rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 One band came through was heavy graupel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 It's probably better I don't have an amazing radar on my phone for that reason. I would "obsess" and check my phone at work and probably get myself in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Icon is south. Rats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: Icon is south. Rats. The fat lady she is a singing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 This lake effect so far tonight seems to favor the inland locations where there is better convergence and a little orographic pop. Not too unexpected but a little disappointing for me over here..... Still about 9-12 hours of optimal thermal profiles and some blobs of synoptic moisture coming though. You can see a thermal trough over lake Ontario in this Image. Also fairly well aligned winds across Lake Ontario. I think we lose the GB connection for awhile. Lots to track but I slept like shit last night so maybe be cashing in soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: The fat lady she is a singing This storm is starting to look very similar to the Super Synoptic event from 12/16 and we know how that played out for us WNYers. That said, that storm was truly epic so someone should be ready to get clobbered...perhaps our downstate posters?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: This storm is starting to look very similar to the Super Synoptic event from 12/16 and we know how that played out for us WNYers. That said, that storm was truly epic so someone should be ready to get clobbered...perhaps our downstate posters?? I agree about downstate. I think the tucked in areas just off the coast score this one...on to the rain storm next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Lol...I can't believe they create these maps based off of one report....whoever it is in Bville....LOL...we had 2 new inches this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: This storm is starting to look very similar to the Super Synoptic event from 12/16 and we know how that played out for us WNYers. That said, that storm was truly epic so someone should be ready to get clobbered...perhaps our downstate posters?? Yeah, I mentioned earlier today how it looks very similar to that event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lol...I can't believe they create these maps based off of one report....whoever it is in Bville....LOL...we had 2 new inches this morning! Yeah same here lol Still pissed about the 0.5 NE pulaski spotter haha..Less than 10-1 ratios while everyone else is getting 40/1 ..SMH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah same here lol Still pissed about the 0.5 NE pulaski spotter haha..Less than 10-1 ratios while everyone else is getting 40/1 ..SMH We are squabbling over 2-3" of 40:1 snow. Oh how far we've fallen, hahaha. Have some self respect you guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Yeah, I mentioned earlier today how it looks very similar to that event. On to Spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 For the record I had just a touch over 1" on the board this morning. I didnt dust it off until after work and it was honestly just a thin coating by then, nearly immeasurable on the yard stick. 95% air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: On to Spring! You mean what comes after this suppressed system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 And just like that... the Monroe county band just blew out. Too much wind. We’ll see if it starts back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 The players are in the same position as 18z (actually better). It’s way too early to be looking at precip signatures. The Binghamton storm was 50 miles away from killing Syracuse and you guys are throwing in the towel 4 days out!?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, Syrmax said: On to Spring! 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: You mean what comes after this suppressed system? I'm about ready to wave the flag and jump on that board. My passion for winter is fading with these crap-fests we've had of recent. At least I finally made it over a 6 inch snow depth for the winter (unless you believe the Bville spotter...lol) Bring back the winter of 13-14!!!! Now THAT was a winter!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Compare the Exeter and King radars. Exeter is getting killed while nothing off Georgian Bay. I don’t understand this stuff. Is it features on the ground?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Compare the Exeter and King radars. Exeter is getting killed while nothing off Georgian Bay. I don’t understand this stuff. Is it features on the ground?!? The king city radar is stuck in a weird mode. It’s been that way for a long time, super annoying. But you can see enough to know that we lost the GB connection in Monroe county. It’s pretty critical in dry scenarios like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 CASET - Super-Res Reflectivity Tilt 1 10:59 PM EST #miwx #ONStorm #ohwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: The players are in the same position as 18z (actually better). It’s way too early to be looking at precip signatures. The Binghamton storm was 50 miles away from killing Syracuse and you guys are throwing in the towel 4 days out!?!? Not here in BVille...tomorrow night will give better optics and I expect some changes as usual. Will we get primary to head further north and have a long, slow phase? Maybe? Maybe the ensemble spread will come more west as there were a few in NJ. Given the curveballs we have gotten all winter, this one could be like the pitches Doc Ellis threw when he was on acid! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The players are in the same position as 18z (actually better). It’s way too early to be looking at precip signatures. The Binghamton storm was 50 miles away from killing Syracuse and you guys are throwing in the towel 4 days out!?!? Not throwing in the towel. Just skeptical. As Delta mentioned earlier, these transfers have so many issues with them. I would love to see a good snowstorm...just there is a lot that has to go right...and looking at success rates this season, just extremely cautious about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I’d do anything to be chasing this band all night. That thing is fierce and probably very windy too. Blizzard conditions. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: The king city radar is stuck in a weird mode. It’s been that way for a long time, super annoying. But you can see enough to know that we lost the GB connection in Monroe county. It’s pretty critical in dry scenarios like this. Why then is it hammering away east of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 We are all on the same page tonight! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Why then is it hammering away east of us? Normally Its just that little bit extra fetch, and better convergence in the corner of the lake. That whole shape is so much better than the orientation of the Southern Shoreline with our negative slope East of the Genny. In tonight's scenario, they also benefit from a touch more synoptic moisture, being closer to the core of the coldest 850's and potentially closer to some of the DPVA with the upper low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The players are in the same position as 18z (actually better). It’s way too early to be looking at precip signatures. The Binghamton storm was 50 miles away from killing Syracuse and you guys are throwing in the towel 4 days out!?!? Seriously. All these weenie suicides over a couple lackluster model runs at the D4-5 mark when this storm not even onshore yet is laughable. Didn't know so many people have the memory of a hamster when it comes to the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 One of my buddies is from London, Ontario. They can get some pretty amazing lake effect snow bands there! Looks like they're getting hit nicely right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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