cny rider Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 1:18 PM, wolfie09 said: Managed to make it just below zero (-0.2) , forecast low was 9°.. I thought we had a shot, clear skies, fresh snow pack, light NNW winds. Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 1:41 PM, wolfie09 said: Expand Lmfao how is it that Buffalo has 2-3 and 3-4 north? Yes enhancement...it always gets further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Also does this current shortwave look a lot more put together than forecast? Not one model has thus much snow just off to our west and looks to be holding together... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Rgem looks like a solid advisory south of lake ontario. 4 to 8 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 It’s a beautiful mid winter morning. The temperature plummeted in the pre dawn hours bottoming out at -3 here on the east side of Brewerton. It’s already recovered close to 20 degrees. I’m not expecting a lot from Tuesday’s event but a couple of inches would be nice to keep the snowpack fresh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 12z jester gets the taint all the way to the southern tier pushing the “heavier “ snows a bit further north. In this scenario the 4-6” line would be the 90 corridor and less south due to mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Game day, let’s go Bills!!! Chance of rain in KC? Don’t think we want that, need our passing game to fire on all cylinders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 4:30 PM, Buffalo Bumble said: Game day, let’s go Bills!!! Chance of rain in KC? Don’t think we want that, need our passing game to fire on all cylinders. Expand Yeah the rain did them no favors the first time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Stupid secondary is killing me lol Bringing winds out of the E/NE/ENE allowing the higher elevations to my east to rob whatever available moisture..I much rather a true SWFE lol (haven't seen 12z yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Ukmet still brings the low over the southern tier.. Amazing we can't get a little more precip with a track that far north, it's like a shield over Oswego county lol In reality we are probably the"jump over" zone as the primary dies and the secondary takes control.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Case in point lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2021 Author Share Posted January 24, 2021 long range looks warmer last few runs, think we do get a few cutters. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wonderful morning trending snowier here. Obviously unsurprising that it came north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Looks to be another potential lake event for fri sat. On a north west flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 5:12 PM, tim123 said: Looks to be another potential lake event for fri sat. On a north west flow. Expand I'll take another one....need to start making up some ground... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 5:02 PM, BuffaloWeather said: long range looks warmer last few runs, think we do get a few cutters. Expand Ugh. It does look like the warmth may be muted a bit as it heads east though. I haven't been paying much attention to long for February. What's it looking like? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 4:30 PM, Buffalo Bumble said: Game day, let’s go Bills!!! Chance of rain in KC? Don’t think we want that, need our passing game to fire on all cylinders. Expand Seems like the rain should hold off for this game. Appears to come in around midnight on the latest model so that works in our favor. Now we just need our defense to knock around Mahomes and show him what a real hit is, not that Nancy boy shit he faked his injury on last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Hmmm...watching this event for Tuesday...at present, it looks better for Central NY. We went from it being a fizzler with maybe an inch or two...to now a secondary development with the possibility of 3 to 6 inches..perhaps 4 to 8 inches depending on ratios. My biggest concern is to see if trends continue where the secondary will do it's "late development" that seems to always happen anymore and we end up on the western edge with an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 5:29 PM, TugHillMatt said: Hmmm...watching this event for Tuesday...at present, it looks better for Central NY. We went from it being a fizzler with maybe an inch or two...to now a secondary development with the possibility of 3 to 6 inches..perhaps 4 to 8 inches depending on ratios. My biggest concern is to see if trends continue where the secondary will do it's "late development" that seems to always happen anymore and we end up on the western edge with an inch or two. Expand Yeah, we'll see definitely trending better for C/ENY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 5:02 PM, BuffaloWeather said: long range looks warmer last few runs, think we do get a few cutters. Expand I dont see alot of warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 5:33 PM, MJO812 said: I dont see alot of warmth Expand We are in the coldest part of winter climatology speaking so it doesn’t take much to get us above normal. Also, with a lot of cloud cover nighttime lows should be well above normal while daytime highs could be near to slightly above normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Perfect track for Rochester if it can hold together and give us a NE wind. I see warning stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 6:13 PM, rochesterdave said: Expand I was just gonna say....YES, PLEASE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 6:14 PM, rochesterdave said: Perfect track for Rochester if it can hold together and give us a NE wind. I see warning stuff Expand This is approaching a high end advisory for the 90 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Models have been trending towards the icon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 It's a rather narrow band, especially on Euro, so hopefully we can lock it in the next 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 6:15 PM, TugHillMatt said: I was just gonna say....YES, PLEASE! Works for me.......but that is a very weird looking snowfall distribution map. I can’t see anything verifying like that. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 On 1/24/2021 at 6:18 PM, cny rider said: Expand Euro basically has this as mostly a Primary Low event that makes it farther north and then moves east, with a later fizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Something remarkable happened at BUF yesterday...We had our first below normal day in 23 days and the first one in January. That makes a paltry 2 out of the last 35 or so days below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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