wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:34 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Never roll with the NAM. Expand Haha I usually don't but the RGEM is the only guidance that puts Lower elevations on par with higher elevations lol I doubt we see almost 2.5" liquid lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Best thing about the RGEM is consistency wether it's right or wrong.. Just took the"jackpot" and slid it a little south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 Mon night into Tues should be the best chance of good accumulating snow for KBUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:35 PM, MJO812 said: You never get screwed up there. Must be great always getting 70+ inches every winter. Expand I think maybe at 17 inches for the winter here. Who knows how it will finish. Besides, I was joking. My beef with the Mid-Atlantic posters is they are such snobs about others posting in their subforum. So unwelcoming...so I chuckle at their demise. Totally in jest though. I truly would be excited for them if they got a storm as it's been rough there. Sorry if I offended you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:35 PM, MJO812 said: You never get screwed up there. Must be great always getting 70+ inches every winter. Expand 100"+ or bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:50 PM, BuffaloWeather said: 100"+ or bust. Expand It's funny...last winter we got 80 inches but it did not "feel" like we got "that much" snow. That's where winters with snowpack do it for me. If you get 80 inches total but each snow melts the next day...for me that's not winter. Might have to adjust though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 I see blues for the first time this year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Jumped up another couple inches.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:56 PM, TugHillMatt said: It's funny...last winter we got 80 inches but it did not "feel" like we got "that much" snow. That's where winters with snowpack do it for me. If you get 80 inches total but each snow melts the next day...for me that's not winter. Might have to adjust though... Expand Once lake erie freezes im cheering for a WNW/NW event for you tug. You haven't even been in a real LES event yet. Something like this would do it for you. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2010-2011&event=C 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 GFS looked good in its medium-LR with Clipper after clipper, good to get everyone involved, bad if you want a sustained flow..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:59 PM, wolfie09 said: GFS looked good in its medium-LR with Clipper after clipper, good to get everyone involved, bad if you want a sustained flow..lol Expand With lake temps so warm and that cold coming I don't think sustained flow would even matter. Everyone would have feet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:58 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Once lake erie freezes im cheering for a WNW/NW event for you tug. You haven't even been in a real LES event yet. Something like this would do it for you. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2010-2011&event=C Expand Thanks!!! I experienced the best one yet for that 1 hour a few weeks ago where we got like 4 inches in an hour. Would love to see an event like that soon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:59 PM, wolfie09 said: GFS looked good in its medium-LR with Clipper after clipper, good to get everyone involved, bad if you want a sustained flow..lol Expand I think most of us at this point will be happy to just get the grass covered! Lol I enjoy events where everyone can get involved. Reallllllly hoping to see what a good Clipper pattern looks like in Upstate New York. It will be my first! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Not much change on the RGEM.. Little less here, little more to the south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 30" over my place at 1:10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:03 PM, CNY_WX said: 0.7 inches of snow this morning with 0.39 liquid. Checking my Ring camera it looks like it flipped from rain to snow around 2:30 AM. Snow is virtually over right now, waiting to see what we’ll get tonight and tomorrow. Expand I was up late watching tv...there was some wet flakes mixing in around 1 am or so here. Probably didnt start sticking for a while after that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 We have had a 1-2" snow depth for like 10 days straight lol (snow on the ground for about 3 weeks) With the snow tonight and tomorrow our streak will continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:34 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Never roll with the NAM. Expand How is it looking for Bills game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:36 PM, BuffaloWeather said: It get's really cold on GFS. Expand And bone dry. We’ll need to score before this because the lakes will freeze up quickly during this period 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 3:34 PM, Syrmax said: How is it looking for Bills game? Expand Dark 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:58 PM, wolfie09 said: Jumped up another couple inches.. Expand I’m confused. I read the AFD and they mention an inch or two for KBUF and this shows 4”? Do the Mets speak to each other??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2021 Author Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 3:41 PM, Thinksnow18 said: And bone dry. We’ll need to score before this because the lakes will freeze up quickly during this period Expand Doesn't look too dry to me. Very active northern jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Interesting graphic from Twitter. We’ve always talked about how Rochester gets it snow later. But I always thought Syracuse did too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 3:47 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Doesn't look too dry to me. Very active northern jet. Expand True but in between clippers it’s going to be cold enough that the first couple will be good snow producers with synoptic and enhancement but as we get deeper we might just be working with minimal synoptic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 2:48 PM, TugHillMatt said: I think maybe at 17 inches for the winter here. Who knows how it will finish. Besides, I was joking. My beef with the Mid-Atlantic posters is they are such snobs about others posting in their subforum. So unwelcoming...so I chuckle at their demise. Totally in jest though. I truly would be excited for them if they got a storm as it's been rough there. Sorry if I offended you. Expand I am at 19.8" for season IMBY. Given the gruel falling now, probably could round off to 20" for season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 3:50 PM, Syrmax said: I am at 19.8" for season IMBY. Given the gruel falling now, probably could round off to 20" for season... Expand I am curious as to what downtown Syracuse has had for the season. They've done even worse during most of these short-lived 32-34 degree snowfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 3:44 PM, Thinksnow18 said: I’m confused. I read the AFD and they mention an inch or two for KBUF and this shows 4”? Do the Mets speak to each other??? Expand That's through Sunday night so maybe ahead of the next clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Boo. Para GFS lowered snowfall totals for New York......... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 3:41 PM, Thinksnow18 said: And bone dry. We’ll need to score before this because the lakes will freeze up quickly during this period Expand Im doubtful Erie fully freezes this year. This should get some ice going though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Whiteface getting crushed: https://whiteface.com/mountain/webcams/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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