nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: The para is a 6 to 12 inch snow storm from Southeast to northwest Lol I swear this place is the twilight zone. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, nj2va said: I swear this place is the twilight zone. Lol. It’s a little confusing when people say that a 6-12” run is a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Canadian looks colder through 84. Hopefully we can get the GFS to be the odd one out compared to the ICON, GEM and Euro. Would make me feel a lot better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Through 108 canadian is pretty much the same...a smidge further south with the LPC placement and HPC of 1037 instead of 1038 at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Abscond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Look at hour 99 on the GFS and 111 on the 0z Euro. Its night and day over New England, suppressing the flow over the east. Euro has much stronger confluence, hence the primary being further south. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 gfs and para both have the primary a bit too far north for my liking at least, but they both show snow...so there's that. i think we'd want the system to take a more southern route for purposes of coastal development. nice high in place, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 CMC is a front end thump to dry slot. Coastal is to our northeast at hr 150. Not sure if it's going to get us with ULL/wraparound snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, MD Snow said: Through 108 canadian is pretty much the same...a smidge further south with the LPC placement and HPC of 1037 instead of 1038 at 0z. canadian looks a lot more fun so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, MD Snow said: CMC is a front end thump to dry slot. Coastal is to our northeast at hr 150. Not sure if it's going to get us with ULL/wraparound snows. Somebody hold Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 At 156 it almost looks like CMC is trying to develop a low off of NC ETA: No dice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 CMC pretty much misses everybody including the northeast with any coastal snows. Just light stuff. Looks to be off sure. ULL goes south of us but just light stuff through 162. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I'd much rather an uncomplicated WAA setup that throws precip into cold air like I said earlier. If the coastal/CCB/snows for 15 days straight/etc solutions on the high end work out, then great. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Cmc has some light overrunning then that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 AbscondFringed for sun/Mon in Stafford Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Cmc has some light overrunning then that's about it. if 3-6" is considered light... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, LP08 said: Look at hour 99 on the GFS and 111 on the 0z Euro. Its night and day over New England, suppressing the flow over the east. Euro has much stronger confluence, hence the primary being further south. So now...with the Euro being spot-on with Thursday's suppression...you HOPE that can continue with this!! C'mon Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, MD Snow said: CMC pretty much misses everybody including the northeast with any coastal snows. Just light stuff. Looks to be off sure. ULL goes south of us but just light stuff through 162. Is that.. son of TPV 1 up in Maine?? This is giving me deja vu because I could've sworn that the Canadian was the first to pick up on this feature for the Thurs event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: if 3-6" is considered light... Is that in addition to the thump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Is that in addition to the thump? No. A general 3-6 for the MA mostly from the "thump." All models are showing a borderline warning level event, at a minimum. You'd think based off the vibes right now it's winter canceled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, MD Snow said: if 3-6" is considered light... Looks like the overrunning was more of a 2 to 4 type deal and then the area picks up another 1 or 2 inches over the next 24 hours with the upper level support. So yea not light but didn't really get anything heavy into the area either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Is that in addition to the thump? No total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Is that.. son of TPV 1 up in Maine?? This is giving me deja vu because I could've sworn that the Canadian was the first to pick up on this feature for the Thurs event Yeah...interesting....that feature was there on the CMC for yesterday's 12z run and it was a MECS. Snowed for 2 days. If indeed that feature is there I think it'll come down to how they interact. Also, the TPV isn't what suppressed the Thursday event. It's the fact that today's sw just sits in the northeast and doesn't allow Thursdays sw to amplify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 12z UKIE has the SLP in extreme southern Illinois/western Ky at 120. GFS is in central IN. 144 has it off the coast pretty far. Won't know any details until the better maps are available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 12Z WB GEFS. If we get 3 plus inches by Monday I would be very happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: 12z UKIE has the SLP in extreme southern Illinois/western Ky at 120. GFS is in central IN. 144 has it off the coast pretty far. Won't know any details until the better maps are available. How does this compare to 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 So the 0z Euro is the only model showing any coastal action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: How does this compare to 0z? Impossible to completely compare but 0z was Southern Mo to Ky to a transfer off the coast from 120-144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Is that.. son of TPV 1 up in Maine?? This is giving me deja vu because I could've sworn that the Canadian was the first to pick up on this feature for the Thurs event Just now, MD Snow said: Yeah...interesting....that feature was there on the CMC for yesterday's 12z run and it was a BECS. Snowed for 2 days. If indeed that feature is there I think it'll come down to how they interact. yea, i thought the run looked better at 500 until that showed up. it's too early anyway for snowfall maps and what not at 6-7 days out. certainly looked cold enough. how strong is the primary, how much gulf interaction, trough orientation, where will the coastal form, how much confluence...too early. probably best to focus on the ensembles today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 15 minutes ago, MD Snow said: No. A general 3-6 for the MA mostly from the "thump." All models are showing a borderline warning level event, at a minimum. You'd think based off the vibes right now it's winter canceled. Come on. It's only one person and his tired act. Most everyone else is fine with it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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