wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 3k through Friday fwiw.. Looks like someone may see a few inches off mexico bay, depends on the exact wind direction, obviously lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 NMM much more friendly..I just need a touch more westerly instead of northerly verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 More meso goodies.. About all we have to follow for a few days, next system will take some time to sort out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Meso-models seem to like Central Oswego county at this juncture.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 long range looks pretty good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 Looks like the PV pays a visit in February? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like the PV pays a visit in February? It’s probably too late for lake effect though...grrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: It’s probably too late for lake effect though...grrrr I don't think so. Lake Erie hasn't even begun to start freezing yet. This weekend might start the process though. Still no ice at all along the edges. We have at least 3-4 weeks before it gets above 50% frozen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: It’s probably too late for lake effect though...grrrr Why not? Lake is wide open. We’ve had great events in February before. Feb 07 probably the best example. Think some places in the Boston Hills were close to 4 feet and we obviously know about the 100+ inches off Ontario. Give us some moisture and with 850s that cold it won’t matter if the lake is at 33f as long as there’s open water she’ll be firing away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Why not? Lake is wide open. We’ve had great events in February before. Feb 07 probably the best example. Think some places in the Boston Hills were close to 4 feet and we obviously know about the 100+ inches off Ontario. Give us the cold and some moisture and she’ll fire right up. Yeah, it's been very warm all January. This LES season will likely extend late into Feb. In 2007 if Erie didn't freeze up we would of had 100" totals as well. Even Orchard Park had 3' during that event. East Aurora had the highest total off erie at 42" Off Lk. Erie... (nearly all fell Feb 3-5). East Aurora............42 inches Orchard Park......... 36 inches Boston............. 26 inches Warsaw........... 24 inches Dunkirk............ 18 inches West Seneca........ 12 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 That year featured one of the latest LES events on record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah, it's been very warm all January. This LES season will likely extend late into Feb. In 2007 if Erie didn't freeze up we would of had 100" totals as well. Even Orchard Park had 3' during that event. Well boys the lake is at 33 as of today and my uneducated guess says with this weekends frigid temps 32 will be obtained easily and icing will begin rapidly. Will it be enough to mute a great pattern? Not sure but that can’t be discounted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah, it's been very warm all January. This LES season will likely extend late into Feb. In 2007 if Erie didn't freeze up we would of had 100" totals as well. Even Orchard Park had 3' during that event. East Aurora had the highest total off erie at 42" Off Lk. Erie... (nearly all fell Feb 3-5). East Aurora............42 inches Orchard Park......... 36 inches Boston............. 26 inches Warsaw........... 24 inches Dunkirk............ 18 inches West Seneca........ 12 inches I drove to Oswego to view the aftermath. Pretty amazing - wish I was in school then! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Well boys the lake is at 33 as of today and my uneducated guess says with this weekends frigid temps 32 will be obtained easily and icing will begin rapidly. Will it be enough to mute a great pattern? Not sure but that can’t be discounted No ice yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Friday and Saturday night looks to be well below zero here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Would be nice to get a synoptic bullseye for a change. Been a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Icon is iconic. 2' to 3' of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Out around 10 days or so, the GFS continually hints at some sort of Miller A. It really wants to pop something nice out of the DEEP south...down near South Texas/Mexico. It's been way too long since we had a classic Miller A. Is this the year we make the comeback?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, DeltaT13 said: Out around 10 days or so, the GFS continually hints at some sort of Miller A. It really wants to pop something nice out the DEEP south...down near South Texas/Mexico. It's been way too long since we have a classic Miller A. Is this the year we make the comeback?! Yes, please. A true Miller A...been a long time. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Toss ‘em baby!!! And an l-95 meltdown to accompany it... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, 96blizz said: Toss ‘em baby!!! And an l-95 meltdown to accompany it... Gonna come further north too. Clockwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Gonna come further north too. Clockwork Remember. I’m from Monmouth County and NW NJ. I know the drill. .....and now I’m here! lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Out around 10 days or so, the GFS continually hints at some sort of Miller A. It really wants to pop something nice out the DEEP south...down near South Texas/Mexico. It's been way too long since we have a classic Miller A. Is this the year we make the comeback?! Yeah, to my untrained eyes it looks like a wave developing along the cutter/CF from previous day..Hp out in the atlantic slows it down.. Something else to watch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 A little streamer off Georgian bay has developed over the western Niagara Frontier...basically flurries ATM but cool none the less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Yeah, to my untrained eyes it looks like a wave developing on the cutter/CF from previous day..Hp out in the atlantic slows it down.. Something else to watch lol Reminds me of our December system...front slowed and the wave developed back side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 29 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah, it's been very warm all January. This LES season will likely extend late into Feb. In 2007 if Erie didn't freeze up we would of had 100" totals as well. Even Orchard Park had 3' during that event. East Aurora had the highest total off erie at 42" Off Lk. Erie... (nearly all fell Feb 3-5). East Aurora............42 inches Orchard Park......... 36 inches Boston............. 26 inches Warsaw........... 24 inches Dunkirk............ 18 inches West Seneca........ 12 inches My all time favorite!!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 This one has to be up there as well lol Parish 86" in 3 days.. Nice little spot over there, I looked at some houses just couldn't make it work.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 12z Jester has the system for next week in a similar position to the 6z but the HP to the north seems to be eroding the northern extension of the precip shield. This looks wonky to me especially with how yesterday’s event played out. This looks like a Miller B to me and I think that first initial low will act as a conveyor to the secondary low over the east coast and transport moisture back our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 It’s so funny to see the ICON go nuts. It never paints thaaaat much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now