expand Seems identical thru 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Little south with precip from the primary, seems to be transferring quicker as well.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:15 PM, wolfie09 said: Little south with precip from the primary, seems to be transferring quicker as well.. Expand I think any real snows for us come from the wraparound anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 NAM is definitely worse than 6z, little reality check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Chasing convection? Just looks weird lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Definitely pulled back a bit. But still interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:25 PM, wolfie09 said: Chasing convection? Just looks weird lol Expand Does it “look wonky” to you? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Damn if 12z NAM verified it would be a brutal watch on radar with a wall of heavy snow to the south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:25 PM, wolfie09 said: Chasing convection? Just looks weird lol Expand Yeah definitely chasing the convection. BGM mentioned that occurring in some of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Back to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:28 PM, Ericjcrash said: Damn if 12z NAM verified it would be a brutal watch on radar with a wall of heavy snow to the south and east. Expand Wait for the spiraling bands to come... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:29 PM, 96blizz said: Wait for the spiraling bands to come... Expand Precip shield is much more compact and overall drier even though SLP isnt all that different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 On 1/30/2021 at 2:32 PM, Ericjcrash said: Precip shield is much more compact and overall drier even though SLP isnt all that different. Expand We knew the 6z was a blip run. No other model looked like it. I still think snows get back here on the wraparound. The WAA snows always seemed tough to pull off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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