BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 Totals: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Warmer air aloft will move into the region Monday as the next storm system tracks from the Central Plains into the Mississippi Valley. A strong low-level jet will spread across the southeast CONUS with a warm front approaching the Northeast Monday - Tuesday. Light snow may enter WNY as early as Monday evening from the south. There remains uncertainty as to how far north and how much snow will reach WNY into Tuesday. While models have trended north with the track of the low, there remains the possibility of a weaker low that tracks across the central Appalachians. This southern track option would keep most snow south of the region. A northward track in the low could also introduce mixed precipitation types near the NY/PA border. At this time, went with a consensus with the low moving near but south of the NY/PA border and snow as the main ptype being on the northern side of the low. Snow will likely spread across Western NY into Tuesday night. Temperatures at 850mb may be cold enough to provide lake enhancement south of Lake Ontario. The high to the north will also keep most of the North Country dry through this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Discouraging out here for the early week system. Quite a bit of blowing snow currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 After the next couple events gfs is back to cutters and inland storms.. This is the exact track I need and we NEVER get it lol In the 90s it was a regular occurrence..One of these days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Stupid iPhone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Still ripping pretty good out.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: After the next couple events gfs is back to cutters and inland storms.. This is the exact track I need and we NEVER get it lol In the 90s it was a regular occurrence..One of these days.. Would love a storm like that. Potential blizzard warning for that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, swva said: Heading back home. Fun week with final total of 33”. Had 3” last night. Thanks for letting me be apart of your board this week. Hope you guys kill the rest of winter up here! Thanks for sharing your pics and updates from up there! Safe travels back to SW VA! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'd buy an island in the Caribbean if I won I'd buy a mountain in Japan if I won. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 17 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: 17 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Stupid iPhone We get it. You're trying to make it look like the snow is so high it reaches above the camera....Do you work at the Rochester airport? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I definitely think I picked up more snow off the NW flow then the West flow lol Temps were just a couple degrees to warm yesterday morning..A couple years back just south of Altmar picked up double digits from some"mexico bay" enhancement, seems to happen whenever we receive a multi band regime.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 39 minutes ago, vortmax said: Would love a storm like that. Potential blizzard warning for that one. The only problem with that storm is I’m scheduled to travel 60 miles to Utica to get my Covid vaccination on February 5. I don’t want to miss that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 26 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I definitely think I picked up more snow off the NW flow then the West flow lol Temps were just a couple degrees to warm yesterday morning..A couple years back just south of Altmar picked up double digits from some"mexico bay" enhancement, seems to happen whenever we receive a multi band regime.. Then stop rooting for W/WSW winds for Gods sake! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 25 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: We get it. You're trying to make it look like the snow is so high it reaches above the camera....Do you work at the Rochester airport? The airport seems to have tuned up their game this year. I cleared 3” off the board at 11pm last night. Then this morning there was another 2.5. So I measured about 5.5 from this event and they measured 5.6. Pretty stunning considering the localized nature of these bands. Currently 6” on the ground as we came into this event with about an 1”. Deepest snowpack of the year and we should hold it for at least 5-6 days! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 European is weird and weak sauce.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said: Then stop rooting for W/WSW winds for Gods sake! Haha well I did just pick 16" on a west flow the other day, most of that falling in a 6 hour window..I like Rates and I need a west wind for the best rates 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 West wind also has lower ratios which is good for staying power.. I'll lose this 5"-6" in an hour once the sun comes out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: The airport seems to have tuned up their game this year. I cleared 3” off the board at 11pm last night. Then this morning there was another 2.5. So I measured about 5.5 from this event and they measured 5.6. Pretty stunning considering the localized nature of these bands. Currently 6” on the ground as we came into this event with about an 1”. Deepest snowpack of the year and we should hold it for at least 5-6 days! Glad you guys finally got some snow cover there too. From the snowfall reports, it looks like north of Buffalo and then areas of the Finger Lakes (like Geneva) may still have grass showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I'm not getting my hopes up at all for synoptic snow this upcoming week. They have all been failures this winter, and not much has changed in the synoptic pattern to say otherwise. If it stays south it will be weak sauce...if it goes north it will be pull in warm air. Veeeeeeeery thin margin for decent snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I should of let it finish lol I'll take my usual 1"-2" I guess lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Looks like my guesstimate was right on (per BGM Nws) .Onondaga County... Baldwinsville 11.5 in 1130 AM 01/23 43.16N/76.33W Jamesville 11.0 in 0900 AM 01/23 42.98N/76.07W 1 SE Taunton 8.3 in 1038 AM 01/23 43.02N/76.20W 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Looking like a relatively weak and minor system around these parts Tuesday. Maybe 2-4” if we’re lucky. Green grass at my house in Amherst. We went and looked at a house in Derby (just SW of Hamburg) this morning and closer to a foot of snow on the ground there, it’s a whole different world. Put in a very aggressive offer on it so we’ll see what happens, should know by tonight. If we do get it, its definitely a better location for snow than Amherst. Probably pretty darn close to what BuffaloWeather averages. I would be about 8 miles Southwest of him. Average is probably somewhere between 110-120” a year compared to 85-90” in Amherst. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2021 Author Share Posted January 23, 2021 46 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Haha well I did just pick 16" on a west flow the other day, most of that falling in a 6 hour window..I like Rates and I need a west wind for the best rates Give me the rates all day. It's been snowing all day at Holiday valley. Ski country has been getting slammed all week. Really need to head down there soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 52 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I should of let it finish lol I'll take my usual 1"-2" I guess lol And that’s what she said 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I see gates north gates got 10. Airport i am sure is over 6. So 6 to 10 is a decent event in Monroe county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Could see a brief uptick in activity as winds start backing and sun goes down. Maybe another inch or two in a few spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 hours ago, CNY_WX said: The sun has broken through the clouds here. Temperature is 19 degrees. It looks like the jackpot was northwestern Onondaga County down through Marcellus and Skaneateles. They probably picked up some impressive amounts in the hills south of Syracuse. I had the 8.3" and .43 liquid. Pretty close to a 20:1 ratio. Was at dinner last night in Syracuse and it was getting bad when I headed home. Went snowshoeing at Great Bear park near me this a.m. Finally feels/looks like real winter around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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