baltosquid Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Icon has always seemed to hate snow so that's something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: So is the euro all by itself showing a massive storm? Doesn't Ji have a peer reviewed theory on that? I think the 00Z UKMET if extended would be good. It has the primary low in Kentucky and the secondary forming in eastern NC with you under a pretty good wedge. 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Its a sloppy-ish phase (kind of what Ralph was alluding to) and the Surface doesn't get captured until its just north of us but still throws more snow at us 150hr+. Ok enough ICON talk Oh okay yeah the precip was still rolling with those panels, keeps DC and even immediate SE below 30 degrees but precip is spotty there, but ICON on board with a good storm. Pretty sure precip is still going in this panel for a fair bit of the subforum, but it's the ICON so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Cobalt said: Oh okay yeah the precip was still rolling with those panels, keeps DC and even immediate SE below 30 degrees but precip is spotty there, but ICON on board with a good storm. Pretty sure precip is still going in this panel for a fair bit of the subforum, but it's the ICON so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Lol...It snows from 126 to the end of the run. Might be a record duration. Wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Lol...It snows from 126 to the end of the run. Might be a record duration. Wild. The low just... meanders. The fact that this GIF takes up like 5% of my attachment space shows that yeah it's pretty lengthy lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Lol...It snows from 126 to the end of the run. Might be a record duration. Wild. Best part I like is the high slides in tandem with the approaching LP and with precipitation arrival down this way 2m temps are in the negative in NY state, signifying the cold air is entrenched. Normally we are all complaining and stressing for the fact that the high is bailing and exiting stage right. That’s def one thing to keep an eye on in future runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Yeah. the ICON is cold smoke. Low 20's with the snow ripping. Please let that wretched model be right for once. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Almost every model shows a very long duration event in some form or another. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: Lol...It snows from 126 to the end of the run. Might be a record duration. Wild. ICON is a huge hit. Fun to look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: ICON is a huge hit. Fun to look at. I think.. it's still going after 180? Precip panels not showing up for that timeframe but it appears so. Absolute eye candy, but at least it's not on a complete island... edit: yeah it keeps us snowing through 180 and maybe beyond lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 ICON actually drops surface temps from the mid 20's to mid teens during the event. This might be the one ya'll. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 GFS gives OBX snow on Thursday...the NC12 traffic cameras would be fun to look at. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 If verified, don't think anyone in the subforum would have less than 3 inches (S/SW of ocean city). Usual caveats with 10:1 maps. When's the last time everyone was able to walk away with something like that, no fringing? But let's wait and see what the more well regarded models have to say shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 There’s a met on the philly forum that has a rule about how it rarely snows unless the icon shows snow falling lol. It’s a good sign to have this model showing snow. The main takeaway from this run is there could be aN epic CCB somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 hours ago, losetoa6 said: It's better then 0z . Quicker further south transfer 0z bullseyed northern VA. I don’t think we want it to keep trending south at this point. It’s good...especially for us...right now. 6z was good. Just pointing that out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 47 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: So what type of storm is this potentially, other than a Coastal? I saw mention of a Heather A on Anthony Masiello's twitter comments. But then, someone mentioned a Miller B. My understanding is that we don't do well with a Miller B. I have never heard of a Heather A. Heather A did a study where large east coast storms tend to form when there is a phase change from an ongoing pattern such as a -nao chanhgang to a positive etc. it’s not equivalent to Miller a or b 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: 0z bullseyed northern VA. I don’t think we want it to keep trending south at this point. It’s good...especially for us...right now. 6z was good. Just pointing that out. It is interesting you say that because some Mets are actually playing the Miller A North of us game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Heather A did a study where large east coast storms tend to form when there is a phase change from an ongoing pattern such as a -nao chanhgang to a positive etc. it’s not equivalent to Miller a or b HM mentioned this. HA event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: 0z bullseyed northern VA. I don’t think we want it to keep trending south at this point. It’s good...especially for us...right now. 6z was good. Just pointing that out. Couldn't this loop offshore. At a lower latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 21 minutes ago, Scraff said: I have a good feeling about the 12z suite... That's just the IPA you're working on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 53 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: A Heather A is bigger than a Becky C, but not as memorable as Chuck D. I lol'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 It basically snows for 60 hours straight on that run here. Lets just lock that up and call it a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Guidance says we've only got 90hrs until our storm forms in the midwest. Getting closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: ICON actually drops surface temps from the mid 20's to mid teens during the event. This might be the one ya'll. The Icon ussually never shows snow when other models have it. It's ussually right for the wrong reasons lol. With the Icon showing a big storm that can't be a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Always nice to the see the 850 0c line through Raleigh as the storm approaches. 114hr GFS has snow breaking out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 GFS is gonna be a mauling. Heavy snow in SW VA at 120. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Always nice to the see the 850 0c line through Raleigh as the storm approaches. 114hr GFS has snow breaking out. Looks like slightly better cad signature as compared to 6z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 so its goign to take the GFS 6 cycles to get it right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Through 126, GFS has the primary in central IN. Way further north than almost all other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ji said: so its goign to take the GFS 6 cycles to get it right? 30 hours I've heard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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