rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: After this week's mess of a system, I am thinking this winter will be one where we have to count on whatever lake effect we can get. The synoptic pattern just isn't working out for us. These primaries with transfers to the coast often have so many issues with them. Wish we could see some of the deep coastal systems of the 90s that move due north along the coast. Give it time Matt. We are very close to seeing a big one. I’d rather be where we are 100 hours out than where the big city weenies are! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: After this week's mess of a system, I am thinking this winter will be one where we have to count on whatever lake effect we can get. The synoptic pattern just isn't working out for us. These primaries with transfers to the coast often have so many issues with them. Wish we could see some of the deep coastal systems of the 90s that move due north along the coast. When was the last time we had a negatively tilted trough over the northeast. That seems to be what we need to transport moisture off the Atlantic over central New York. I can remember storms with a negatively tilted trough watching bands of snow moving from southeast to northwest with intense snowfall rates. The storm of January 4,1994 dropped 10 inches in 2 hours in Syracuse at midday. Business let their employees out at the height of the storm resulting in may people being trapped on highways. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 This one will be suppressed and the one after will be a cutter. Bank on it. Trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 This storm not coming onshore til Friday afternoon. Long way to go folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Stolen from Remy on Twitter. The sweet spot is where the comma’s overlap. Typical B! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: This one will be suppressed and the one after will be a cutter. Bank on it. Trend. That next one is definitely cutting and it's going to bring in a glorious arctic SW flow behind it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: This one will be suppressed and the one after will be a cutter. Bank on it. Trend. Dude, too early!!! LOL. slap you like a hysterical woman in the 1950’s. Honestly , I feel same. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Stolen from Remy on Twitter. The sweet spot is where the comma’s overlap. Typical B! Another 40" in BGM - lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Gotta love those multi-bands..Full sun one minute, down pouring snow the next.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: That next one is definitely cutting and it's going to bring in a glorious arctic SW flow behind it. Nah. Lake will have 8” of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Nah. Lake will have 8” of ice 0% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Gotta love those multi-bands..Full sun one minute, down pouring snow the next.. Must be nice. Very little snow coming from the bands over me...hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Some +20 C ahead of that thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I like activity and I like lake effect, GFS gives me both lol Obviously all way in fantasy land but I'll take some liquid for LES any day of the week, twice on Sundays.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, vortmax said: Must be nice. Very little snow coming from the bands over me...hmm. Yeah. Hopefully we get cranking this evening. South shore lake effect is impossible to accurately predict. It’s anyone’s guess. I wish winds were a little less but otherwise a good set up briefly! looking forward to EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Nice band about to come onshore in Oswego: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfhQTU0HrpY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Man, I would love for this to pan-out! The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow after 9pm. Low around 12. West wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 It's funny how it says"west wind" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Alternating between NW/NNW winds on the GFS.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Looks like gb connected to lake ontario. Making its move. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 EPS took a step backwards.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: EPS took a step backwards.. Amazing how one run made that big of a shift. I’m not buying yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 45 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Some +20 C ahead of that thing Those are the anomalies. 850's will be around 5c...which still sucks but obviously not as bad........20c would be full blown summer weather! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Those are the anomalies. 850's will be around 5c...which still sucks but obviously not as bad........20c would be full blown summer weather! Lol, that's what I was thinking...like mid-80s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 22 minutes ago, tim123 said: Looks like gb connected to lake ontario. Making its move. That King City radar is a piece of shit, I'm not sure why that is. Anyway, this IR satellite shows winds coming around and cloud tops are cooling along the entire south shore, especially where there is upstream seeding. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeOntario-13-48-1-100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Those are the anomalies. 850's will be around 5c...which still sucks but obviously not as bad........20c would be full blown summer weather! And the problem with that would be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Syrmax said: And the problem with that would be? If we were going to get 80's for a few days I would be all about that. I'm all about the extremes. 40's and rain is useless. But 80's in February is so damn novel that I would gladly take that over some snow. Could probably have a crazy ass day on the slopes if something like that ever happened too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Could probably have a crazy ass day on the slopes if something like that ever happened too. In shorts... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Those are the anomalies. 850's will be around 5c...which still sucks but obviously not as bad........20c would be full blown summer weather! Opps, posted wrong map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 A 1 day warm up we are talking about. Thats a win in this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now