DownpourDave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I did not like the icon. went southeast. We do not have a lot of wiggle room up here. I am counting on the seasonal NW trend to hold strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Chasing covection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z ICON 10:1 total snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z GFS is at 7” for KBUF at hour 102 for next weeks storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 yup gfs is bad. Well it was fun while it lasted. We probually will not get much of any snow from the coastal. Our best hope was for a sloppy phase so it would be less consolidated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Gfs took a dump. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:00 PM, BGM Blizzard said: 12z ICON 10:1 total snow Expand That's an unusual placement for a jackpot in CNY. That area west of BGM out to Elmira is usually a snow hole. Although I think we've seen them jackpot on occasion. I'd wager something different plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Its one run. Would not take it to heart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:04 PM, tim123 said: Gfs took a dump. Haha Expand we need to root for a sloppy phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:05 PM, SnowLover22 said: we need to root for a sloppy phase Expand Every phase has been sloppy to some degree this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 Temps are pretty marginal too. Will likely be sloppy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 GFS doesn’t bother me one bit. Track is the same. QPF placement is a fools game until 24 hrs out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 EPS from last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:08 PM, rochesterdave said: GFS doesn’t bother me one bit. Track is the same. QPF placement is a fools game until 24 hrs out. Expand the cleaner phase the more consolidated the precipitation is to the low. The trend toward a cleaner phase has been real. it is a concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The 700 pinwheels across southern PA. Decent placement. I guess the only thing (and it’s been mentioned) is how sloppy this thing is. It’s a B for sure. So WNY typically relies on the thump. Probably end up like that. The ICON wants to give us both- the thump and the wrap- the sweet spot. Typically a CNY thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Every storm has moved NW. Nobody panic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 We will definitely overachieve if this band stays put for a little..Nws only has 2" by morning..Not always terrible to live closer to the lake lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 @Thinksnow18 Took today, no ice at all. Usually lake freezes 3 weeks or so after Cleveland strait starts to freeze. We have another month before the lake completely freezes. (Unless the PV really does drop over our head) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Every once in a while it works in our favor lol This was the year that convinced me to move east of the lake.. Maximum Snowfall: Lk. Erie 46.4" (Perrysburg); Lk. Ontario 45.6" (Pulaski Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 That band you showed on radar BW about 40 minutes ago is finally here in eastern Williamsville, big fluffy cotton balls floating down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:22 PM, BuffaloWeather said: @Thinksnow18 Took today, no ice at all. Usually lake freezes 3 weeks or so after Cleveland strait starts to freeze. We have another month before the lake completely freezes. (Unless the PV really does drop over our head) Expand Looks great and hopefully the GFS long range is on to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Shot from the window..May be drying up some on radar.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:27 PM, wolfie09 said: Shot from the window..May be drying up some on radar.. Expand I’ve been in and out of snow showers all morning. At times the sun is out other times there is moderate snow falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 @Thinksnow18 Still there next weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:06 PM, vortmax said: Every phase has been sloppy to some degree this season. Expand Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Canadian is a winner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12z GEFS 10:1 mean for storm duration ... Individual members total 10:1 snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 On 1/28/2021 at 4:46 PM, rochesterdave said: Canadian is a winner! Expand I think, dangerous I know, that the idea is going to be what it is as we’re only 72 hours from the system making its way into the Midwest. It, as always, will be all about the placement of the players. Most trends have been north and west and I don’t see that changing here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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