rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 NAM looks colder. Disaster of a game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 2:05 AM, rochesterdave said: NAM looks colder. Disaster of a game Expand The 1990s Buffalo team's defense would win the game in the 4th. Let's see how they do now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Doesn’t stay colder. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Saving grace is its a dying low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 2:28 AM, tim123 said: Saving grace is its a dying low. Expand Decomposes right over WNY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 00Z NAM looking very similar to 18Z GFS...if we can keep warm air and dry slot out, the Rochester to Syracuse corridor could be in the "jackpot" for NY west of I 81. As has been mentioned, the concern is these almost always end up farther north. Hopefully the weakening helps out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankees102110 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 NAM is nice for my area in the far Southern dacks, snowmap prints out around 3-5. Every little bit helps the snowmobile trails. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 RGEM at 60hr....still snowing 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 The HRWs would be a nice 6 inch hit for the south shore from Rochester to North Syracuse burbs to Rome/Utica area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 If Kuchera happened to work out, this would be warning level snows for the whole Thruway corridor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2021 Author Share Posted January 25, 2021 I don't see any lake effect for awhile so my winter hype is pretty much over. Still better then last years where we got zero bands going. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 3:11 AM, TugHillMatt said: If Kuchera happened to work out, this would be warning level snows for the whole Thruway corridor. Expand The ratios may get better on the tail end. The 700mb moisture sticks around until hr75. Could be some puffy LE once the winds back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Rgem gives roc 8 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 3:11 AM, TugHillMatt said: If Kuchera happened to work out, this would be warning level snows for the whole Thruway corridor. Expand Lock it. I'll take the jackpot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 3:13 AM, vortmax said: The ratios may get better on the tail end. The 700mb moisture sticks around until hr75. Could be some puffy LE once the winds back. Expand Yeah. The lake effect could be interesting in the middle of the week. North winds with some residual moisture. Tim has mentioned it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 GFS is juiced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 3:11 AM, TugHillMatt said: If Kuchera happened to work out, this would be warning level snows for the whole Thruway corridor. Expand Kuchera always FTW! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I’ll try and stay up for the EURO. Is this sad? I’m hoping for over 4”. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I see a potential of about 36 to 48 hours of lake effect. After initial storm passes winds go north with decent cold air advection. Then a piece of artic air comes charging out of Canada right over lake ontario. Winds go nw ahead of it then north after. With decent rh and a warm lake could be decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 I kinda like the set up. Looks decent. Might be one of those set up where you do better 10 miles inland that at the lake shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 On 1/25/2021 at 4:22 AM, tim123 said: I kinda like the set up. Looks decent. Might be one of those set up where you do better 10 miles inland that at the lake shore. Expand Shows up nicely on the 12k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Thats just the start on 12 k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 RGEM too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 D7 potential just like on the european... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Ukie looks good with a 4 to 8 inch snowfall (10:1 ratio) for most of us. Just went for a walk...with a solid snowpack and the crisp air, it IS WINTER!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Para kuchera getting silly here now... I'd take that foot but don't buy it. 4-6/5-8 type deal looking pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Ukmet really picking up on lake potential. .4 from storm the .4 to .6 from lake effect. And its not even a mesoscale model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Not sure how unket is with lake snow but kinda impressive the amount its putting out from lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 EURO kicked north. Enhancement is gone. Hopefully we get that last minute reversion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 25, 2021 Share Posted January 25, 2021 Euro is horrible for lake snow. Same pattern but not showing anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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